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MICH

Michigan 42 at Rutgers 7

RUTG
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:07 · Will Hart punt for 44 yds , Avery Young returns for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Pregame prior−33.4Home team on offense−37.2Score differential−20.8Garbage-time factor−7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:26: Isaih Pacheco run for 80 yds for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +1.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:33: Karan Higdon run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:07: Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 36 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:12: Shea Patterson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 16 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:57: Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 21 — RUTG win probability +0.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 7 of 8MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:51RUTG 4th & 8 at MICH 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:40MICH 4th & 1 at RUTG 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:13RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:42MICH 4th & 1 at RUTG 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:15RUTG 4th & 18 at RUTG 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:32RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:45MICH 4th & 8 at RUTG 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:57RUTG 4th & 11 at MICH 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:07MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:37RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:45RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:34MICH 4th & 18 at MICH 34, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:40RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 24, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 0:45MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:26RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:33MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:07MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:12MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:08MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:26MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:541% → 2%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
1.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 21 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
1.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
1.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
1.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
1.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 62 yds · 6:0498% → 98%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
1.6%
Karan Higdon run for 9 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+9
1.6%
Karan Higdon run for 9 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
1.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 9 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
1.8%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
1.8%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
1.9%
Oliver Martin run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
2.0%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+11
2.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 11 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
2.1%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+5
2.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 5 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+1
2.3%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
2.5%
Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Rutgr 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:203% → 3%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
2.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
2.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+2
2.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
2.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 4:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
2.8%
Tru Wilson run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
2.9%
Ronnie Bell run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+16
3.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 16 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
3.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 15 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
3.1%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+4
3.3%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
3.5%
Ben Mason run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.9%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
4.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 80 yds for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:3596% → 96%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
3.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q1 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
4.0%
Tru Wilson run for 6 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
3.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 7 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
4.0%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
4.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 7 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
4.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 12 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
4.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+9
4.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 9 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
4.9%
Ben Mason run for no gain to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+4
5.1%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
5.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 15 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.9%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:074% → 4%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
4.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-7
4.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 15
OWN 22
-3
4.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 18
OWN 19
0
4.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:5096% → 97%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
4.3%
Tru Wilson run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
4.4%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+10
4.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 10 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
4.5%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
4.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 3 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+36
3.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 36 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:244% → 4%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
3.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+20
3.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 20 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
4.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
4.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
4.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaih Pacheco, broken up by Devin BushSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+1
4.2%
Artur Sitkowski run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3996% → 96%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
50
0
3.6%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones, broken up by Saquan HamptonSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
50
+5
3.7%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+2
3.5%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 3
OPP 43
-5
3.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
3.9%
Will Hart punt for 30 yds, downed at the Rutgr 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
4.1%
Jonathan Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:2996% → 98%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
4.1%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 28Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
4.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+21
4.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 21 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
4.0%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-2
3.9%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+32
4.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 32 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
3.9%
Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
1.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 16 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:003% → 3%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
2.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+16
2.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 16 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear, broken up by Devin BushSimilar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
2.7%
Bo Melton run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+15
2.6%
Sitkowski, Artur pass incomplete to Melton, Bo, PENALTY MICHIGAN roughing passer (Bush, Devin) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS.Similar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
2.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 44Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
2.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Jonathan HillimanSimilar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
2.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
2.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4398% → 99%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
1.8%
Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Mich 8Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+1
1.7%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 9Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+26
1.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 26 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.2%
Ronnie Bell run for no gain to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
1.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
1.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+1
1.3%
Will Hart punt for 44 yds , Avery Young returns for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:212% → 2%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
1.7%
Jonathan Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 11
OWN 11
0
1.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Jonathan HillimanSimilar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+17
1.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 17 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
1.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+19
1.5%
Isaih Pacheco pass complete to Giovanni Rescigno for 19 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
1.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 42 Raheem Blackshear fumbled, recovered by MichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:2599% → 100%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
1.0%
Tru Wilson run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
0.9%
Tru Wilson run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+8
0.9%
Tru Wilson run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
0.9%
Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
0.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 10 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
0.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 5 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+1
0.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 1 yd to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+14
0.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 14 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
0.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
0.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 3 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
0.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
0.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
0.2%
Chris Evans run for 61 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Everett Wormley, broken up by Josh RossSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Jonathan Hilliman run for no gain to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+1
0.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
0.1%
Joe Milton run for 1 yd to the Mich 43Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
0.1%
Berkley Edwards run for no gain to the Mich 43Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-9
0.1%
Joe Milton sacked by Jon Bateky for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 34Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 18
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Will Hart punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21INT
13 plays · 38 yds · 5:440% → 0%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
0.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+3
0.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+3
0.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+1
0.1%
Jonathan Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
0.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
0.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
0.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
0.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
0.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
0.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
0.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass intercepted Ambry Thomas return for no gain to the Mich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22Uncategorized
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
0.1%
Berkley Edwards run for 4 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+2
0.1%
Joe Milton run for 2 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+5
0.1%
Joe Hewlett run for 5 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:12
Shea Patterson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 16 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-2.2
TD · Q2 9:33
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-1.1
TD · Q2 5:07
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 36 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com