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UVA

Virginia 16 at Indiana 20

IU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:53 · Lester Coleman punt for 36 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 1 yd to the Ind 11 J-Shun Harris II fumbled,
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingScore differential
+18.0+9.00−9.0−18.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense+0.2Pregame prior+10.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Time remaining+0.3Score differential+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:36: Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 1 yd for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +2.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:36: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 23 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +12.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:59: Bryce Perkins pass complete to Chris Sharp for 20 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +10.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:29: Timeout INDIANA, clock 03:29 — IU win probability +6.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:16: Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 00:16 — IU win probability +9.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7UVA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 5:53UVA 4th & 4 at IU 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 2 at IU 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:34UVA 4th & 10 at UVA 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:44IU 4th & 7 at IU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:58UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 29, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:25IU 4th & 11 at IU 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:26UVA 4th & 23 at UVA 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:53IU 4th & 9 at UVA 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:37UVA 4th & 20 at IU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−2.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:13IU 4th & 15 at UVA 34, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 19, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:49IU 4th & 9 at UVA 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−1.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:06UVA 4th & 6 at UVA 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:29IU 4th & 5 at UVA 37, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−1.9
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:58UVA 4th & 4 at UVA 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.3%−7.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UVA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:36UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:27IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:53IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:36IU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:59UVA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:2438% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
62.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
62.3%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+9
62.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
62.3%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+47
62.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 47 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
62.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
62.3%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+15
62.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 15 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.3%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.3%
Bryce Perkins run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 1 yd for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0960% → 63%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.2%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
60.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
59.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
60.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
60.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+9
60.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 9 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
60.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 5 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
60.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 4 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+40
62.6%
Stevie Scott run for 40 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:2963% → 64%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
63.0%
Reese Taylor run for 12 yds to the Virg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
65.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 9 yds for a TD INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 8 (Logan Justus PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q1 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
64.2%
Juan Thornhill return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
63.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+18
62.8%
Bryce Perkins run for 18 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
62.4%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the Virg 49Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+6
62.4%
Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-1
62.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 46Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+1
62.8%
Lester Coleman punt for 36 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 1 yd to the Ind 11 J-Shun Harris II fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:4163% → 63%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
63.3%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+7
63.2%
Stevie Scott run for 7 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
63.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
63.2%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Ind 22Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+10
62.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 10 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
63.5%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-1
64.1%
Reese Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+4
63.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 4 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
63.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 58 yds, downed at the Virg 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
63.6%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the Virg 1Similar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+1
65.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the Virg 2Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+4
65.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Virg 6Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+10
65.7%
Perkins, B pass incomplete to Reed, J, PENALTY IND holding (Ball, Marcelino) 10 yards to the VA16, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
64.6%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 12 Bryce Perkins fumbled, recovered by Virg Bryce Perkins , return for no gain to the Virg 12Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+7
64.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 7 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-3
65.2%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 16Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 10
OWN 16
-3
65.8%
Lester Coleman punt for 44 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
65.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Austin Dorris for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+1
65.0%
Reese Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+3
64.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 3 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
64.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds , Chuck Davis returns for no gain to the Virg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
65.6%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 19Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
65.9%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise DuboisSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+10
66.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 10 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
66.4%
Lester Coleman punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
65.8%
Stevie Scott run for 6 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
66.0%
Stevie Scott run for no gain to the Ind 24Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-7
65.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 17Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
64.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds , Chuck Davis returns for no gain to the Virg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:0036% → 33%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
63.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 8
50
-14
63.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the INDIANA 49 VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Virg 36Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 22
OWN 36
-1
66.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 35Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 23
OWN 35
0
67.1%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 23
OWN 35
0
67.5%
Lester Coleman punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 0:5267% → 80%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
66.6%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Timian, Luke, PENALTY VA pass interference (Blount, J) 15 yards to the IND41, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
67.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+33
68.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 33 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
80.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 23 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
77.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+2
77.7%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+7
78.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:0778% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+42
77.6%
Stevie Scott run for 42 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
78.9%
Stevie Scott run for 6 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+5
78.9%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
78.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Bryce HallSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
78.8%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Virg 21Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-3
81.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 24Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+6
80.5%
Logan Justus 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Joey Blount return for 6 yds to the Virg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:5420% → 34%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
80.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Virg 36Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
79.9%
Joe Reed run for 8 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
79.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
78.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 24 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
77.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
77.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+20
66.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Chris Sharp for 20 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
70.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Juan Thornhill return for 1 yd to the Ind 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:0934% → 26%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
66.4%
Perkins, B rush for 9 yards to the IND28, out-of-bounds (Sykes, Nile), PENALTY VA holding (Reinkensmeyer,D) 10 yards to the IND47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 20
OPP 47
0
68.1%
Bryce Perkins run for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 20
OPP 47
0
71.9%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 20
OPP 47
0
73.1%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 20
OPP 47
0
74.4%
Lester Coleman punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
16 plays · 60 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
71.0%
Stevie Scott run for 9 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+2
71.2%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
71.3%
Ramsey, Peyton rush for 3 yards to the IND20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY IND holding (Stepaniak, S.) 8 yards to the IND9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 18
OWN 9
+4
71.0%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+4
70.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 4 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+18
70.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 18 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
71.8%
Stevie Scott run for 14 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
73.7%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+7
74.2%
Stevie Scott run for 7 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
71.5%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Philyor, Whop, PENALTY VA pass interference off-setting, PENALTY IND holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
74.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 4 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
74.3%
Stevie Scott run for 7 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
75.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Virg 28Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-6
75.7%
Reese Taylor run for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 34Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 15
OPP 34
0
72.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle, broken up by Joey BlountSimilar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 15
OPP 34
0
70.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Chuck Davis at the Virg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0324% → 22%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
76.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
76.3%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus, broken up by Gavin EverettSimilar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+6
77.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 6 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
77.8%
Lester Coleman punt for 61 yds, downed at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
73.7%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
73.6%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
73.2%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
74.2%
Stevie Scott run for 7 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
75.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
74.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 4 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
75.8%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+15
75.7%
Ramsey, Peyton pass intercepted by Bratton, D at the VA16, Bratton, D return to the VA16, PENALTY VA pass interference (Blount, J) 15 yards to the VA42, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
77.0%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Virg 41Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
76.8%
Stevie Scott run for 6 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-1
76.9%
Stevie Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 36Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 4
OPP 36
-5
75.1%
INDIANA Penalty, delay of game (Peyton Ramsey) to the Virg 41Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
73.3%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Chuck Davis at the Virg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
77.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds to the Virg 20Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+19
77.1%
Jordan Ellis run for 19 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
75.4%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 38Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+5
76.4%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
75.8%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+4
77.9%
Lester Coleman punt for 38 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 4 yds to the Ind 47 INDIANA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Ind 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:5080% → 89%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
79.9%
Stevie Scott run for 7 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+3
80.5%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
80.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 7 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
81.2%
Stevie Scott run for no gain to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+28
79.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 28 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
83.1%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Virg 41Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
83.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot, broken up by Bryce HallSimilar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+4
81.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
88.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Chuck Davis at the Virg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 23END OF GAME
18 plays · 64 yds · 3:0715% → 19%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
84.8%
Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 14Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+15
83.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 15 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
82.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
82.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+8
84.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 8 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
81.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
82.5%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 37 Bryce Perkins fumbled, forced by Allen Stallings IV, recovered by Virg Bryce Perkins , return for no gain to the Virg 37Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+9
85.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 9 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+7
83.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 7 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
78.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
79.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 11 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
76.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise DuboisSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
77.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+2
77.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+4
87.3%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Raheem Layne) to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
80.7%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.3
TD · Q2 1:36
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 23 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q3 7:59
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Chris Sharp for 20 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)
-10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com