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BYU

BYU 27 at Utah 35

UTAH
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:21 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:28: Matt Hadley run for 1 yd for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK) — BYU win probability +20.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:40: Jason Shelley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +13.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:53: Armand Shyne run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +20.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 3:02: Armand Shyne run for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +35.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:43: Jason Shelley run for 33 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +33.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 8 of 9BYU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:55UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:40BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:53UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 12, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:57UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 44, up 13
    Close callPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:52UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 44, down 13
    Close callPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:32BYU 4th & 15 at BYU 45, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:47UTAH 4th & 12 at BYU 35, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:54UTAH 4th & 12 at UTAH 38, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:33BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 29, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:39UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−3.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:28BYU 4th & 1 at UTAH 1, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%−4.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−16.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:28UTAH 4th & 1 at BYU 35, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.6%−4.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−6.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:46BYU 4th & 15 at BYU 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−4.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:26UTAH 4th & 1 at midfield, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.5%−8.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:02BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.3%−5.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:31BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 45, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:55BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:57BYU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:25BYU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:33UTAH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:28BYU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:40UTAH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:53UTAH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:02UTAH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−2.0
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:43UTAH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.8%
Matt Hadley run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
75.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 8 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
75.8%
Matt Hadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
75.8%
Rhett Almond punt for 32 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the Utah 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BYU Dayan GhanwolokuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:5625% → 26%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
75.1%
Matt Hadley run for 10 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
75.1%
Zach Wilson run for 3 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+12
75.1%
Matt Hadley run for 12 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
75.1%
Matt Hadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 10Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
74.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 10 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.3%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
74.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jake Jackson for 4 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
74.3%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
74.2%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 54 yds, downed at the BYU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
73.9%
Zach Wilson run for 12 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
73.8%
Riley Burt run for no gain to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
73.9%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+13
74.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 13 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
73.6%
Riley Burt run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+5
73.8%
Zach Wilson run for 5 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
73.7%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
73.9%
Rhett Almond punt for 48 yds, downed at the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
72.5%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
72.5%
Jason Shelley run for no gain to the Utah 12Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
72.2%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
72.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:3429% → 34%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
71.3%
Matt Hadley run for 4 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+25
71.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 25 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
70.9%
Matt Hadley run for 11 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
66.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 26 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
68.1%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
68.0%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 10 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
68.0%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
67.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 43 yds, downed at the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:4735% → 38%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
65.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 2 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+8
65.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 8 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
65.2%
Riley Burt run for 6 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
64.9%
Aleva Hifo run for 1 yd to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
65.2%
Aleva Hifo run for 1 yd to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
62.1%
Rhett Almond punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
63.7%
Jason Shelley run for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
63.8%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+4
63.6%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 4 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
63.9%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
64.2%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
64.0%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jaylen Dixon, broken up by Isaiah KaufusiSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
63.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
60.1%
Matt Hadley run for 4 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+31
60.0%
Zach Wilson run for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
50
+2
59.0%
Matt Hadley run for 2 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
59.0%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt Bushman, broken up by Julian BlackmonSimilar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-7
59.2%
Zach Wilson sacked by Pita Tonga for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 15
OWN 45
+12
60.3%
Rhett Almond punt for 47 yds , Britain Covey returns for 12 yds to the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:0358% → 55%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.8%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
57.8%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+25
57.1%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 25 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
58.8%
Jason Shelley run for 11 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
59.4%
TJ Green run for 11 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
59.8%
Shelley, Jason rush for 3 yards to the BYU30 (TAKITAKI, Sione), PENALTY UTAH holding (Falemaka, Lo) 10 yards to the BYU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 20
OPP 43
0
58.1%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 20
OPP 43
-2
58.1%
Jason Shelley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 22
OPP 45
+10
57.2%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 10 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+54
55.0%
Matt Gay 54 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Khyiris TongaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
15 plays · 64 yds · 6:2245% → 68%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
55.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 6 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+7
54.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 7 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
54.6%
Riley Burt run for 3 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
54.6%
Micah Simon run for 4 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+8
54.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 8 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
54.5%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dallin Holker, broken up by Cody BartonSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
54.5%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt Bushman, broken up by Julian BlackmonSimilar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+12
54.7%
Zach Wilson run for 12 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
54.4%
Micah Simon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+1
54.5%
Zach Wilson run for 1 yd to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+24
54.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dallin Holker for 24 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.2%
Matt Hadley run for no gain to the Utah 1Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.4%
Matt Hadley run for no gain to the Utah 1Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.4%
Matt Hadley run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
35.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
32.2%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 6 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
33.6%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
34.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Britain Covey for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
33.1%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
32.8%
Jason Shelley run for no gain to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
32.8%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15INT TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1375% → 63%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
24.9%
Matt Hadley run for 3 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
24.8%
Matt Hadley run for 5 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+27
37.3%
Zach Wilson pass intercepted for a TD Julian Blackmon return for 27 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.8%
Matt Hadley run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
36.5%
Matt Hadley run for 4 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
36.9%
Matt Hadley run for no gain to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
37.8%
BYU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
38.0%
Rhett Almond punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0040% → 37%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
39.6%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
39.5%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-10
39.2%
Jason Shelley sacked by Merrill Taliauli for a loss of 10 yards to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 15
OWN 34
0
37.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:4870% → 90%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
29.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 23 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
29.2%
Matt Hadley run for 4 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+2
29.2%
Matt Hadley run for 2 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+7
29.7%
Zach Wilson run for 7 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
29.2%
Zach Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 9Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
29.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt Bushman, broken up by Chase HansenSimilar
Q3 8:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
29.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Hadley for 8 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q3 5:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.7%
Matt Hadley run for 1 yd for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:4815% → 30%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.5%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
14.9%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
14.9%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 10 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
15.8%
TJ Green run for 11 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
16.3%
TJ Green run for 2 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+6
16.4%
Jason Shelley pass complete to TJ Green for 6 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+1
16.9%
TJ Green run for 1 yd to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
16.9%
Jason Shelley run for 1 yd to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
17.4%
Jason Shelley run for 9 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+1
17.9%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
17.9%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Solomon Enis, broken up by Keenan EllisSimilar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
17.4%
Jason Shelley run for 6 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+8
17.0%
TJ Green run for 8 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
30.0%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4081% → 81%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
19.1%
Matt Hadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
18.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Hadley for 3 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
18.9%
Riley Burt run for 4 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
19.3%
Rhett Almond punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:4725% → 46%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
25.4%
Britain Covey run for 9 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+3
25.8%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 3 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
27.0%
Jason Shelley run for 9 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+5
27.3%
TJ Green run for 5 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
27.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Britain Covey for 4 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+1
27.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Britain Covey for 1 yd to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+12
25.7%
Shelley, Jason pass incomplete to Enis, Solomon, PENALTY BYU pass interference (ELLIS, Keenan) 12 yards to the BYU2, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.9%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0070% → 67%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
29.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 7 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-5
28.6%
BURT, Riley rush for no gain to the BYU37 (Pututau, Hauati), PENALTY BYU illegal formation 5 yards to the BYU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+8
29.7%
Zach Wilson run for 8 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
27.7%
Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
27.8%
Riley Burt run for no gain to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-7
28.6%
Zach Wilson sacked by Leki Fotu for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+3
33.3%
Rhett Almond punt for 38 yds , Britain Covey returns for 3 yds to the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:2434% → 75%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
33.9%
TJ Green run for 5 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
36.1%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Britain Covey for 6 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
37.2%
TJ Green run for 2 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+7
37.1%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 1
50
0
38.0%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 1
50
+2
35.6%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
39.5%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
39.6%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 4 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+37
39.0%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 37 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
74.6%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
60.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Brayden El-Bakri for 5 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
60.0%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-1
63.0%
Riley Burt run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
96.3%
Jason Shelley run for 33 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 26 yds · 1:128% → 5%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.9%
Zach Wilson run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
91.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 5 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
91.9%
Zach Wilson run for 8 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
91.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Brayden El-Bakri for 6 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
93.0%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-3
93.3%
Zach Wilson sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+6
95.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 6 yds to the Utah 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:02
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)
+35.6
TD · Q4 1:43
Jason Shelley run for 33 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)
+33.3
TD · Q3 5:28
Matt Hadley run for 1 yd for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)
-20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com