Try the model
IU

Indiana 31 at Minnesota 38

MINN
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2018 · Huntington Bank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:48 · Timeout INDIANA, clock 00:48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorTime remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:19: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 8 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +10.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:35: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 18 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +10.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:04: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 37 yds for a TD (Peyton Ramsey pass to Ty Fryfogle for Two-Point Conversion) — IU win probability +12.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:57: Stevie Scott run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 03:57 (Peyton Ramsey pass to Donavan Hale for Two-Point Conversion) — IU win probability +45.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:34: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 67 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +45.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 9:27IU 4th & 3 at MINN 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:13IU 4th & 3 at MINN 6, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−3.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:05IU 4th & 10 at MINN 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:03MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 34, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.9%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:19IU 4th & 2 at MINN 46, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.8%−2.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:56MINN 4th & 15 at IU 18, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−2.8
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−8.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:56IU 4th & 7 at IU 28, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:45IU 4th & 8 at IU 44, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 20, up 22
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:14MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 14, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−2.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:06IU 4th & 9 at MINN 32, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−2.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:43MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−8.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:25IU 4th & 3 at IU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−1.9
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 0 of 3
  1. Q1 6:20MINN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:19MINN Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:35MINN Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:33MINN Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:24IU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:04IU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    14.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:57IU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.3 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.4%−1.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:34MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:3354% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
46.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 8 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
46.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
46.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 15 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
46.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton RamseySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
46.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott for 6 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+10
46.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 10 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
46.3%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+6
46.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 6 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+6
46.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 6 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
46.3%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+4
46.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 4 yds to the Minn 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
46.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott for no gain to the Minn 15Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
47.0%
Logan Justus 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 3:0747% → 51%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
47.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 15 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+25
47.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 25 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
47.8%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+9
48.0%
Seth Green run for 9 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
48.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 21 yds Chris Autman-Bell fumbled, forced by Raheem Layne, recovered by Minn Rashod Bateman for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.6%
Seth Green run for 1 yd for a TD Emmit Carpenter kickoff (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 5:0750% → 51%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.6%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
49.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
49.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 6 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
49.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 3 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
49.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 3 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+9
48.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 9 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
48.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+14
48.7%
Stevie Scott run for 14 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
48.4%
Stevie Scott run for 22 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
48.4%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Minn 10Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+4
48.4%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Minn 6Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
49.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
49.0%
Logan Justus 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.2%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 34 Shannon Brooks fumbled, forced by Bryant Fitzgerald, recovered by Ind Mike Barwick Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:5652% → 53%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
47.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
47.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 11 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
47.6%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
48.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+1
48.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 1 yd to the Minn 23Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
46.9%
Logan Justus 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:4648% → 60%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
48.1%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 23Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
47.9%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
47.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 7 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
46.6%
Seth Green run for 1 yd to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
47.5%
Shannon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+17
49.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 17 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
49.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 9 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+6
50.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
50.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
50.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Marcelino BallSimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+11
49.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 11 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
50.3%
Seth Green run for 2 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+2
50.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
60.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 8 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0045% → 47%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
54.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 8 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
54.2%
Stevie Scott run for 11 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
52.5%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 6
50
-10
52.0%
Whop Philyor run for a loss of 10 yards to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+14
55.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 14 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
53.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 45 yds, downed at the Minn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
10 plays · 99 yds · 2:4160% → 76%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
59.5%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 3Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+52
59.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 52 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
63.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
63.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+7
63.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 7 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
64.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 9 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+7
64.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
75.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 18 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
74.4%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for no gain to the Ind 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 7:0475% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
74.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-10
75.0%
Brooks, Shannon rush for 1 yard to the MINN36 (Willis, Dameon), PENALTY MINN holding (Greene, Donnell) 10 yards to the MINN25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+6
74.3%
Tanner Morgan run for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+15
73.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 15 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
75.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+3
75.7%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+15
74.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 15 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
75.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+14
81.1%
Brooks, Shannon rush for 1 yard to the IND26, PENALTY IND face mask (Johnson, Jerome) 14 yards to the IND13, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
81.1%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Ind 12Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-8
81.1%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Dameon Willis Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 17
OPP 20
+2
79.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+37
85.6%
Emmit Carpenter 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.5%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
83.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
83.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris IISimilar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
84.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt blocked by Justus Harris blocked by Justus HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:3388% → 96%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
87.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 4 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
87.5%
Shannon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
95.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 17 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Jordan Howden return for no gain to the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
95.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 13 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
95.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 9 yds to the Ind 2 Shannon Brooks fumbled, forced by Khalil Bryant, recovered by Ind Raheem LayneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
95.7%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+2
95.7%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+5
95.7%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Westbrook, Nick, PENALTY MINN offside (Mafe, Boye) 5 yards to the IND11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+7
95.6%
Stevie Scott run for 7 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
95.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 10 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
95.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+12
95.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 12 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
95.2%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Timian, Luke for 8 yards to the 50 yardline, out-of-bounds, PENALTY IND holding (Knight, Brandon) 10 yards to the IND32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+12
95.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 12 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-2
95.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+2
95.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 2 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
95.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:1698% → 98%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
97.9%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+5
98.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
97.9%
Jacob Herbers punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:312% → 9%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
98.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 4 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+43
91.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 43 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
94.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Cam JonesSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
93.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+27
94.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 27 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
94.4%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Ind 37 Bryce Williams fumbled, forced by Cam Jones, recovered by Ind Juwan BurgessSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:518% → 20%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
92.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 5 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+8
92.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
50
+3
92.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 3 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
92.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 6 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
92.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
80.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 37 yds for a TD (Peyton Ramsey pass to Ty Fryfogle for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
87.4%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Bryant Fitzgerald return for no gain to the Minn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
79.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 1 yd to the Minn 33Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
80.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan Hale, broken up by Terell SmithSimilar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
81.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Jacob Huff return for no gain to the Minn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
88.0%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 13Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+3
87.8%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 6
OWN 16
-2
87.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 14Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
86.6%
Jacob Herbers punt for 41 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:0916% → 60%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
84.1%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
83.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 4 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
83.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 3 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
82.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
83.1%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive offside (Carter Coughlin) to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+6
82.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 6 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
81.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Minn 32Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
81.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
83.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Jacob HuffSimilar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+29
85.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 29 yds to the Minn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.1%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 03:57 (Peyton Ramsey pass to Donavan Hale for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:1456% → 50%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Demetrius DouglasSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
55.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Jake PaulsonSimilar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
52.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Demetrius DouglasSimilar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
50.1%
Jacob Herbers punt for 51 yds, downed at the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
47.6%
Stevie Scott run for 7 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+2
44.7%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-2
45.2%
Stevie Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
49.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 36 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for no gain to the Minn 33 Demetrius Douglas fumbled, recovered by Minn Demetrius DouglasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 26TD
1 play · 67 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
94.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 67 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.7%
INDIANA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
89.9%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 18 Peyton Ramsey fumbled, recovered by Minn Gary Moore , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 28Uncategorized
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0596% → 97%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
96.0%
Seth Green run for 2 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
96.5%
Seth Green run for 1 yd to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+8
96.3%
INDIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brandon Wilson) to the Ind 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:57
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 03:57 (Peyton Ramsey pass to Donavan Hale for Two-Point Conversion)
-45.7
TD · Q4 1:34
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 67 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+45.3
TD · Q4 10:04
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 37 yds for a TD (Peyton Ramsey pass to Ty Fryfogle for Two-Point Conversion)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com