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ASU

Arizona State 41 at Arizona 40

ARIZ
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGSAFETYFGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:11 · Josh Pollack 45 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 196Home team on offense−5.7Garbage-time factor−8.4Score differential−1.5Pregame prior+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Blowout margin−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:23: Eno Benjamin run for 14 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +14.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:44: Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 8 yds for a TD (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +12.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:36: Manny Wilkins run for 11 yds for a TD (Manny Wilkins pass to Tommy Hudson for Two-Point Conversion) — ASU win probability +12.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 3:33: Brandon Ruiz 39 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +14.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:08: Eno Benjamin run for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ASU win probability +58.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 8ASU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00ASU 4th & 6 at ARIZ 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:06ARIZ 4th & 6 at ASU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:58ASU 4th & 13 at ASU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ARIZ 4th & 4 at ASU 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:18ARIZ 4th & 4 at ASU 5, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.0%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    49.7%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:18ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00ARIZ 4th & 4 at ASU 18, up 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%−0.4
    79% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−8.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 30, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:17ARIZ 4th & 7 at ASU 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−7.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:51ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 29, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:44ASU 4th & 8 at ARIZ 36, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:05ASU 4th & 7 at ARIZ 9, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−5.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:05ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 45, up 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:33ASU 4th & 9 at ARIZ 21, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−7.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:11ARIZ 4th & 6 at ASU 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−28.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−43.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 4ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 3:33ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:28ASU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:25ARIZ Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    71.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:27ASU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:23ASU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:51ARIZ Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:44ARIZ Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:36ASU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    9.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:08ASU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    57.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
45.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
45.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
45.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-5
45.3%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+15
45.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
45.3%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
45.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+5
45.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 5 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
45.3%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2FG
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:4746% → 48%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
46.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 9 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 1
OWN 13
-1
46.3%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 12Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+18
46.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 18 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
46.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 9 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+47
46.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 47 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
47.0%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+5
47.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
46.8%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+29
48.4%
Josh Pollack 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
48.1%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-5
47.8%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
48.7%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
48.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:4549% → 55%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
48.6%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+20
48.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 20 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
49.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
49.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+14
49.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 14 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
54.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 28 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0547% → 51%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Isaiah Floyd for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
52.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Isaiah Floyd for 13 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
48.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 58 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:2849% → 51%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 9 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
50.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
49.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 1 yd to the Ariz 37Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+16
49.5%
Khalil Tate run for 16 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
50.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 2 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
50.6%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+4
50.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
50.5%
Dylan Klumph punt for 36 yds, downed at the ArzSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
50.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 5
OWN 10
+1
50.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 6 Eno Benjamin fumbled, forced by Chacho Ulloa, ARIZONA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+2
50.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+4
51.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 3
OWN 12
+16
51.7%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 30 yds , Shun Brown returns for 16 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:2153% → 57%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
53.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
53.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
53.0%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
52.3%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
56.6%
Josh Pollack 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.6%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
55.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+8
55.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 56 yds , Shun Brown returns for 8 yds to the Ariz 35 ARIZONA ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:1358% → 71%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
57.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 9 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
59.1%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+1
58.3%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
58.9%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+6
59.1%
Darrius Smith run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
50
+3
59.3%
Darrius Smith run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+15
59.3%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
59.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+1
59.5%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+23
70.7%
Shawn Poindexter 23 Yd pass from Khalil Tate (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:5832% → 44%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
68.3%
Manny Wilkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 29 Manny Wilkins fumbled, forced by Jalen Harris,Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
67.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 15 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
67.3%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
67.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+33
70.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 18 yds to the ARIZONA 38 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
68.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 4 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+9
68.2%
Manny Wilkins run for 9 yds to the Ariz 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
68.2%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
56.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 10 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 1:1862% → 70%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
61.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 26 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
63.3%
Khalil Tate sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
64.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 15
OPP 29
-4
63.8%
Khalil Tate sacked by Jermayne Lole for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 19
OPP 33
+6
62.9%
Khalil Tate run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+9
61.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 9 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
69.5%
Josh Pollack 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
68.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, illegal block (-12 Yards) to the Ariz 13Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+13
68.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 13 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
68.2%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
67.7%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
66.4%
Dylan Klumph punt for 57 yds , N'Keal Harry returns for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14SF
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:3032% → 29%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
68.0%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 8 ARIZONA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-4 Yards) to the ArzSt 4Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 14
OWN 4
-4
70.6%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4673% → 78%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
72.9%
Darrius Smith run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
72.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
71.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shun BrownSimilar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
77.5%
Josh Pollack 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:5425% → 43%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
75.1%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+5
75.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
75.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tommy Hudson for 6 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+38
74.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 38 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
72.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
57.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 14 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3266% → 80%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
65.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
67.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+17
66.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 17 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
68.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+35
80.0%
Gary Brightwell run for 35 yds for a TD Timeout ARIZONA, clock 07:51 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
76.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
76.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
75.5%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
76.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+19
77.6%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 42 , Shun Brown returns for 19 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:2681% → 94%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
81.4%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 38Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
80.7%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+21
79.7%
Khalil Tate run for 21 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
81.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
81.5%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shun Brown, broken up by Aashari CrosswellSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+18
80.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 18 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
81.6%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+11
81.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 8 yds for a TD (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 4:399% → 11%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
90.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 20 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
89.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 7 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+10
89.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 10 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
89.6%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
89.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Brandon Aiyuk, broken up by Christian YoungSimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
89.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+13
89.8%
Manny Wilkins run for 13 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
90.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 11 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
90.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
90.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 8 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 4
-5
91.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
91.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Brandon Aiyuk, broken up by Christian YoungSimilar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
89.2%
Brandon Ruiz 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
93.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
93.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
93.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
93.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
93.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
93.3%
Dylan Klumph punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:256% → 21%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.7%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
93.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 9 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
93.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
93.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+16
93.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 16 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
92.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 23 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
91.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 17 yds to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
79.1%
Manny Wilkins run for 11 yds for a TD (Manny Wilkins pass to Tommy Hudson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 20Similar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
88.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
88.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+24
87.5%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Ryan Newsome return for 24 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2619% → 30%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
81.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-2
81.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
84.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
70.4%
Brandon Ruiz 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0787% → 87%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
86.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 24Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 13
OWN 24
-4
87.1%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 22 J.J. Taylor fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Tyler JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 26TD
1 play · 22 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
28.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 27MISSED FG
19 plays · 54 yds · 2:5246% → 38%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
45.6%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
45.0%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+14
42.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 14 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
46.6%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tony Ellison, broken up by Aashari CrosswellSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
46.2%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shun BrownSimilar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+11
43.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 11 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
51.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 7 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+1
53.0%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
50.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
51.8%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tony EllisonSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+13
51.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 13 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
56.2%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
56.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill III, broken up by Kobe WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+4
46.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 0:11
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+45
37.7%
Josh Pollack 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
10.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:08
Eno Benjamin run for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-58.6
TD · Q3 9:23
Eno Benjamin run for 14 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
-14.7
FG · Q4 3:33
Brandon Ruiz 39 yd FG GOOD
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com