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COLO

Colorado 21 at California 33

CAL
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:21 · Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Pregame prior+11.1Home team on offense+10.7Score differential+3.4Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Time remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:41: Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK) — CAL win probability +5.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:15: Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 24 yds for a TD Stefanou, James kick attempt good, PENALTY COLO false start (Winfree, Juwann) 5 yards to the CAL8, NO PLAY. (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +8.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:56: Greg Thomas 33 yd FG GOOD — CAL win probability +5.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:41: Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 3 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +15.7 pts (now 30%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:35: Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CAL win probability +14.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 11 of 13COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:59COLO 4th & 8 at COLO 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:17CAL 4th & 14 at CAL 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:17CAL 4th & 1 at COLO 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.5%−0.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:41CAL 4th & 1 at COLO 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:33COLO 4th & 8 at CAL 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    16.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:00CAL 4th & 11 at CAL 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:26CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:14CAL 4th & 2 at COLO 7, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:08CAL 4th & 8 at CAL 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:37COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:30CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 49, up 17
    Close callPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:53CAL 4th & 11 at CAL 14, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:10CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:21COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:56CAL 4th & 6 at COLO 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−6.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00CAL 4th & 4 at COLO 36, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.6%−2.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−2.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:28COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 49, down 12
    Close callPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:37CAL 4th & 5 at CAL 42, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:33COLO 4th & 6 at midfield, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:49CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:04CAL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:41CAL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:32COLO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:15COLO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:41COLO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:35CAL Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1INT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1123% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
77.4%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+34
77.4%
Steven Montez pass intercepted for a TD Elijah Hicks return for 34 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2INT TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4523% → 22%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.4%
Steven Montez sacked by Luc Bequette for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
77.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+35
78.0%
Steven Montez pass intercepted for a TD Ashtyn Davis return for 35 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
77.9%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 21Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-2
78.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 19Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+8
78.0%
Travon McMillian run for 8 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
78.0%
Alex Kinney punt for 47 yds, downed at the Cal 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
78.5%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 6 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
78.5%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-5
78.5%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 30Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-8
78.4%
Chase Garbers sacked by Carson Wells for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 22Similar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
78.3%
Steven Coutts punt for 47 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for no gain to the Colo 29 Ronnie Blackmon fumbled, forced by Traveon Beck, recovered by Cal Quentin TartabullSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5TD
9 plays · 29 yds · 6:3679% → 84%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
78.7%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+7
78.7%
Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
78.6%
Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the Colo 20Similar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+10
78.5%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Malik McMorris for 10 yds to the Colo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
78.7%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q1 11:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
78.7%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Colo 8Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
78.6%
Garbers, Chase rush for 2 yards to the COLO6, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CAL holding (Curhan, Jake) 10 yards to the COLO18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+17
78.6%
Chase Garbers run for 17 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q1 4:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
83.7%
Kyle Evans run for 9 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
82.8%
Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
83.6%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
83.6%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+9
83.8%
Steven Montez run for 9 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
83.4%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
83.4%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
83.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete, broken up by Alex FunchesSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
83.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
85.4%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+14
85.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 14 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
85.5%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton III, broken up by Evan WorthingtonSimilar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
85.5%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
85.2%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
84.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 42 yds, downed at the Colo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:4913% → 19%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
86.8%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+1
87.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 1 yd to the Colo 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+5
87.3%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Nixon, K.D., PENALTY CAL offside (Funches, Alex) 5 yards to the COLO34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+26
87.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Kabion Ento for 26 yds to the CALIFORNIA 40 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
86.6%
Steven Montez run for 8 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+5
86.1%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+22
86.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 22 yds to the Cal 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
86.1%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Cal 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
86.1%
Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Cal 1Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.9%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
83.2%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Ian BuntingSimilar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
83.2%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Ian BuntingSimilar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+6
82.8%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 6 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
82.6%
Steven Coutts punt for 50 yds , K.D. Nixon returns for no gain to the Colo 15 K.D. Nixon fumbled, recovered by Cal Daniel ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 3:1284% → 86%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
84.0%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-3
84.0%
Chase Garbers sacked by Israel Antwine and Javier Edwards for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 14Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+7
83.6%
Chase Garbers run for 7 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+24
86.4%
Greg Thomas 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11INT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
85.1%
Kyle Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 30Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 13
OWN 30
0
85.7%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+14
85.9%
Steven Montez run for 14 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
84.9%
Steven Montez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+4
85.3%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+9
85.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 9 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
84.0%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
84.1%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+34
84.3%
Steven Montez pass intercepted Ashtyn Davis return for 24 yds to the Cal 18 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Nick Alftin) to the Cal 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
86.6%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-1
86.5%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 33Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+13
86.1%
Chase Garbers run for 13 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
87.1%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
87.0%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
86.6%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete, broken up by Terrance LangSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
86.1%
Steven Coutts punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Blackmon at the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 1:1713% → 12%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
87.3%
Travon McMillian run for 11 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
87.2%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-1
87.6%
Steven Montez sacked by Evan Weaver for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-5
87.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 21Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
88.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
91.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 1 yd to the Cal 41Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+8
91.1%
Chase Garbers run for 8 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
90.7%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Maurice WaysSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
90.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 47 yds, downed at the Colo 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
88.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
88.8%
Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Cal 15Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
88.7%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Maurice WaysSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+4
88.3%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 4 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 6
OWN 19
-5
87.7%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 14Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 11
OWN 14
-3
87.7%
Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:1212% → 21%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
88.5%
Steven Montez run for 6 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
88.1%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.9%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
88.5%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+9
88.1%
Kyle Evans run for 9 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
87.1%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
87.0%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+7
87.9%
Steven Montez run for 7 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
79.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 24 yds for a TD Stefanou, James kick attempt good, PENALTY COLO false start (Winfree, Juwann) 5 yards to the CAL8, NO PLAY. (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
83.1%
Biaggio Ali Walsh run for 5 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-1
83.6%
Biaggio Ali Walsh run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 35Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-1
82.5%
Chase Garbers sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 34Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
81.7%
Steven Coutts punt for 57 yds, downed at the Colo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
83.3%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+2
83.2%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
84.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 6
OWN 13
+2
84.5%
Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:5485% → 90%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
50
+3
85.4%
Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+12
85.5%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 12 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
85.7%
COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Dante Wigley) to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
85.7%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
85.7%
Biaggio Ali Walsh run for 4 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
85.0%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Biaggio Ali WalshSimilar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
90.3%
Greg Thomas 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:0811% → 30%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
88.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Travon McMillian for 11 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
87.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
50
+4
86.7%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+24
86.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 24 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
85.6%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+3
85.6%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+7
86.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 7 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
85.6%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Cal 5Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
85.6%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Cal 3Similar
Q3 0:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
69.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 3 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:0081% → 94%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+30
80.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 30 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
83.0%
Chase Garbers run for 2 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
83.0%
Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+4
82.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 4 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+4
80.9%
Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
83.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 15 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
83.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 10 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
83.4%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
83.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-4
83.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Brandon McIlwain for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+4
81.2%
Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+7
79.3%
COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Drew Lewis) to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
92.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Travon McMillian for 1 yd to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+18
92.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 18 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
91.2%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
91.0%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Colo 49Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
91.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for no gain to the Colo 49Similar
Q4 10:28
4TH & 7
OWN 49
+34
91.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the CALIFORNIA 12 COLORADO Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Cal 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24PUNT
15 plays · 25 yds · 4:2894% → 97%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
93.7%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 20Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+8
93.7%
Patrick Laird run for 8 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
93.9%
Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Cal 28Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
93.7%
Patrick Laird run for 9 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-5
94.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 6
OWN 32
-15
95.9%
Garbers, Chase pass complete to Remigio, Nikko for 25 yards to the COLO43 (Fisher, Nick), PENALTY CAL pass interference (Bunting, Ian) 15 yards to the CAL17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 21
OWN 17
+5
95.6%
Patrick Laird run for 5 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 16
OWN 22
+15
95.7%
Coutts, Steven punt 40 yards to the COLO38, downed, PENALTY COLO roughing the kicker (Fontenot, Alex) 15 yards to the CAL37, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
96.4%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
96.5%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
97.1%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Maurice Ways, broken up by Dante WigleySimilar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
96.8%
Steven Coutts punt for 48 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for no gain to the Colo 10 Ronnie Blackmon fumbled, recovered by Colo Ronnie BlackmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 1:462% → 2%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
98.2%
Steven Montez sacked by Alex Funches for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 5Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 15
OWN 5
0
98.3%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 15
OWN 5
0
98.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 15
OWN 5
-2
98.3%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (K.D. Nixon) to the Colo 3Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 17
OWN 3
+15
98.3%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Nixon, K.D., PENALTY CAL pass interference (Bynum, Camryn) 15 yards to the COLO18, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann WinfreeSimilar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+18
98.2%
Steven Montez run for 18 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down Laviska Shenault Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
98.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 6
50
0
97.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 6
50
0
97.9%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 6
50
0
98.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann Winfree, broken up by Ashtyn DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 26Uncategorized
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
50
-2
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 48Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-2
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:41
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 3 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q4 10:35
Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+14.6
TD · Q3 10:15
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 24 yds for a TD Stefanou, James kick attempt good, PENALTY COLO false start (Winfree, Juwann) 5 yards to the CAL8, NO PLAY. (James Stefanou KICK)
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com