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KENT

Kent State 24 at Illinois 31

ILL
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:21 · Woody Barrett pass intercepted, touchback. Del'Shawn Phillips return for no gain
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 190Pregame prior+1.8Home team on offense+13.8Score differential+3.0Garbage-time factor+4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:36: Ra'Von Bonner run for 8 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +15.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:11: Reggie Corbin run for 39 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +20.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:20: Woody Barrett run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +22.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:06: Mike Epstein run for 5 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +18.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:39: Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +17.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:38ILL 4th & 7 at KENT 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.1%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:38KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:44ILL 4th & 14 at ILL 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:07KENT 4th & 9 at ILL 44, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    13.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:00KENT 4th & 3 at ILL 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:55KENT 4th & 1 at ILL 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−1.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:44KENT 4th & 7 at ILL 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:44ILL 4th & 4 at ILL 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:06ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:09KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 3, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−6.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00ILL 4th & 12 at ILL 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:36KENT 4th & 1 at ILL 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    41.1%−4.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−4.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:06KENT 4th & 1 at ILL 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    29.2%−7.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−4.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 21 at KENT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−5.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:39KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:11ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−1.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:21KENT 4th & 6 at ILL 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−4.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−11.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:43KENT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:06KENT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:36ILL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:11ILL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:20KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:06ILL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:39ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete, broken up by Tymir OliverSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.0%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
88.0%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
88.0%
Grant Urenovitch punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3288% → 87%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
50
0
87.8%
AJ Bush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
50
+2
87.8%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+13
87.8%
AJ Bush run for 13 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
87.8%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-2
87.8%
AJ Bush sacked by Jim Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+3
87.4%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
87.3%
Chase McLaughlin 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.3%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.3%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
87.3%
Woody Barrett run for 10 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
87.2%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+3
87.3%
Woody Barrett run for 3 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
87.3%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
87.4%
Grant Urenovitch punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
86.9%
AJ Bush pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 4 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+8
87.0%
AJ Bush pass complete to Mike Dudek for 8 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
87.1%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 47Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 14
OWN 47
0
86.9%
AJ Bush pass incomplete to Mike DudekSimilar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
86.8%
AJ Bush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
86.7%
Blake Hayes punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:2414% → 16%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
86.5%
Justin Rankin run for 17 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
86.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 18 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
86.2%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 14
OPP 49
-3
86.4%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 17
OWN 48
+8
86.5%
Woody Barrett run for 8 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 9
OPP 44
+20
86.5%
Woody Barrett run for 20 yds to the Illin 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
83.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 24 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6FUMBLE
18 plays · 57 yds · 5:4384% → 82%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
84.3%
AJ Bush run for 5 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
84.3%
Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+13
84.2%
AJ Bush pass complete to Sam Mays for 13 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.4%
AJ Bush pass incomplete to Sam MaysSimilar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
84.4%
AJ Bush run for 13 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
84.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-4
85.0%
AJ Bush run for 6 yds to the Illin 41 ILLINOIS Penalty, IB (-10 Yards) to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
84.8%
AJ Bush run for no gain to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+20
84.4%
AJ Bush pass complete to Mike Dudek for 20 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
85.2%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
85.2%
AJ Bush pass complete to Justice Williams for 4 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
84.9%
Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
84.3%
PENALTY KENT pass interference off-setting, PENALTY ILL ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
85.2%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-10
83.1%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 27
+2
82.6%
AJ Bush pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 2 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 25
-8
82.0%
AJ Bush sacked by Darryl Marshall for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 30 AJ Bush fumbled, recovered by KntSt Theo Eboigbe , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 6:1619% → 29%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
80.9%
Kavious Price run for 9 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
80.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 5 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
80.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 2 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
80.3%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
80.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Justin RankinSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 3
OPP 49
+4
80.8%
Woody Barrett run for 4 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
80.1%
PRICE, KAVIOUS pass incomplete to BARRETT, WOODY, QB hurry by Woods,Jamal, PENALTY KENT ineligible downfield on pass (VIAUD, JAMIL) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 15
50
+6
80.4%
Woody Barrett run for 6 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+1
80.1%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the Illin 43Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+7
80.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Conor Brumfield for 7 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+23
77.9%
Woody Barrett run for 23 yds to the Illin 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
76.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for no gain to the Illin 13Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-2
76.9%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 15Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+5
77.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Raekwon James for 5 yds to the Illin 10Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
71.3%
Matthew Trickett 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
73.0%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 7Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+7
73.0%
AJ Bush pass complete to Sam Mays for 7 yds to the Illin 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
73.2%
Mike Epstein run for 6 yds to the Illin 20Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+10
73.6%
AJ Bush run for 10 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
73.6%
AJ Bush pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
73.3%
Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
73.9%
AJ Bush pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Elvis HinesSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+18
73.1%
Blake Hayes punt for 47 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 18 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:0930% → 41%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.3%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
70.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Will Matthews for 5 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+24
69.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 24 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
68.5%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+10
68.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 10 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
68.3%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-2
68.3%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 28Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 12
OPP 28
+28
58.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 28 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.9%
AJ Bush pass incomplete to Mike DudekSimilar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.8%
Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
58.4%
AJ Bush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
58.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 69 yds, downed at the KntSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 1:0440% → 39%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
60.2%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the KntSt 4Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+2
60.3%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the KntSt 6Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
56.2%
Woody Barrett run for no gain to the KntSt 6Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 8
OWN 6
-3
55.9%
KENT ST Penalty, illegal formation (-3 Yards) to the KntSt 3Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 11
OWN 3
0
61.1%
Grant Urenovitch punt for 58 yds, downed at the Illin 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12MISSED FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:5256% → 57%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
55.9%
AJ Bush run for 3 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
56.8%
AJ Bush run for 6 yds to the Illin 48Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
56.8%
AJ Bush run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
57.4%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+17
57.3%
AJ Bush pass complete to Sam Mays for 17 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+49
56.5%
Chase McLaughlin 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
48.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
51.2%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
52.1%
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
52.7%
AJ Bush run for 4 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
53.3%
AJ Bush pass incomplete to Sam MaysSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-8
53.1%
AJ Bush sacked by Theo Eboigbe for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 35 AJ Bush fumbled, recovered by Illin Mike Epstein , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+6
50.3%
AJ Bush run for 6 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 41
+44
51.3%
Blake Hayes punt for 44 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:0055% → 56%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
45.0%
Woody Barrett run for 11 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
44.6%
Justin Rankin run for 13 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
42.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+3
44.3%
Woody Barrett pass intercepted Jartavius Martin return for no gain to the Illin 48 Jartavius Martin fumbled, recovered by Illin Stanley Green , return for 3 yds to the Illin 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:0846% → 63%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+24
46.1%
AJ Bush pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 24 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
47.3%
Mike Dudek run for 7 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+13
47.3%
AJ Bush pass complete to Mike Dudek for 13 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
62.8%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 8 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
54.6%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+22
56.2%
Woody Barrett run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
50
+5
52.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 5 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
52.3%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
52.5%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the Illin 41Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
54.3%
Justin Rankin run for no gain to the Illin 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:4857% → 75%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
56.8%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 38Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+23
54.5%
Reggie Corbin run for 23 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
75.0%
Reggie Corbin run for 39 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5132% → 59%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
67.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Raekwon James for 15 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
65.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 3 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+23
65.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Raekwon James for 23 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
63.6%
Woody Barrett run for 9 yds to the Illin 21Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+3
63.3%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the Illin 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
63.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Will Matthews for 14 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
40.6%
Woody Barrett run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:1452% → 74%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+44
52.2%
AJ Bush pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 44 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
55.9%
AJ Bush run for 6 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
73.9%
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 2:0635% → 34%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
65.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 21 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
61.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Raekwon James for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+3
63.1%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+7
62.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Will Matthews for 7 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+2
63.4%
Woody Barrett run for 2 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
59.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 3 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-10
59.2%
KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Adam Dulka) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
50
0
61.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
50
-4
63.0%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 46
+26
65.8%
Grant Urenovitch punt for 35 yds , Mike Dudek returns for 26 yds to the Illin 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:5870% → 90%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
70.0%
Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+4
71.3%
AJ Bush run for 4 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
71.2%
AJ Bush pass complete to Sam Mays for 10 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
72.3%
AJ Bush pass incomplete to Sam Mays, broken up by Miles DanielSimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+24
72.2%
AJ Bush pass complete to Mike Dudek for 24 yds to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
72.3%
AJ Bush run for 8 yds to the KntSt 2Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
72.3%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.7%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
84.8%
KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
85.0%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Kavious Price, broken up by Bobby RoundtreeSimilar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-1
85.2%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
86.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Justin Rankin for 6 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
86.6%
Grant Urenovitch punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.3%
AJ Bush run for 8 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
88.9%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the Illin 34Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
88.3%
AJ Bush run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 32Similar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
87.3%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (Kerby Joseph) to the Illin 27Similar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+13
86.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 54 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 13 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25INT
15 plays · 62 yds · 4:5615% → 14%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
85.5%
Justin Rankin run for 8 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+7
83.7%
Woody Barrett run for 7 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
83.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Manny Lawrence-Burke for 9 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+11
82.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 11 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
81.3%
Woody Barrett sacked by Owen Carney Jr. and Kenyon Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 36Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+15
84.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Adam Dulka for 15 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
80.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 5 yds to the Illin 16Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+4
80.8%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the Illin 12Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+7
82.6%
Justin Rankin run for 7 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
80.8%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the Illin 4Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
80.8%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 6Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.4%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Conor BrumfieldSimilar
Q4 2:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.4%
Woody Barrett pass intercepted, touchback. Del'Shawn Phillips return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 62 yds · 0:5695% → 97%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
95.0%
AJ Bush run for 20 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
96.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 7 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-3
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-2
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:20
Woody Barrett run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-22.6
TD · Q3 6:11
Reggie Corbin run for 39 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)
+20.5
TD · Q3 2:06
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)
+18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com