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STAN

Stanford 49 at UCLA 42

UCLA
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+22.2UCLA 67.4%Wilton Speight run for 1 yd for a TD(Two-Point Conversion failed )AWAY 41 - HOME 42 · Q4 9:27
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:27 · Wilton Speight run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Pregame prior−3.4Home team on offense+9.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:19: Martell Irby run for 12 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +18.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:02: K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 23 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +13.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:09: Jake Bailey kickoff for 73 yds , Darnay Holmes return for 93 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +14.5 pts (now 30%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:27: Wilton Speight run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UCLA win probability +22.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:19: K.J. Costello pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for 52 yds for a TD (B. Love Run For Two-point Conversion) — STAN win probability +38.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 9 of 11STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:32UCLA 4th & 8 at STAN 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:32STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 46, down 3
    Close callPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:50UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 27, up 3
    Close callPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:50UCLA 4th & 18 at UCLA 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:20STAN 4th & 5 at UCLA 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00UCLA 4th & 9 at STAN 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:11UCLA 4th & 4 at STAN 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%−0.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:37STAN 4th & 5 at UCLA 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    62.3%−1.0
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:01UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:37UCLA 4th & 1 at STAN 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−6.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UCLA 4th & 5 at STAN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    32.4%−1.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    32.7%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00STAN 4th & 23 at UCLA 42, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−4.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−1.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:09UCLA 4th & 17 at STAN 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−2.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.3%
    42% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:42STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 45, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−2.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:34UCLA 4th & 15 at STAN 24, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.3 ptsWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−7.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:10STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:03UCLA 4th & 8 at STAN 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−3.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:50STAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:11STAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:34UCLA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:27STAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:37UCLA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:19UCLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:02STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:24STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:27UCLA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    60.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:19STAN Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    70.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1INT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 4 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
29.4%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
29.4%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+22
29.4%
K.J. Costello pass intercepted Adarius Pickett return for 22 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4230% → 30%
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
29.8%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Christian PabicoSimilar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
29.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
29.8%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
30.2%
JJ Molson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
30.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+13
30.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 13 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
30.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 35Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+11
30.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 11 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
30.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
30.2%
Jake Bailey punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
31.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 7 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
31.7%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
31.5%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
31.4%
Andrew Strauch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:1268% → 69%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
31.9%
Bryce Love run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
50
0
31.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin, broken up by Jayce SmalleySimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
50
+4
32.4%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+10
32.4%
Costello,K pass incomplete to A.-Whiteside,JJ, PENALTY UCLA holding (Shaw, Jay) 10 yards to the UCLA36, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
32.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 17 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
31.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 19 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.8%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
31.7%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-8
31.5%
Wilton Speight sacked by Andres Fox for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 17Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+22
31.3%
Andrew Strauch punt for 42 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 22 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 3:0269% → 70%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
31.4%
Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+12
31.3%
Bryce Love run for 12 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
31.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-2
31.3%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+7
31.5%
K.J. Costello run for 7 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
30.4%
Jet Toner 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:2031% → 35%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
31.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 23 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
31.9%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 21 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
32.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-4
32.7%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+15
31.5%
Speight, Wilton pass incomplete to Wilson, Caleb, PENALTY STAN roughing passer (Wade-Perry,D) 15 yards to the STAN19, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
32.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-7
32.8%
Wilton Speight sacked by Frank Buncom for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 20Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+2
32.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+35
34.9%
JJ Molson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4966% → 73%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.0%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+22
33.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 22 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
32.8%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+7
32.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 7 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
32.7%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+33
32.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 33 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
27.0%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3728% → 39%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
28.2%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Chase Cota for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
28.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
28.7%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 18 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
29.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
29.7%
Wilton Speight run for no gain to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+2
29.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Christian Pabico for 2 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+6
28.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 6 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
30.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 21 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
38.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 12 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:5765% → 66%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
34.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 12 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
33.9%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+17
34.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 17 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
32.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete, broken up by Osa OdighizuwaSimilar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
33.3%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+3
33.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 3 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
34.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 36 yds, downed at the UCLA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
36.2%
Wilton Speight run for 1 yd to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+3
36.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
35.3%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb Wilson, broken up by Kendall WilliamsonSimilar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 6
OWN 9
-4
35.0%
UCLA Penalty, substitution infraction (-4 Yards) to the UCLA 5Similar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 10
OWN 5
0
35.0%
Andrew Strauch punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the UCLA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:1668% → 75%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
32.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
32.3%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+37
24.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 37 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:5026% → 39%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
26.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Christian Pabico for 29 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
28.0%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 19 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+25
29.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 25 yds to the Stanf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
29.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
29.4%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 2Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
27.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.8%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd for a TD STANFORD Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Stanf 3 (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15FG
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:2270% → 76%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
30.5%
Costello,K pass incomplete to Fehoko,S, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Holmes, Darnay) 15 yards to the UCLA11, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
30.5%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Elijah GatesSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
30.3%
Costello,K pass incomplete to A.-Whiteside,JJ (Gates, Elijah), PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Gates, Elijah) 9 yards to the UCLA2, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
30.0%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
23.8%
Jet Toner 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
29.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4129% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
29.6%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Joshua KelleySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
28.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 12 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
30.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Chase Cota for 19 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
32.5%
Wilton Speight sacked by Sean Barton for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+14
30.2%
Martell Irby run for 14 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
32.2%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+25
30.7%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 25 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
49.2%
Martell Irby run for 12 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1759% → 75%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
41.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 11 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
40.0%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 36Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
40.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 11 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
38.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 12 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
37.8%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
37.8%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete, broken up by Keisean Lucier-SouthSimilar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+22
38.3%
Bryce Love run for 22 yds to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
36.6%
Costello,K pass complete to Scarlett,C for 10 yards to the UCLA8 (Toailoa, Lokeni), PENALTY STAN holding (Hall,AT) 10 yards to the UCLA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 20
OPP 28
0
37.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Darnay HolmesSimilar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 20
OPP 28
+5
38.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 15
OPP 23
+23
25.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 23 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
29.1%
Wilton Speight sacked by TEAM for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 21 Wilton Speight fumbled, recovered by Stanf Jovan Swann , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:3076% → 88%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
23.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Darnay HolmesSimilar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
23.8%
Bryce Love run for 7 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+12
24.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 12 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
11.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 2 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21INT
9 plays · 56 yds · 0:0015% → 18%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
15.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
16.5%
Speight, Wilton pass incomplete (Buncom,F), PENALTY STAN pass interference (Buncom,F) 4 yards to the UCLA42, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
16.9%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 18 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
17.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Martell Irby for 10 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
18.1%
Martell Irby run for 6 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+8
18.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 8 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
18.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 19Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 13
OPP 19
0
17.8%
Wilton Speight pass intercepted Paulson Adebo return for no gain to the Stanf 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22SF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-3
15.9%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:0273% → 70%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
26.8%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+6
26.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 6 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+23
27.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 23 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
24.8%
Trevor Speights run for no gain to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-15
24.8%
Costello,K pass incomplete to Fehoko,S, PENALTY STAN pass interference (Fehoko,S) 15 yards to the UCLA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 25
OPP 44
0
27.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson, broken up by Jay ShawSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 25
OPP 44
+2
28.6%
K.J. Costello run for 2 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 23
OPP 42
0
30.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 32 yds, downed at the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 4:3532% → 67%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
31.7%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 8 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+7
32.3%
Martell Irby run for 7 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.1%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Chase Cota, broken up by Obi EbohSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
31.8%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+24
30.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 24 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
36.7%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 6 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
37.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
37.0%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
36.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 12 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
38.9%
Martell Irby run for 4 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
38.9%
Martell Irby run for 4 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+16
36.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 16 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.4%
Wilton Speight run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 26TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0843% → 83%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
57.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 12 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
55.8%
Cameron Scarlett run for 11 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
17.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for 52 yds for a TD (B. Love Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27MISSED FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:1025% → 19%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
24.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 11 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
25.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 23 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
29.7%
Martell Irby run for no gain to the Stanf 41Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
29.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Martell Irby for 12 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
32.4%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-9
32.2%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 38Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 19
OPP 38
+2
26.6%
Wilton Speight run for 2 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 17
OPP 36
+53
19.4%
JJ Molson 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2787% → 87%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
13.4%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
12.8%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
13.0%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 3:42
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
13.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 29DOWNS
6 plays · 53 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
18.9%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+66
18.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 66 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
27.3%
Wilton Speight sacked by Gabe Reid for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 24Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 15
OPP 24
0
23.3%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 15
OPP 24
0
21.2%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 15
OPP 24
-8
17.9%
Wilton Speight sacked by Malik Antoine for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:5590% → 94%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
9.7%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-3
7.1%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 30Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+5
6.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
5.7%
Jake Bailey punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Theo Howard at the UCLA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 31DOWNS
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+34
9.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 19 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
13.6%
Speight, Wilton pass incomplete to Wilson, Caleb, PENALTY UCLA holding (Murphy, Justin) 10 yards to the UCLA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 20
OWN 45
0
10.3%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+12
10.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Chase Cota for 12 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
12.4%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Chase Cota, broken up by Obi EbohSimilar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
10.7%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 32END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:19
K.J. Costello pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for 52 yds for a TD (B. Love Run For Two-point Conversion)
-38.9
TD · Q4 9:27
Wilton Speight run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+22.2
TD · Q3 12:19
Martell Irby run for 12 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)
+18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com