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ILL

Illinois 33 at Maryland 63

MD
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:55 · Wade Lees punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Holmes at the Illin 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+7.3Home team on offense+35.4Score differential+28.1Garbage-time factor+11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.6Blowout margin+12.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:21: Javon Leake run for 64 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +3.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:02: Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 14 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +5.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:48: Chase McLaughlin 26 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +1.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:49: Jeshaun Jones run for 43 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +4.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:43: Javon Leake run for 27 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +2.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ILL made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00MD 4th & 17 at MD 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:41ILL 4th & 4 at MD 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.8%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:24ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 49, down 4
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:32ILL 4th & 13 at ILL 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:43MD 4th & 8 at MD 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:51ILL 4th & 16 at MD 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:33ILL 4th & 8 at MD 21, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:58ILL 4th & 1 at MD 41, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:48ILL 4th & 7 at MD 8, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:45ILL 4th & 7 at MD 48, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:38ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 26, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:55MD 4th & 5 at ILL 46, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ILL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 4:39MD Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:21MD Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:02MD Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:49MD Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:43MD Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:47MD Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:32ILL Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:33MD Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:55ILL Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:24ILL Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:39MD Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
87.0%
Kasim Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 21 Kasim Hill fumbled, recovered by Mary Kasim HillSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
87.0%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Ty JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 21
-6
87.0%
Kasim Hill sacked by Jake Hansen for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 15Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 15
+13
87.0%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds , Jordan Holmes returns for 13 yds to the Mary 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2FG
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:4114% → 14%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
86.4%
Reggie Corbin run for 21 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
86.4%
Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
86.4%
M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Trenard DavisSimilar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+6
86.4%
M.J. Rivers II pass complete to Sam Mays for 6 yds to the Mary 14Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
85.8%
Chase McLaughlin 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
86.2%
Reggie Corbin run for 12 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
86.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
86.1%
M.J. Rivers II run for 6 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
86.1%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
86.0%
M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
86.1%
M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Trenard DavisSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
86.2%
Blake Hayes punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Taivon Jacobs at the Mary 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
9 plays · 93 yds · 4:2686% → 87%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
85.5%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 5Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+2
85.5%
Anthony McFarland run for 2 yds to the Mary 7Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+26
85.4%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 26 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
85.6%
Anthony McFarland run for 3 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
85.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 6 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+5
85.7%
Javon Leake run for 5 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
85.8%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
85.8%
Ty Johnson run for 7 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+46
86.6%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 46 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
85.9%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 33Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
86.1%
M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling ILLINOIS Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
86.3%
M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Sam MaysSimilar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+18
86.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 37 , Taivon Jacobs returns for 18 yds to the Mary 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.6%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Ty JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
86.5%
Kasim Hill run for 2 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
86.4%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+1
86.1%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds , Nate Hobbs returns for 1 yd to the Illin 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:5214% → 14%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
86.2%
Reggie Corbin run for 9 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+4
85.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.0%
M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
86.1%
M.J. Rivers II run for 2 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+25
86.1%
M.J. Rivers II pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 25 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
85.6%
M.J. Rivers II run for 6 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+5
85.2%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
85.2%
M.J. Rivers II run for no gain to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
85.0%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+14
85.2%
M.J. Rivers II pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 14 yds to the Mary 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
84.9%
Corbin,Reggie rush for 2 yards to the UMD5 (Tanyi, Mbi), PENALTY ILL holding 10 yards to the UMD17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+1
85.0%
M.J. Rivers II run for 1 yd to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
85.2%
M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
85.7%
M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Trenard DavisSimilar
Q2 12:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+34
85.9%
Chase McLaughlin 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3085% → 89%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.2%
Ty Johnson run for 8 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
85.5%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.5%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+64
88.9%
Javon Leake run for 64 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:4312% → 13%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
87.7%
Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 48Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+8
87.4%
Reggie Corbin run for 8 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
87.5%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+5
87.3%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
87.1%
M.J. Rivers II run for 6 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+5
86.9%
M.J. Rivers II run for 5 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
86.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-3
86.9%
M.J. Rivers II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
87.5%
M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by RaVon DavisSimilar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
87.2%
Chase McLaughlin 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:3188% → 94%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
88.4%
Anthony McFarland run for 10 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
88.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 16 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
88.9%
Anthony McFarland run for 2 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+13
88.9%
Kasim Hill run for 13 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
89.0%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+8
88.9%
Anthony McFarland run for 8 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+7
88.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 7 yds to the Illin 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
89.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Illin 17Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+3
89.0%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 3 yds to the Illin 14Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
93.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 14 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12INT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:569% → 10%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
50
-1
90.6%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 49Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
91.2%
M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by RaVon DavisSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+5
91.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside (Mbi Tanyi) to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 6
OPP 0
0
90.2%
Rivers,M.J. pass complete to Mays,Sam for 20 yards to the UMD26 (Lewis, Rayshad), PENALTY ILL holding off-setting, PENALTY UMD targeting off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+5
90.6%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Trenard Davis for 5 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
90.6%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Trenard Davis for 3 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
90.3%
AJ Bush Jr. pass intercepted Antwaine Richardson return for no gain to the Mary 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:2496% → 96%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
95.6%
Anthony McFarland run for 11 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
95.6%
Anthony McFarland run for 11 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
95.6%
Anthony McFarland run for 11 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.2%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
95.5%
Jeshaun Jones run for 11 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:068% → 10%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.2%
AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Trenard DavisSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
92.4%
Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+18
92.3%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Trenard Davis for 18 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
91.7%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Trenard Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+3
92.1%
AJ Bush Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+29
92.2%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Trenard Davis for 29 yds to the Mary 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
91.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Mary 8Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
91.1%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Trenard Davis for no gain to the Mary 8Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
91.6%
AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Trenard Davis, broken up by RaVon DavisSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
90.2%
Chase McLaughlin 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:5392% → 97%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
91.9%
Anthony McFarland run for 3 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
92.3%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Dontay Demus for 17 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
92.5%
Anthony McFarland run for 13 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
92.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Avery Edwards) to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
92.5%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
97.3%
Jeshaun Jones run for 43 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.0%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.1%
AJ Bush Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
97.1%
AJ Bush Jr. run for 13 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
96.9%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Sam Mays for 10 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
96.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
96.9%
AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete, broken up by Tino EllisSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
97.0%
AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Reggie CorbinSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 7
OPP 48
+3
97.0%
Blake Hayes punt for 30 yds , Jeshaun Jones returns for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:3997% → 100%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+52
97.4%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Dontay Demus for 52 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.7%
Javon Leake run for 27 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.6%
AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
99.6%
AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Carmoni GreenSimilar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.6%
Blake Hayes punt for 45 yds , Taivon Jacobs returns for 2 yds to the Mary 28 MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Mary 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+35
99.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 35 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Anthony McFarland run for no gain to the Illin 44Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jahrvis Davenport, broken up by Bobby RoundtreeSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+25
99.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 25 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.7%
Anthony McFarland run for 1 yd to the Illin 18Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-13
99.7%
Anthony McFarland run for 2 yds to the Illin 16 MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Illin 31Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 22
OPP 31
+6
99.7%
Brian Cobbs run for 6 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 16
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 25 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
99.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 69 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:52100% → 100%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Anthony McFarland run for no gain to the Mary 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
99.8%
Tyler DeSue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+14
99.8%
Tyler DeSue pass complete to Darryl Jones for 14 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
99.8%
Jeshaun Jones run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-1
99.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+8
99.8%
Anthony McFarland run for 8 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Javon Leake run for 43 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 2 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+61
99.9%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 61 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
99.9%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for 24 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 9
50
+2
99.9%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for 2 yds to the Illin 48Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Tyler DeSue pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 2 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Wade Lees punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Holmes at the Illin 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:350% → 1%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.9%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 6 yds to the Illin 16Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+84
99.4%
AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 84 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:4099% → 100%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.5%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for 5 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
99.5%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for 3 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.5%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for 3 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
99.5%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for 5 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+11
99.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 11 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-23
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 23 yards to the Mary 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Mary Tyler DeSueSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 33
OWN 31
+15
99.4%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for 15 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 18
OWN 46
+54
99.9%
Chigoziem Okonkwo run for 54 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
100.0%
Dre Brown run for 14 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
100.0%
Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the Mary 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:02
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 14 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q3 8:49
Jeshaun Jones run for 43 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q2 11:21
Javon Leake run for 64 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com