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IOWA

Iowa 42 at Indiana 16

IU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:53 · Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior−11.4Home team on offense−2.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:21: Noah Fant 28 Yd pass from Nate Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick) — IOWA win probability +3.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:17: Ty Fryfogle 33 Yd pass from Peyton Ramsey (Logan Justus Kick) — IU win probability +7.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:03: Nick Easley 12 Yd pass from Nate Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick) — IOWA win probability +7.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:41: Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris II — IU win probability +9.8 pts (now 40%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:55: Peyton Ramsey 12 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — IU win probability +2.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:32IU 4th & 2 at IOWA 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:28IU 4th & 20 at IU 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:53IOWA 4th & 2 at IU 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:17IU 4th & 3 at IU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:39IU 4th & 5 at IU 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:26IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:41IU 4th & 1 at IOWA 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:48IU 4th & 2 at IU 28, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:04IOWA 4th & 15 at IU 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−3.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−3.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:56IU 4th & 8 at IOWA 20, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.2 ptsWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%−5.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−14.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:03IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 40, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:15IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:21IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:17IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:03IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 4:2236% → 38%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.7%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
35.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 8 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
36.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 9 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
36.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris IISimilar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
36.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Ind 45 Peyton Ramsey fumbled, forced by Geno Stone, recovered by Ind Delroy Baker for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
36.4%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 13 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
36.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 12 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
37.0%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+9
37.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 9 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
37.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 5 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
37.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+3
37.6%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+29
38.0%
Logan Justus 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:0562% → 64%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
37.9%
Toren Young run for 9 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+23
38.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 23 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
38.0%
PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Fant, Noah) 15 yards to the IOWA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 25
OWN 43
+7
38.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 18
50
+10
38.7%
PENALTY INDIANA holding (Ball, Marcelino) 10 yards to the INDIANA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
38.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 11 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
38.2%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Tristan Wirfs) to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+15
38.6%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Raheem Layne) to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
38.3%
INDIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (10 Yards) to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
36.3%
T.J. Hockenson 9 Yd pass from Nate Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3937% → 37%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
37.2%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
37.0%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by A.J. Epenesa for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-5
36.6%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Khalil Bryant) to the Ind 15Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+5
36.6%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 50 yds , Kyle Groeneweg returns for 5 yds to the Iowa 20 IOWA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Iowa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4DOWNS TD
13 plays · 28 yds · 4:0063% → 68%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
37.3%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+7
37.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
36.9%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+16
36.8%
Toren Young run for 16 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
36.6%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+2
36.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
36.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+2
37.1%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
36.1%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
36.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
32.5%
Noah Fant 28 Yd pass from Nate Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0033% → 32%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
32.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
32.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 7 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
32.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 46 yds, downed at the Iowa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6INT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0967% → 70%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
32.7%
Toren Young run for 5 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+6
32.4%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
32.3%
PENALTY INDIANA holding (Brown Jr., Andre) 10 yards to the IOWA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
31.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 16 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
30.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brady Ross for 3 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+30
30.2%
Nate Stanley pass intercepted Thomas Allen return for 30 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:2934% → 41%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
33.5%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 33Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+33
40.8%
Ty Fryfogle 33 Yd pass from Peyton Ramsey (Logan Justus Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:5364% → 71%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
36.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+1
35.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+21
36.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 21 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
29.2%
Nick Easley 12 Yd pass from Nate Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:1830% → 31%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
30.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 8 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
30.7%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
30.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
30.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott for 7 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-4
33.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
31.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 0 yds · 4:0470% → 71%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
30.3%
Toren Young run for 7 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 3
OWN 17
0
30.1%
Toren Young run for no gain to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+4
30.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 4 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
29.6%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
29.3%
Nate Stanley run for no gain to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+2
29.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 2 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
29.5%
Colten Rastetter punt for 43 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for no gain to the Ind 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:3930% → 40%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
30.1%
Stevie Scott run for 9 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Brady Reiff) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
50
0
30.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
50
+2
30.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+11
29.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 11 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
29.8%
Stevie Scott run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
31.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+3
29.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
39.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:4163% → 60%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
37.3%
INDIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
35.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for no gain to the Iowa 43Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
35.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 11 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
34.1%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
34.7%
Nate Stanley sacked by Jerome Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
39.7%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:4263% → 65%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
37.2%
Toren Young run for 10 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
35.7%
Stanley, Nate pass incomplete to Hockenson, T.J., PENALTY INDIANA holding 10 yards to the INDIANA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
35.3%
Toren Young run for 7 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
34.9%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+30
35.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 30 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
34.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 11Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
34.7%
Toren Young 11 Yd pass from Nate Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1039% → 38%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
39.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
38.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 8 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
38.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris IISimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
37.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kyle Groeneweg at the Iowa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 1:2264% → 64%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
36.2%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
36.1%
Toren Young run for 5 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+54
36.4%
T.J. Hockenson 54 Yd pass from Nate Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1940% → 45%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
39.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 9 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
42.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
40.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 22 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
44.1%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
42.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 3 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+5
42.5%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
45.0%
Reese Taylor run for 6 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-1
45.1%
Stevie Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+15
42.9%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Timian, Luke, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Ojemudia, Michael) 15 yards to the IOWA12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
45.3%
Peyton Ramsey 12 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:3766% → 65%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
34.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 14 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-15
33.2%
IOWA Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 25
OWN 44
-15
35.3%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Noah Fant) to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 40
OWN 29
+18
34.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 18 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 22
OWN 47
-2
32.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 24
OWN 45
+9
34.1%
Max Cooper run for 9 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
34.8%
Colten Rastetter punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18INT
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:3536% → 43%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
36.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 11 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
36.8%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
39.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 4 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
38.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
39.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 5 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+7
40.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 7 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
41.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 4 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+15
41.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 15 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
43.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 12 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
43.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 8 yds to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 2
OPP 6
0
43.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted, touchback. Geno Stone return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:5468% → 76%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
32.4%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Iowa 21Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
32.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to T.J. HockensonSimilar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+58
34.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 58 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
26.7%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to T.J. HockensonSimilar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
26.8%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-5
28.2%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+14
29.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 14 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
24.5%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q4 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
24.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 2 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
26.0%
Stanley, Nate pass incomplete to Smith-Marsette, Ihmir, PENALTY INDIANA holding (Crawford, Jonathan) 4 yards to the INDIANA4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q4 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
24.4%
Austin Kelly 4 Yd pass from Nate Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20INT
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:1335% → 33%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
35.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
35.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott for 4 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+24
34.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 24 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
41.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 6 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-2
41.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+10
39.2%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Harris II, J-Shun, PENALTY IOWA holding 10 yards to the IOWA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
42.2%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Chauncey Golston for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+14
37.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 14 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
39.7%
Mike Majette run for 4 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
39.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
39.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 2 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
36.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+19
33.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Jake Gervase return for 19 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:4778% → 87%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
21.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
17.0%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Kyle GroenewegSimilar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+13
18.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 13 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
15.3%
Toren Young run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
9.3%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
10.9%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 2
OWN 45
-5
12.0%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
12.7%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-12.7
TD · Q2 0:41
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris II
+9.8
TD · Q2 12:17
Ty Fryfogle 33 Yd pass from Peyton Ramsey (Logan Justus Kick)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com