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Maryland 32 at Indiana 34

IU
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:50 · Haydon Whitehead punt for 33 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorBlowout margin
+21.0+10.50−10.5−21.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Home team on offense−1.3Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Pregame prior−1.9Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:11: Stevie Scott run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +8.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:26: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 19 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +12.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:45: Javon Leake run for 27 yds for a TD (Tyrrell Pigrome pass to Anthony McFarland for Two-Point Conversion) — MD win probability +12.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:54: Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 15 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MD win probability +32.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:32: Logan Justus 42 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +26.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:05MD 4th & 12 at IU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:05IU 4th & 9 at IU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:50MD 4th & 13 at IU 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:50IU 4th & 10 at IU 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MD 4th & 8 at MD 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07MD 4th & 3 at IU 14, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.9
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:01IU 4th & 3 at MD 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.9%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:05IU 4th & 5 at MD 5, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−8.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:45IU 4th & 8 at IU 37, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:44MD 4th & 3 at MD 47, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:45IU 4th & 5 at IU 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−2.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00MD 4th & 1 at IU 37, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%−5.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−6.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:25MD 4th & 10 at IU 21, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−3.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−11.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:25IU 4th & 17 at MD 45, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−4.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    70.0%−3.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:32IU 4th & 1 at MD 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−4.5
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−24.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 12:30IU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:07IU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:11IU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:04MD Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    32.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:26IU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:45MD Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:54MD Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    56.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    57.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:5552% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
47.7%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
47.7%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+10
47.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 10 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
47.7%
Anthony McFarland run for 24 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
47.7%
Ty Johnson run for 9 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+15
47.7%
Ty Johnson run for 15 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
47.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 15Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-3
47.7%
Brian Cobbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+6
47.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 6 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
47.7%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
48.3%
Joseph Petrino 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
48.5%
Stevie Scott run for no gain to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
48.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 6 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-5
48.6%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Adam McLean for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
48.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:3952% → 54%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
48.4%
Anthony McFarland run for 4 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+12
48.4%
Anthony McFarland run for 12 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
48.3%
Jeshaun Jones run for 16 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
47.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Damian Prince) to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+6
48.2%
Anthony McFarland run for 6 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
47.9%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+20
48.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 20 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
47.7%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+19
47.6%
Anthony McFarland run for 19 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
47.6%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-3
47.6%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 14Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 13
OPP 14
0
48.2%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+31
46.5%
Joseph Petrino 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
47.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 11 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
48.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
48.0%
Stevie Scott run for no gain to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
47.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
47.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:4154% → 54%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
46.5%
Jeshaun Jones run for 4 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
46.1%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+14
46.0%
Anthony McFarland run for 14 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
45.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
45.2%
Anthony McFarland run for no gain to the Mary 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
45.3%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
46.2%
Wade Lees punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 1:3647% → 56%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
46.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 9 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+6
46.9%
Stevie Scott run for 6 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.7%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+35
47.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 35 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
49.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
55.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 35 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0047% → 48%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.6%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jeshaun Jones, broken up by Jaylin WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.7%
Anthony McFarland run for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
53.0%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 7 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
52.1%
Kasim Hill pass intercepted Jaylin Williams return for 2 yds to the Ind 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 2:2354% → 62%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
53.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 8 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
55.0%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
54.9%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Fryfogle, Ty, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Lewis, Rayshad) 15 yards to the UMD37, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
62.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 37 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0039% → 40%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
60.8%
Kasim Hill run for 12 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
60.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 36 Tayon Fleet-Davis fumbled, recovered by Ind Jerome JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:1563% → 72%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
62.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 12 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
63.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 8 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 2
OPP 16
0
63.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan Hale, broken up by RaVon DavisSimilar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+6
62.4%
Stevie Scott run for 6 yds to the Mary 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
63.2%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Hale, Donavan, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Davis, RaVon) 8 yards to the UMD2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.8%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0731% → 38%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.2%
Jeshaun Jones run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
69.2%
Kasim Hill run for 2 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
69.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 9 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
68.9%
Anthony McFarland run for 2 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
68.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 5 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+29
68.1%
Anthony McFarland run for 29 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
66.8%
Anthony McFarland run for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+14
67.1%
INDIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brandon Wilson) to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
66.8%
Jeshaun Jones run for 7 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+3
66.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 8 (Joseph Petrino PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
67.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 3 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
67.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Tre Watson return for no gain to the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:2836% → 39%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
64.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 5
50
+14
63.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus for 14 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
63.3%
Anthony McFarland run for 15 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
61.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 5 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+3
61.7%
Anthony McFarland run for 3 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 2
OPP 13
-1
62.9%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
61.0%
Joseph Petrino 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 3:3464% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-10
64.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (Nick Linder) to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 9
+5
63.8%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+6
63.8%
Stevie Scott run for 6 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+25
62.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 25 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
66.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott for no gain to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
65.5%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Oluwaseun Oluwatimi for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 44 Peyton Ramsey fumbled, recovered by Ind Stevie Scott , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+8
66.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 8 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+11
67.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 11 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
69.0%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+15
69.5%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Hale, Donavan, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Davis, RaVon) 15 yards to the UMD19, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
82.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 19 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0020% → 22%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
80.1%
Anthony McFarland run for 15 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
79.4%
Anthony McFarland run for 4 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+10
78.5%
Anthony McFarland run for 10 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
78.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 5 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-1
78.0%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 39 Anthony McFarland fumbled, forced by Alfred Bryant, recovered by Ind Alfred BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:5284% → 89%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
84.0%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
84.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+43
83.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 43 yds to the Mary 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
84.4%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+10
84.4%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Majette, Mike, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Davis, Isaiah) 10 yards to the UMD4, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
84.4%
Stevie Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 5Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 8:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q3 7:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
88.8%
Logan Justus 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:2018% → 31%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
81.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
69.1%
Javon Leake run for 27 yds for a TD (Tyrrell Pigrome pass to Anthony McFarland for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
76.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot, broken up by Tre WatsonSimilar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
76.3%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
76.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan Hale, broken up by Tino EllisSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
74.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 34 yds, downed at the Mary 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
74.2%
Javon Leake run for 5 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+6
73.4%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
72.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 6 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
71.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 1 yd to the Mary 47Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
71.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus, broken up by Andre Brown Jr.Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
74.3%
Wade Lees punt for 42 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
80.9%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+11
80.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 11 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
81.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
80.9%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
80.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+4
79.7%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 32 yds , Taivon Jacobs returns for 4 yds to the Mary 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:3422% → 28%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
77.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+11
77.9%
Anthony McFarland run for 11 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
75.9%
Anthony McFarland run for no gain to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
76.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 8 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
77.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+16
79.1%
Anthony McFarland run for 16 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
75.6%
Anthony McFarland run for 6 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
-1
75.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-5
77.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Dontay Demus) to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
77.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay DemusSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
72.0%
Joseph Petrino 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0076% → 73%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
76.1%
Stevie Scott run for 22 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
77.3%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Antoine Brooks Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 17
OPP 45
+8
75.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 8 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-8
76.1%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Keiron Howard for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 17
OPP 45
0
72.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Taivon Jacobs at the Mary 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 5:2026% → 66%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
74.1%
Anthony McFarland run for 1 yd to the Mary 13Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+3
74.4%
Jeshaun Jones run for 3 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+12
75.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus for 12 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
73.3%
Anthony McFarland run for 11 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
71.6%
Anthony McFarland run for 5 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
69.8%
Anthony McFarland run for 1 yd to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+51
70.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus for 51 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
66.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 5Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
66.2%
Pigrome, T. rush for loss of 1 yard to the IND6 (Stallings, A.), PENALTY UMD holding (Spence, Cam) 10 yards to the IND15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
34.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 15 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:2255% → 76%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
54.5%
Stevie Scott run for 27 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
59.3%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+1
59.3%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+4
56.4%
Mike Majette run for 4 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+42
76.2%
Logan Justus 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26FUMBLE
9 plays · 30 yds · 1:0634% → 40%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
66.1%
Anthony McFarland run for 8 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+9
64.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 9 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
64.1%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+21
70.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
50
+2
60.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-5
59.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Kayton Samuels for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 47 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, recovered by Ind Nile Sykes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0690% → 89%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
89.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-1
90.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 12
OPP 49
-1
89.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:54
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 15 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-32.3
FG · Q4 2:32
Logan Justus 42 yd FG GOOD
+26.4
TD · Q3 11:26
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 19 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Logan Justus KICK)
+12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com