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IU

Indiana 20 at Michigan 31

MICH
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:15 · Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 5 yds to the Mich 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior+23.1Home team on offense+6.6Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:46: Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 41 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MICH win probability +3.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:33: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 7 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +7.4 pts (now 19%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:44: Karan Higdon run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +6.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:08: Jake Moody 33 yd FG GOOD — MICH win probability +5.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 6:10: Logan Justus 36 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +2.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 8IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:41MICH 4th & 11 at IU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20IU 4th & 3 at MICH 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51MICH 4th & 3 at MICH 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:59MICH 4th & 2 at IU 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15MICH 4th & 4 at IU 12, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:22IU 4th & 14 at IU 36, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:56MICH 4th & 8 at IU 13, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:39IU 4th & 6 at MICH 23, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:25IU 4th & 9 at IU 26, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:15IU 4th & 23 at IU 43, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−3.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:08MICH 4th & 2 at IU 15, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.6%−1.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−9.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:48IU 4th & 10 at MICH 47, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:55MICH 4th & 3 at IU 5, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.4%−1.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−8.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:10IU 4th & 5 at MICH 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:37MICH 4th & 2 at IU 11, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%−0.9
    87% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−4.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:21IU 4th & 12 at IU 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:14IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:46MICH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:33IU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:44MICH Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:1497% → 96%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
96.6%
Karan Higdon run for 13 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
96.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 14 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
96.5%
Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+14
96.4%
Karan Higdon run for 14 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
96.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+10
96.3%
Tru Wilson run for 10 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
96.2%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-2
96.1%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 14Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
95.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Karan HigdonSimilar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+32
95.9%
Jake Moody 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2INT
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:104% → 5%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.9%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
95.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
95.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 15 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
95.7%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
95.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 3
50
+4
95.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 4 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
95.4%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Mich 45Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
95.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+6
95.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 6 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
95.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Michael Dwumfour return for no gain to the Mich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2495% → 95%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
95.2%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+5
95.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Berkley Edwards for 5 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
95.0%
Will Hart punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:305% → 6%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.0%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+35
94.9%
Stevie Scott run for 35 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
94.6%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 42Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
94.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+29
94.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for 29 yds to the Mich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
93.6%
Stevie Scott run for 13 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:3594% → 93%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
93.8%
Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
93.9%
Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
93.8%
Shea Patterson run for no gain to the Mich 48Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
93.5%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 8
50
+6
93.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Karan Higdon for 6 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 0:59
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+11
92.9%
Karan Higdon run for 11 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
93.3%
Peoples-Jones, Donovan pass incomplete to Gentry, Zach, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Brown Jr., Andre) 15 yards to the INDIANA18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
93.0%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
93.0%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
92.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach GentrySimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
92.8%
Jake Moody 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:438% → 8%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.2%
Stevie Scott run for 9 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
91.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
91.6%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-5
91.4%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Brandon Knight) to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-2
91.6%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
91.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ronnie Walker Jr. INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brandon Knight) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 14
OWN 36
+8
91.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 32 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 8 yds to the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:1492% → 92%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
92.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 5 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
92.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+9
91.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 9 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+31
91.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 31 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
92.1%
Tru Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
91.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
91.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
92.0%
Jake Moody 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:098% → 12%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.6%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+30
91.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 30 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
90.6%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+10
90.5%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Westbrook, Nick, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Hill, Lavert) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
90.0%
Stevie Scott run for no gain to the Mich 27Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
90.0%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Mich 23Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
89.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
88.1%
Logan Justus 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:4289% → 93%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
89.3%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
89.7%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
89.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 5 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
89.3%
Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+6
89.3%
Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
92.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 41 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:029% → 19%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 9 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
90.6%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
90.7%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
90.6%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+7
90.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 7 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
89.9%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+41
89.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 41 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
88.6%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Mich 7Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 7 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11END OF HALF
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:2584% → 85%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
84.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 4 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+42
85.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 42 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
85.7%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
85.5%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Ind 7Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+4
83.5%
Ben Mason run for 4 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
84.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 1 yd to the Ind 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3017% → 16%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.8%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
82.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
83.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
83.7%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13TD
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:3284% → 90%
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
83.9%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 34Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
83.4%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+16
82.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
50
+13
84.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 13 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
84.2%
Chris Evans run for 7 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+14
84.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 14 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
84.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+6
84.1%
Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+5
83.9%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
84.4%
Ben Mason run for 1 yd to the Ind 4Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
84.1%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Gentry, Zach, PENALTY INDIANA personal foul (Brown Jr., Andre) 2 yards to the INDIANA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q3 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.4%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:5211% → 13%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.9%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
88.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 14 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
88.1%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+20
88.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 20 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
86.8%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Mich 43 Stevie Scott fumbled, forced by Kwity Paye, recovered by Mich Khaleke HudsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3589% → 89%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
89.1%
Chris Evans run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 3
50
0
89.3%
Shea Patterson pass intercepted Marcelino Ball return for no gain to the Ind 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 2:4013% → 12%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
87.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
86.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+8
87.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
85.1%
Stevie Scott run for 19 yds to the Mich 29 INDIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Simon Stepaniak) to the Mich 44Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-11
85.9%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Devin Bush and Rashan Gary for a loss of 11 yards to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 21
OWN 45
0
87.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 21
OWN 45
+3
87.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 3 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 18
OWN 46
-3
88.4%
INDIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-3 Yards) to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 23
OWN 43
+5
88.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 5 yds to the Mich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:0287% → 93%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
86.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sean McKeon) to the Mich 10Similar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+11
86.3%
Shea Patterson run for 11 yds to the Mich 21Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
86.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+41
85.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 41 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
88.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
88.0%
Tru Wilson run for 15 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
88.7%
Chris Evans run for 8 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
88.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
87.6%
Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
92.9%
Jake Moody 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:119% → 9%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.0%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
90.6%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Hill, Lavert) 10 yards to the INDIANA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
90.4%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+9
90.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
89.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
89.4%
Stevie Scott run for no gain to the Mich 47Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
90.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Reese TaylorSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 10
OPP 47
+3
91.0%
Marcelino Ball run for 3 yds to the Mich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:4193% → 95%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
93.3%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+13
93.5%
Karan Higdon run for 13 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
93.6%
Shea Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
93.9%
Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+19
93.6%
Shea Patterson run for 19 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
94.0%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-1
93.9%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+5
93.5%
Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+23
94.5%
Jake Moody 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:346% → 10%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott for 8 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
93.7%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
93.8%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
93.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Josh Metellus) to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
93.1%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
93.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+22
93.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 22 yds to the Mich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
92.1%
Stevie Scott run for 7 yds to the Mich 17Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+2
91.9%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Mich 15Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-4
92.9%
Stevie Scott run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 19Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
90.5%
Logan Justus 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:2395% → 97%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
94.5%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+15
95.7%
Shea Patterson run for 15 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
96.0%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
95.9%
Shea Patterson run for 6 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
96.3%
Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
96.8%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Ind 13Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+2
96.7%
Shea Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+29
96.8%
Jake Moody 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:112% → 2%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Mike MajetteSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 15 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
97.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
97.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-6
97.4%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Rashan Gary for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
97.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-1
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:33
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 7 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)
-7.4
TD · Q3 9:44
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)
+6.4
FG · Q3 2:08
Jake Moody 33 yd FG GOOD
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com