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ORE

Oregon 55 at Oregon State 15

ORST
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2018 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:56 · CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior−26.1Home team on offense−20.1Score differential−11.1Garbage-time factor−6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:06: CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK) — ORE win probability +1.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:33: Jordan Choukair 45 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +1.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:33: Travis Dye run for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK) — ORE win probability +5.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:33: Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 22 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair PAT MISSED) — ORST win probability +7.9 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:29: CJ Verdell run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ORE win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00ORST 4th & 5 at ORE 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:00ORE 4th & 11 at ORST 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:45ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15ORST 4th & 5 at ORE 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:06ORST 4th & 8 at ORE 27, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:09ORE 4th & 16 at ORE 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:33ORST 4th & 21 at ORE 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:56ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.5%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:33ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 42, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:29ORE 4th & 1 at ORST 14, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−1.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−5.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:22ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ORE 4th & 6 at ORST 41, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:46ORST 4th & 14 at ORST 2, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ORE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:00ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:06ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:33ORE Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:33ORST Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:29ORE Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:54ORE Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:09ORE Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:50ORE Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:16ORST Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
10.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 13 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
10.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
10.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 8 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
10.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
10.1%
Timmy Hernandez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
10.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
10.1%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins, broken up by Drayton CarlbergSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
10.1%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Timmy Hernandez, broken up by Deommodore LenoirSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:4489% → 89%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
11.0%
Travis Dye run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
50
+10
10.9%
Travis Dye run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
10.9%
Travis Dye run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+4
10.9%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
10.9%
CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+21
10.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 21 yds for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
11.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 9 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
11.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
11.1%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford, broken up by La'Mar Winston Jr.Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
11.1%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ugochukwu Amadi at the Oregn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
11.3%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
11.3%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+6
11.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 6 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
11.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
11.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 13 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
11.2%
Justin Herbert sacked by Isaac Hodgins for a loss of 9 yards to the Oregn 49Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+4
11.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 4 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 15
OPP 47
+4
11.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Travis Dye for 4 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
11.4%
Blake Maimone punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
12.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 5 yds to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+3
12.3%
Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 12Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+5
12.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the OrgSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
12.3%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Timmy HernandezSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
12.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
12.2%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Timmy HernandezSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
12.1%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 1:5687% → 89%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
12.6%
CJ Verdell run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
12.5%
CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
12.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III, broken up by Kaleb HayesSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+8
12.9%
CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
12.8%
CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+16
12.8%
CJ Verdell run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.0%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:4312% → 13%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
11.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+19
11.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, personal foul (Troy Dye) to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
12.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+15
12.1%
Luton, Jake pass incomplete to Bradford, T., PENALTY ORE pass interference (Amadi, U.) 15 yards to the ORE27, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
12.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
12.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
12.4%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford, broken up by Ugochukwu AmadiSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
12.5%
Jordan Choukair 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:5989% → 89%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
11.5%
Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+13
11.4%
Justin Herbert run for 13 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
11.2%
Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 41Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+15
11.7%
Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Schooler, B., PENALTY OSU pass interference (Dunn, Isaiah) 15 yards to the OSU44, 1ST DOWN ORE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
11.5%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+34
11.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 34 yds to the OrgSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
11.4%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.5%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
11.9%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+15
11.8%
Trevon Bradford run for 15 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
12.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
12.2%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford, broken up by Jevon HollandSimilar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-1
11.8%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 27Similar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+24
11.6%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 24 yds to the Oregn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
12.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the Oregn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:4688% → 91%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
11.7%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the Oregn 10Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
11.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 8 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+9
11.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 9 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
11.1%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
11.2%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+6
11.0%
CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
10.8%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
10.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 3 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-9
10.8%
Justin Herbert sacked by Doug Taumoelau and Shemar Smith for a loss of 9 yards to the Oregn 36Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 16
OWN 36
+34
9.0%
Blake Maimone punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trevon Bradford at the OREGONST 30 OREGON ST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:299% → 10%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
9.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 33 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
9.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 9 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
10.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the Oregn 28Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+12
10.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
10.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 19Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 13
OPP 19
0
10.1%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 13
OPP 19
-8
9.8%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 27Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 21
OPP 27
+45
10.0%
Jordan Choukair 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0092% → 93%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
7.7%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
7.3%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the OrgSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 5:2393% → 99%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
7.5%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+6
7.5%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
7.5%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
7.4%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
7.6%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Oregn 34Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+8
7.7%
CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
7.1%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
7.1%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
50
+33
7.2%
CJ Verdell run for 33 yds to the OrgSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
6.6%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
1.4%
Travis Dye run for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:541% → 9%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
1.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 16 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+41
1.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 41 yds to the Oregn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
9.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 22 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
5.2%
Braxton Burmeister run for 11 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
5.0%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
4.9%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
5.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+38
5.2%
Blake Maimone punt for 38 yds, downed at the OREGONST 20 OREGON Penalty, illegal touching (Brenden Schooler) to the OrgSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
7.6%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
7.5%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 7 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+7
7.7%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 7 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
7.8%
Luton, Jake pass incomplete to Hernandez, T., PENALTY ORE pass interference (Lenoir, D.) 15 yards to the OSU49, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-18
8.4%
Champ Flemings run for a loss of 18 yards to the OrgSt 23 Champ Flemings fumbled, recovered by Oregn Gus CumberlanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:5596% → 99%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
3.9%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
3.9%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+6
4.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+14
0.8%
CJ Verdell run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
0.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 4 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
0.9%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
0.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-15
0.9%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 56 yds , Ugochukwu Amadi returns for a loss of 15 yards to the Oregn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:0699% → 99%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
0.8%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 8Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+4
0.8%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+33
0.8%
CJ Verdell run for 33 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
0.7%
Travis Dye run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.6%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
0.6%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-2
0.6%
Travis Dye run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
0.7%
Blake Maimone punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20INT TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:061% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
0.5%
Jake Luton sacked by Sampson Niu for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
0.4%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Timmy HernandezSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+14
0.4%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 14 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.5%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
0.5%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+38
0.2%
Jake Luton pass intercepted for a TD Thomas Graham Jr. return for 38 yds for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
0.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+1
0.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 6Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 10
OWN 6
-4
0.2%
Jake Luton sacked by Troy Dye for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 2Similar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 14
OWN 2
0
0.2%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 43 yds, downed at the OrgSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:41100% → 100%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
0.2%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+39
0.2%
Travis Dye run for 39 yds for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Jake Luton pass intercepted Thomas Graham Jr. return for no gain to the OrgSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 24TD
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:13100% → 100%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
0.2%
Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+5
0.2%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-6
0.2%
Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 23 Braxton Burmeister fumbled, recovered by Oregn Braxton BurmeisterSimilar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 16
OPP 23
+16
0.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Ryan Bay for 16 yds to the OrgSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
0.2%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 4Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
0.2%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 2Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.2%
Dye, Travis rush for no gain to the OSU2 (Aydon, Elu), PENALTY OSU offside defense (Rashed Jr., H.) 1 yards to the OSU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 25TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:280% → 0%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
0.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
0.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
0.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-5
0.1%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Kammy Delp) to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+2
0.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+22
0.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 22 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.1%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
0.1%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+12
0.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 12 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
0.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 31 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 26Uncategorized
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.1%
Travis Dye run for 11 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
0.1%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:33
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 22 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair PAT MISSED)
+7.9
TD · Q3 9:33
Travis Dye run for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)
-5.2
TD · Q3 3:29
CJ Verdell run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com