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Indiana 38 at Florida International 28

FIU
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:42 · Stone Wilson punt for 50 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 6 yds to the Ind 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior−24.5Home team on offense−6.5Score differential−3.4Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:12: Anthony Jones run for 36 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +6.7 pts (now 26%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:41: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +4.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:39: Michal Penix Jr pass complete to Mike Majette for 9 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +7.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:11: Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +5.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:04: James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 7 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +8.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 4:01FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:42FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:42IU 4th & 1 at IU 43, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:41IU 4th & 2 at FIU 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.0%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:15IU 4th & 3 at FIU 35, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.3%−0.4
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    83.4%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00IU 4th & 2 at midfield, up 14
    Close callPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:07FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:34FIU 4th & 1 at IU 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−1.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:58IU 4th & 15 at FIU 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−1.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−5.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:58FIU 4th & 4 at IU 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−4.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:18IU 4th & 1 at FIU 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:42FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:59IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:01IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:42IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:12FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:41IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:39IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:11FIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:04FIU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
19.3%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-1
19.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+15
19.3%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to MALONEY, Austin, PENALTY IND pass interference (Riggins, A'Shon) 15 yards to the FIU39, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
19.3%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
19.3%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+6
19.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 6 yds Maurice Alexander fumbled, forced by Jonathan Crawford, recovered by Ind Devon MatthewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
20.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
20.2%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Gest, Cole for no gain to the FIU39, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FIU holding (BROWN, Isaiah) 10 yards to the FIU29, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
20.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 4 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
20.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+14
20.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Dorian Hall return for 14 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:0121% → 26%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
21.0%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
21.0%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 10 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
21.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+18
21.1%
Anthony Jones run for 18 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
21.3%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+7
21.4%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
21.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 6 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+11
21.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 11 yds to the Ind 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
21.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
21.4%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the Ind 2Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
25.5%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4375% → 77%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
25.1%
Whop Philyor run for 9 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
24.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+32
24.8%
Reese Taylor run for 32 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
24.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 7 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
24.2%
Cole Gest run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
24.2%
Cole Gest run for no gain to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
23.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 18 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5INT TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5824% → 22%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.4%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
24.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
21.7%
James Morgan pass intercepted for a TD Jonathan Crawford return for no gain for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
22.0%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for no gain to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
21.6%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to D'Vonte PriceSimilar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
21.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:5578% → 83%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
21.7%
Cole Gest run for 4 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+15
21.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 15 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
21.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
21.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
21.2%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
21.2%
Cole Gest run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+10
21.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Cole Gest for 10 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
21.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
21.3%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
21.3%
Cole Gest run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
17.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 3 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, ( Yards) declined Justus, Logan kick attempt good, PENALTY IND false start (Baker, Delroy) 5 yards to the FIU8, NO PLAY. (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
Q2 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
17.3%
Justus, Logan kick attempt good, PENALTY IND false start (Baker, Delroy) 5 yards to the FIU8, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
18.7%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+5
18.7%
Christian Alexander run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 1
OWN 24
-2
18.8%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Anthony Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+6
18.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 50 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 6 yds to the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
17.4%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
17.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Reese Taylor for 4 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
17.2%
Stevie Scott run for no gain to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
17.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:3218% → 26%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
17.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
17.9%
Christian Alexander run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
17.9%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
17.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+17
18.1%
Christian Alexander pass complete to CJ Worton for 17 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
18.9%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+7
18.9%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 7 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
25.7%
Anthony Jones run for 36 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:3177% → 83%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
22.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 18 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
21.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+14
21.7%
Whop Philyor run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
21.5%
Mike Majette run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
21.2%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Philyor, Whop, QB hurry by DAMES, Richard, PENALTY FIU holding (BROWN, Isaiah) 10 yards to the FIU15, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
21.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 12 yds to the FlaIn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
21.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
21.2%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
21.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Matt BjorsonSimilar
Q2 3:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 42 yds · 0:0017% → 19%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
16.9%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 35 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
18.3%
Christian Alexander pass complete to CJ Worton for 10 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
18.7%
Christian Alexander run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 33 Christian Alexander fumbled, recovered by Ind Nile SykesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13END OF HALF
15 plays · 37 yds · 2:4184% → 87%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
16.3%
Stevie Scott run for 6 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-3
15.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+8
16.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 8 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
15.5%
Mike Majette run for 2 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+12
15.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 12 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
15.5%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+11
14.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 11 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+5
14.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 5 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+5
14.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
13.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
13.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
13.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke Timian, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
15.3%
Reese Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
14.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 4 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
14.4%
Mike Majette run for 1 yd to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+3
14.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
50
0
15.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice Alexander, broken up by Ja'merez BowenSimilar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
15.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+10
15.7%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to WORTON, C., PENALTY IND holding (Riggins, A'Shon) 10 yards to the FIU36, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
16.3%
James Morgan sacked by Jerome Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 27 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Jordan Woods , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+4
15.6%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 15
OWN 31
0
15.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ Worton, broken up by Andre Brown Jr.Similar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
15.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:1686% → 95%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
13.8%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+19
13.8%
Michal Penix Jr pass complete to Whop Philyor for 19 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, OF ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
12.8%
Penix JR,Michal pass incomplete to Philyor, Whop (HALL, Dorian), PENALTY FIU pass interference (HALL, Dorian) 15 yards to the FIU37, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
12.7%
Michal Penix Jr run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+7
12.5%
Michal Penix Jr pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 7 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
12.5%
Stevie Scott run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+8
12.5%
Stevie Scott run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
12.5%
Stevie Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
12.5%
Michal Penix Jr pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Sage LewisSimilar
Q3 7:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
5.0%
Michal Penix Jr pass complete to Mike Majette for 9 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
19 plays · 78 yds · 6:287% → 14%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
6.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+25
6.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 10 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Dameon Willis Jr.) to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
7.5%
MORGAN, James pass complete to GAITER IV, Tony for 26 yards to the IND23, PENALTY FIU ineligible downfield on pass (DEMERY, D.) 5 yards to the FIU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+8
7.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 8 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+3
7.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+4
5.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
5.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+4
5.8%
James Morgan run for 4 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
6.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
6.0%
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
6.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 15 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
6.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the Ind 13Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
6.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+9
5.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 9 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
7.7%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the Ind 3Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
8.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:1391% → 96%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
8.9%
Michal Penix Jr run for 3 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+6
8.9%
Reese Taylor run for 6 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+8
9.1%
Michal Penix Jr pass complete to Reese Taylor for 8 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
8.3%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
8.3%
Michal Penix Jr pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 6 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
8.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, OF (Josh Little) to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
7.8%
Michal Penix Jr pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
7.9%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+7
7.8%
Michal Penix Jr pass complete to Luke Timian for 7 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+34
7.6%
Michal Penix Jr pass complete to Donavan Hale for 34 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
7.3%
Mike Majette run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-15
5.1%
Penix JR,Michal pass complete to Hendershot, P. for 10 yards to the FIU0, clock 11:34, PENALTY IND pass interference (Hale, Donavan) 15 yards to the FIU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 21
OPP 25
+5
5.2%
Stevie Scott run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 16
OPP 20
+6
5.4%
Michal Penix Jr pass complete to Donavan Hale for 6 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 10
OPP 14
-5
6.1%
INDIANA Penalty, IS (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+36
4.1%
Logan Justus 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:545% → 14%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
5.0%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+25
4.9%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 25 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
5.5%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
5.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 4 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+10
5.7%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to WORTON, C., PENALTY IND holding (Riggins, A'Shon) 10 yards to the IND35, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
6.2%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to WORTON, C., PENALTY IND pass interference (Williams, J.) 15 yards to the IND20, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
6.5%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
6.4%
James Morgan run for 3 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+3
6.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+7
6.0%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 7 yds to the Ind 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
5.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ Worton, broken up by A'Shon RigginsSimilar
Q4 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
13.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 7 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20END OF GAME
15 plays · 43 yds · 5:4692% → 97%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
8.2%
Stevie Scott run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+5
8.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 5 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
8.0%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
6.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
6.8%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
6.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+4
6.4%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
6.4%
Stevie Scott run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+3
6.4%
Stevie Scott run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+4
6.8%
Stevie Scott run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+1
3.0%
Stevie Scott run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:04
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 7 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q3 7:39
Michal Penix Jr pass complete to Mike Majette for 9 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 6:12
Anthony Jones run for 36 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com