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RUTG

Rutgers 17 at Wisconsin 31

WIS
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Adam Korsak punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior+31.5Home team on offense+7.9Score differential+2.6Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:42: Jonathan Taylor run for 38 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +3.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:43: Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +3.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:14: Jonathan Hilliman run for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +5.9 pts (now 7%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:37: Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 11 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:08: Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 5 yds for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +2.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 4RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:02RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:56RUTG 4th & 6 at WIS 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:00WIS 4th & 7 at RUTG 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:00RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:54WIS 4th & 9 at RUTG 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    93.3%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:21RUTG 4th & 14 at RUTG 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:59RUTG 4th & 3 at WIS 27, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:59WIS 4th & 5 at RUTG 36, up 10
    Close callPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−0.2
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:21RUTG 4th & 7 at WIS 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:17RUTG 4th & 4 at WIS 4, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−4.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:43WIS 4th & 7 at RUTG 39, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:08RUTG 4th & 2 at WIS 5, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4RUTG made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 12:07WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:42WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:43WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:14RUTG Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:37WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:08RUTG Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:5397% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
96.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 10 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
96.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
96.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+29
96.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 29 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
96.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
96.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+2
96.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
96.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+7
96.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 7 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
96.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 4
50
0
96.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Saquan Hampton return for no gain to the Rutgr 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.2%
Bo Melton run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+19
96.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 19 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo Melton, broken up by T.J. EdwardsSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
96.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
96.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo Melton, broken up by Faion HicksSimilar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
96.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FG
20 plays · 78 yds · 8:4796% → 95%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
95.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+3
95.9%
Aron Cruickshank run for 3 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 1
OWN 17
-5
95.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Jon Dietzen) to the Wisc 12Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+10
95.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 10 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
95.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
95.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+20
95.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 20 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
96.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-5
96.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Kendric Pryor) to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
96.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+13
95.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 13 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
96.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+2
96.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
96.0%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
96.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+5
96.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
95.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor, broken up by Damon HayesSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
95.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
94.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
94.7%
Rafael Gaglianone 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+24
94.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Danny Davis III at the WISCONSIN 32 RUTGERS Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Wisc 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
94.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
94.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
94.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
94.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor, broken up by Saquan HamptonSimilar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
94.4%
Connor Allen punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 2:346% → 6%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
94.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+5
94.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+4
94.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 4 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
94.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Shameen Jones, broken up by Caesar WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
94.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+9
94.3%
Sitkowski, A. pass incomplete, QB hurry by Edwards, T.J., PENALTY WIS pass interference (Wildgoose, R.) 9 yards to the RU32, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
94.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-10
93.9%
Pacheco, Isaih rush for 2 yards to the RU40 (Dixon, D'Cota;Burrell, Eric), PENALTY RU holding (Jackson, Jonah) 10 yards to the RU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 14
OWN 28
0
94.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Travis Vokolek, broken up by Zack BaunSimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 14
OWN 28
0
94.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
94.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
94.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Saquan Hampton return for 3 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10MISSED FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:407% → 7%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
93.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
93.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+1
93.5%
Artur Sitkowski run for 1 yd to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+45
93.5%
Justin Davidovicz 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Andrew Van Ginkel D'Cota Dixon return for 34 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
94.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
94.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
94.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor, broken up by Saquan HamptonSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
93.8%
Connor Allen punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:126% → 7%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
93.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+5
93.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 5 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+15
93.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 15 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
93.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 8 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+16
93.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 16 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
93.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
93.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Jonathan Hilliman for 3 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
92.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo Melton, broken up by T.J. EdwardsSimilar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
93.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 43 yds, downed at the Wisc 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:4394% → 94%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
93.5%
Alec Ingold run for 3 yds to the Wisc 4Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+17
93.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
93.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+15
93.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
93.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Garrett GroshekSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-8
93.7%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Mike Tverdov for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
92.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
92.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 2:5993% → 97%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
92.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
92.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 21Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+3
92.5%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+29
92.8%
Taiwan Deal run for 29 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
93.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+38
96.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 38 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 6:254% → 6%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Daevon Robinson for 9 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
95.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
95.8%
Jonathan Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-6
95.8%
Bo Melton run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+17
96.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 17 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
95.6%
Shameen Jones run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+2
95.7%
Artur Sitkowski run for 2 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+40
95.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 40 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
95.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Wisc 8Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
95.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 4 yds to the Wisc 4Similar
Q3 4:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
93.6%
Justin Davidovicz 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2795% → 99%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
95.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
95.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 20 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
95.7%
Taiwan Deal run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
95.8%
Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+10
95.8%
Taiwan Deal run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:431% → 1%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Daevon Robinson, broken up by Jack SanbornSimilar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Jonathan Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear, broken up by Rachad WildgooseSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 1 yd to the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+30
99.0%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 30 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
99.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-6
99.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 7
OPP 39
-4
99.0%
Jack Coan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 43 WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:521% → 7%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
99.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+6
99.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
99.1%
Sitkowski, A. pass incomplete to Melton, Bo, PENALTY RU holding (Maietti, M.) 10 yards to the RU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+13
99.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Jonathan Hilliman for 13 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-1
99.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 43Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+36
99.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 36 yds to the Wisc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.0%
Artur Sitkowski run for 6 yds to the Wisc 1Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.0%
Hilliman, J. rush for no gain to the WIS1 (Burrell, Eric;VanGinkel, A.), PENALTY WIS offside (Connelly, Ryan) 0 yards to the WIS1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.8%
Jonathan Hilliman run for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3797% → 100%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
96.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
97.1%
Kendric Pryor run for 20 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
97.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 12
OPP 40
0
97.1%
Jack Coan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+13
97.0%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 13 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
97.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
97.1%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kyle PennistonSimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+12
97.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
97.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
99.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 11 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 2:231% → 3%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 14 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Jonathan Hilliman for 6 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+41
99.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 41 yds to the Wisc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.3%
Jonathan Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
99.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Travis Vokolek, broken up by Evan BondocSimilar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+5
99.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 5 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+5
97.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 5 yds for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23Uncategorized
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:4299% → 99%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
98.5%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
98.5%
Chris James run for 4 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+5
98.8%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:14
Jonathan Hilliman run for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK)
-5.9
TD · Q3 10:42
Jonathan Taylor run for 38 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q3 0:43
Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com