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UNI

Northern Iowa 14 at Iowa 38

IOWA
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadUNI aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreUNI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:22 · Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Jaylin James
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Pregame prior+2.4Home team on offense+32.5Score differential+23.5Garbage-time factor+9.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.5Blowout margin+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:07: Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 5 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK) — UNI win probability +0.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:09: Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +2.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:09: Mekhi Sargent run for 10 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:03: Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 14 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:25: Eli Dunne pass complete to Elias Nissen for 5 yds for a TD (Austin Errthum KICK) — UNI win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UNI has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNI made the numbers' call on 1 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00IOWA 4th & 21 at IOWA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:18UNI 4th & 5 at IOWA 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%
    62% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:07UNI 4th & 9 at IOWA 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%
    62% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:50IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:09UNI 4th & 26 at IOWA 29, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%
    58% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:35IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.6%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:35IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.8%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:09UNI 4th & 10 at IOWA 31, down 21
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UNI 4th & 8 at IOWA 27, down 21
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    62% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:20UNI 4th & 15 at IOWA 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:25IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 23, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:22UNI 4th & 2 at IOWA 43, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:17IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNI made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:07IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:09IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:09IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:03IOWA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:59IOWA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:12UNI Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:25UNI Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 8 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
92.9%
Toren Young run for 8 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
92.9%
Toren Young run for 11 yds to the NIowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-7
92.9%
Nate Stanley sacked by Jared Brinkman for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 45
0
92.9%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 45
-5
92.9%
IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 40
+6
92.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 46
-5
92.9%
IOWA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 41
0
92.9%
Colten Rastetter punt for 37 yds, downed at the NIowa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
92.1%
Marcus Weymiller run for 3 yds to the NIowa 25Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
92.1%
Marcus Weymiller run for 2 yds to the NIowa 27Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
92.1%
Colton Howell pass incomplete to Marcus WeymillerSimilar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 5
OPP 27
0
92.2%
Michael Kuntz punt for 57 yds , Kyle Groeneweg returns for no gain to the Iowa 27 IOWA Penalty, Offensive holding (8 Yards) to the Iowa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
10 plays · 92 yds · 4:3992% → 92%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
91.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+12
91.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 12 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.8%
Kyle Groeneweg run for 11 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
91.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
92.0%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nick Easley, broken up by Korby SanderSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
91.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 7 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
92.0%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+43
92.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 43 yds to the NIowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 8
OWN 8
+3
91.8%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the NIowa 5Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 5
OWN 5
+5
91.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 5 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
91.1%
Colton Howell pass complete to Jaylin James for 10 yds to the NIowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
91.1%
Trevor Allen run for 1 yd to the NIowa 27Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
91.1%
Colton Howell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
91.3%
Colton Howell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 9
OPP 27
0
91.5%
Zac Kibby punt for 41 yds, downed at the Iowa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:4191% → 92%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
91.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 3
OWN 39
-12
91.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Iowa 42 IOWA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+29
91.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 29 yds to the NIowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
91.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 19Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+8
91.4%
Toren Young run for 8 yds to the NIowa 11Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+1
91.2%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the NIowa 10Similar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 2
OWN 10
+3
91.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 3 yds to the NIowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 7
OWN 7
-3
91.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 3 yards to the NIowa 10Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+7
91.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Max Cooper for 7 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+19
91.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 19 yds to the NIowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
90.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 8 yds to the NIowa 2Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 2
OWN 2
+2
92.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
91.4%
Trevor Allen run for 3 yds to the NIowa 28Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
91.4%
Trevor Allen run for 4 yds to the NIowa 32Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+3
91.6%
Colton Howell run for 3 yds to the NIowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
91.5%
Colton Howell sacked by A.J. Epenesa for a loss of 2 yards to the NIowa 33Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+2
91.7%
Colton Howell pass complete to Briley Moore for 2 yds to the NIowa 35Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+10
91.9%
Colton Howell pass complete to Jaylin James for 10 yds to the NIowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-19
91.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the NIowa 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NIowa Colton HowellSimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 26
+2
91.7%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the NIowa 28Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 27
OPP 28
+1
92.0%
Colton Howell run for 1 yd to the NIowa 29Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 26
OPP 29
0
92.2%
Zac Kibby punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kyle Groeneweg at the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 6:2693% → 97%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
92.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 13 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
92.9%
Toren Young run for 5 yds to the NIowa 49Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
92.9%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Noah Fant, broken up by Chris KolarevicSimilar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+4
92.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 4 yds to the NIowa 45Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+3
92.4%
Brady Ross run for 3 yds to the NIowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
92.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the NIowa 37Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+7
92.7%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the NIowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
92.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brady Ross for 10 yds to the NIowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
92.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the NIowa 18Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+3
92.5%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the NIowa 15Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+4
92.3%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the NIowa 11Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 1
OWN 11
+1
92.0%
Nate Stanley run for 1 yd to the NIowa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
92.5%
Toren Young run for no gain to the NIowa 10Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+10
96.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 10 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.8%
Colton Howell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
95.8%
Colton Howell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
96.2%
Colton Howell pass incomplete to Jaylin James, broken up by Amani HookerSimilar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 10
OPP 31
0
96.2%
Zac Kibby punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9INT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:5997% → 97%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.2%
Nate Stanley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
97.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Mekhi SargentSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+8
97.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 8 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
97.3%
Nate Stanley sacked by Jared Brinkman for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+16
97.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 16 yds to the NIowa 47Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+8
97.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 8 yds to the NIowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
97.4%
Nate Stanley pass intercepted A.J. Allen return for 11 yds to the NIowa 28 NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, personal foul (Duncan Ferch) to the NIowa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+29
95.4%
Colton Howell pass intercepted Michael Ojemudia return for 29 yds to the NIowa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11MISSED FG
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:1297% → 97%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
97.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 23 yds to the NIowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+30
97.4%
Miguel Recinos 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Rickey Neal Jr. TEAM return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
95.9%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the NIowa 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
95.9%
Eli Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
96.3%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Jaylin JamesSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 27
-2
96.4%
Zac Kibby punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 24 , Kyle Groeneweg returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 25 IOWA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Iowa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:2097% → 98%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
97.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 8 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+12
97.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 12 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
97.5%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 4
50
+3
97.5%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the NIowa 47Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
97.4%
Nate Stanley run for 2 yds to the NIowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
97.5%
Toren Young run for 14 yds to the NIowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
97.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Toren Young for 2 yds to the NIowa 29Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-5
97.3%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Tristan Wirfs) to the NIowa 34Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+10
97.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 10 yds to the NIowa 24Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
97.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for no gain to the NIowa 24Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 3
OWN 24
+42
97.5%
Miguel Recinos 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
97.2%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Trevor Allen for 7 yds to the NIowa 32Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
97.2%
Trevor Allen run for no gain to the NIowa 32Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+9
97.4%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Terrell Carey for 9 yds Terrell Carey fumbled, forced by Jake Gervase, recovered by Iowa Kristian WelchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:4398% → 100%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
97.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the NIowa 36Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+11
97.8%
Nate Stanley run for 11 yds to the NIowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.7%
Mekhi Sargent run for 11 yds to the NIowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
99.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 14 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 3:430% → 0%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
99.6%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Trevor Allen for 16 yds to the NIowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.6%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Elias NissenSimilar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.6%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the NIowa 43Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+21
99.6%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Nick Fossey for 21 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.7%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Trevor Allen for 5 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+8
99.6%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Elias Nissen for 8 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.6%
Trevor Allen run for no gain to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.6%
Eli Dunne sacked by Cedrick Lattimore for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 15
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Nick FosseySimilar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+45
99.7%
Austin Errthum 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+48
99.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 48 yds to the NIowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.8%
Nick Easley run for 9 yds to the NIowa 15Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+15
99.8%
Toren Young run for 15 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 18TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:470% → 0%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
99.9%
Eli Dunne sacked by Brady Reiff for a loss of 4 yards to the NIowa 21Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+24
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Deion McShane for 24 yds to the NIowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the NIowa 47Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Nick Fossey for 7 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
99.9%
Trevor Allen run for 1 yd to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+27
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Briley Moore for 12 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, personal foul (Jack Hockaday) to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Briley MooreSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+7
99.9%
Trevor Allen run for 7 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+6
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Trevor Allen for 6 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
99.9%
[SG], PENALTY UNI pass interference (James, Jaylin) 15 yards to the IOWA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Jaylin JamesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+8
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Briley Moore for 8 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
99.9%
[SG], Dunne, Eli pass incomplete to Moore, Briley (Gervase,Jake), PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Gervase,Jake) 10 yards to the IOWA2, 1ST DOWN UNI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.9%
NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, false start (Briley Moore) to the Iowa 7Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Trevor Allen run for 1 yd to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the Iowa 4Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Briley Moore for 4 yds for a TD (Austin Errthum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19INT
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Peyton Mansell run for 13 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Henry Geil run for 4 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Henry Geil run for no gain to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+22
99.9%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 22 yds to the NIowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.9%
Henry Geil run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 37Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Henry Geil run for 7 yds to the NIowa 30Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+11
99.9%
Peyton Mansell pass intercepted Duncan Ferch return for 11 yds to the NIowa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 20TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:140% → 1%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Briley Moore for 6 yds to the NIowa 41Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Jaylin James for 6 yds to the NIowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Elias Nissen for 8 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+40
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Jalen Rima for 40 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Jalen RimaSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Elias Nissen for 5 yds for a TD (Austin Errthum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
99.7%
Henry Geil run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26 IOWA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Iowa 16Similar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 19
OWN 16
+7
99.7%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 7 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-7
99.7%
Peyton Mansell sacked by Rickey Neal Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 16 Peyton Mansell fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+7
99.7%
Henry Geil run for 7 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.7%
Colten Rastetter punt for 33 yds , Xavior Williams returns for 5 yds to the NIowa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:311% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Deion McShaneSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Terrell CareySimilar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+8
99.5%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Jaylin James for 8 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
99.6%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Jaylin JamesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.8%
Henry Geil run for 1 yd to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
Henry Geil run for 5 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Henry Geil run for 2 yds to the NIowa 49Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-2
99.8%
Henry Geil run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:09
Mekhi Sargent run for 10 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q2 14:09
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)
+2
TD · Q3 7:03
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 14 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com