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PUR

Purdue 28 at Indiana 21

IU
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:20 · Peyton Ramsey run for 7 yds to the Prdue 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Home team on offense−6.3Pregame prior−6.7Score differential−2.5Garbage-time factor−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:30: David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 56 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +11.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:43: David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 33 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +13.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:33: Peyton Ramsey run for 23 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +18.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:48: Markell Jones run for 32 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +12.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:17: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 40 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) PURDUE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined — IU win probability +15.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 14 at PUR 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:47IU 4th & 11 at PUR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:43IU 4th & 3 at PUR 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    41.6%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:24PUR 4th & 16 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:52IU 4th & 1 at PUR 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−2.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−8.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:38PUR 4th & 1 at IU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−2.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−7.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:33IU 4th & 7 at IU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:18IU 4th & 7 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00IU 4th & 8 at IU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:03PUR 4th & 20 at PUR 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−4.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:20IU 4th & 9 at PUR 31, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:43IU 4th & 4 at IU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 18 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−2.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:35PUR 4th & 2 at IU 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:43PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:52IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:30PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:43PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:33IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−1.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:48PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.7
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:17IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.0%
Rondale Moore run for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
35.0%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
35.0%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 11 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
35.0%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
35.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by Andre Brown Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-5
35.0%
David Blough sacked by Nile Sykes for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 0
0
35.0%
PENALTY IND unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY PUR unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY, deadball foul.Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
35.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
35.9%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+21
35.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 21 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
36.1%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+10
36.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 10 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
36.2%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
36.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
36.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke Timian, broken up by Brennan ThienemanSimilar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
35.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 4:3663% → 66%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
36.8%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+16
36.9%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 16 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
36.7%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 8 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+12
36.4%
Markell Jones run for 12 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
36.3%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 9 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+3
36.3%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
36.3%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 9 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+1
36.2%
Rondale Moore run for 1 yd to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
36.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by Gavin EverettSimilar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
36.2%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+15
36.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac Zico (Crawford, J.), PENALTY IND roughing passer (Stallings, A.) 15 yards to the IND12, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
36.2%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Ind 11Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
34.1%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 11 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0035% → 36%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
35.2%
Stevie Scott run for 14 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
35.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 18 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
36.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 7 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
36.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
36.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q1 5:43
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
35.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
34.5%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
35.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+22
35.3%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 22 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
34.0%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 3 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-3
34.1%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-6
34.3%
David Blough sacked by Michael Ziemba for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 16
50
0
35.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
17 plays · 87 yds · 5:3235% → 43%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
34.8%
Stevie Scott run for 9 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+9
35.1%
Stevie Scott run for 9 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
35.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle, broken up by Tim CasonSimilar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
35.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 4 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+7
34.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 7 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
35.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 3 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
36.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
50
+15
36.2%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Timian, Luke, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Simeon Smiley) 15 yards to the PUR35, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
37.2%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-7
37.2%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Giovanni Reviere for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+8
35.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+15
34.7%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Hale, Donavan, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Tim Cason) 15 yards to the PUR17, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
36.9%
Stevie Scott run for 8 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+1
36.9%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Prdue 8Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
36.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+8
43.4%
Stevie Scott run for 8 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7DOWNS
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:1459% → 60%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
40.6%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 7 yards to the PUR36 (Johnson, Jerome), PENALTY PUR holding (Eric Swingler) 10 yards to the PUR19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+18
41.1%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 18 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+4
39.7%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
39.5%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 12 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
38.9%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 13 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
38.3%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 16 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
38.0%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
38.0%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+3
38.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 3 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 1
OPP 9
-1
39.8%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
44.1%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 6
OWN 14
-3
44.2%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Markus Bailey for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 11Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+2
43.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 2 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
42.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
1 play · 56 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
30.9%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 56 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 3:1233% → 33%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
32.6%
Stevie Scott run for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 5 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
33.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
33.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 6 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
33.8%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
34.8%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Timian, Luke for 12 yards to the PUR41, out-of-bounds (Navon Mosley), PENALTY IND holding (Scott, Stevie) 10 yards to the IND37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
32.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for no gain to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+7
32.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 7 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+6
32.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 7
50
0
33.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11INT
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:3368% → 73%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
32.1%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+3
31.4%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 3 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+19
30.6%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jerome Johnson) to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
29.0%
David Blough run for 9 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+6
27.4%
David Blough pass intercepted Mike Barwick Jr. return for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12MISSED FG
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:1936% → 38%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
50
+6
35.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 6 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+15
36.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 15 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+47
37.8%
Logan Justus 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
32.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 8 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
33.9%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
32.9%
J-Shun Harris II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
32.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+4
31.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 4 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
31.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac Zico, broken up by Andre Brown Jr.Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
30.7%
David Blough sacked by Gavin Everett and Jerome Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
31.7%
David Blough sacked by Jerome Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 15Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+1
32.5%
Joe Schopper punt for 57 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 1 yd to the Ind 16 INDIANA Penalty, illegal block (Raheem Layne) to the Ind 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15DOWNS
14 plays · 57 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
31.4%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+7
31.4%
Stevie Scott run for 7 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+3
31.2%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
31.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 15 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
33.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
32.8%
Stevie Scott run for 9 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
34.8%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
35.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 9 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+3
36.5%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
36.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-15
36.4%
Walker, Ronnie rush for 2 yards to the PUR30 (Alexander), PENALTY IND illegal cut (Stepaniak, S.) 15 yards to the PUR47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 25
OPP 47
+8
33.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 8 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 17
OPP 39
+8
32.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+7
32.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 7 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:0072% → 88%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
28.3%
David Blough run for no gain to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
28.7%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 11 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
27.3%
Markell Jones run for 18 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
25.6%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 14 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
25.1%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
12.2%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 33 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
15.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 12 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
15.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
16.1%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
16.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
16.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 53 yds, downed at the Prdue 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
14 plays · 46 yds · 2:0987% → 88%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
12.7%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 3Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+2
12.8%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+12
13.2%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 12 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
12.6%
D.J. Knox rush for 7 yards to the PUR24 (Willis, Dameon), PENALTY PUR holding (Kirk Barron) 8 yards to the PUR9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 18
OWN 9
0
11.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole Herdman, broken up by Jonathan CrawfordSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 9
-2
11.7%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 7
-15
12.1%
PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
11.5%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 7 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+29
11.2%
D.J. Knox run for 29 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
10.4%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+1
9.9%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-10
10.2%
D.J. Knox rush for 4 yards to the IND29 (Samuels, Kayton), PENALTY PUR holding (Shane Evans) 10 yards to the IND43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 43
-7
10.7%
David Blough sacked by Brandon Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
50
-2
11.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 48 PURDUE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Antonio Blackmon) to the Ind 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:2310% → 31%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
9.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 5 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+7
10.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 7 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
10.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 7 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+6
10.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott for 6 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
10.9%
Luke Timian run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 6
50
+21
11.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 21 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
12.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 6 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+23
31.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 23 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:4581% → 97%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
19.3%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 20 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
16.9%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+6
16.7%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
16.2%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+6
16.1%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
3.4%
Markell Jones run for 32 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
3.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 5 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+20
4.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 20 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
4.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
4.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Navon Mosley return for no gain to the Prdue 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:2997% → 97%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
3.0%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+1
2.7%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+8
2.7%
Rondale Moore run for 8 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
2.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 34 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 1:111% → 17%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
1.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
1.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 6 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+6
1.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 6 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+21
1.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 21 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
1.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 10 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
1.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 7 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+40
17.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 40 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) PURDUE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
4.6%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-1
4.7%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:33
Peyton Ramsey run for 23 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)
+18.4
TD · Q4 1:17
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 40 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) PURDUE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined
+15.6
TD · Q3 3:43
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 33 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com