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ORST

Oregon State 23 at Washington 42

WASH
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:05 · Daniel Rodriguez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Byron Murphy at the Wash 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+38.0Home team on offense+9.4Score differential+3.2Garbage-time factor+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:55: Jordan Choukair 35 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +0.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:44: Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Jordan Choukair 44 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +1.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:40: Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:31: Jack Colletto run for 3 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +2.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ORST made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 9:43ORST 4th & 11 at WASH 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00ORST 4th & 10 at WASH 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ORST 4th & 1 at WASH 22, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:55ORST 4th & 6 at WASH 17, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:10WASH 4th & 1 at ORST 19, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:05ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:53ORST 4th & 4 at WASH 30, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:21ORST 4th & 12 at WASH 27, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:21WASH 4th & 17 at WASH 49, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:16WASH 4th & 13 at ORST 21, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:16ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 26, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:16ORST 4th & 7 at ORST 41, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:03WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 22, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:04ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 36, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:58WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 30, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:30WASH 4th & 19 at WASH 9, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:33ORST 4th & 5 at WASH 19, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:32WASH 4th & 26 at ORST 44, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:54WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:13WASH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:07WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:43WASH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:18ORST Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:44WASH Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:40WASH Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:31ORST Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 2:0698% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
98.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 14 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
98.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+64
98.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 64 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:072% → 3%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
97.9%
Jake Luton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
97.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 8 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+2
97.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 2 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
97.9%
Jermar Jefferson run for 23 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
97.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 14 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
97.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
97.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Timmy HernandezSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-2
97.8%
Artavis Pierce run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+47
97.4%
Jordan Choukair 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3097% → 97%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
97.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 23 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.5%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
97.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
97.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+10
97.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 10 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
97.5%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+25
97.5%
Jake Browning run for 25 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:5997% → 98%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
97.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 16 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
97.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-8
97.3%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 8 yards to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
97.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 17 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
97.7%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 16 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
97.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+11
97.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 11 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.7%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford, broken up by Myles BryantSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
97.7%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Noah TogiaiSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
97.7%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
97.7%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 2:5298% → 98%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
97.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
97.7%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+25
97.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 25 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
97.7%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Jones, Ty, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Hayes, Kaleb) 15 yards to the OSU46, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
97.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 15 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
97.7%
Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+3
97.7%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
98.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 21 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:252% → 3%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+33
98.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 33 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
97.8%
Trevon Bradford run for 11 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
97.7%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 2 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+7
97.7%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 7 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
-5
97.6%
Pierce, Artavis rush for 13 yards to the WASH9 (Rapp, Taylor;McIntosh, Jojo), PENALTY OSU illegal formation 5 yards to the WASH27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+5
97.8%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 5 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+14
97.8%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 14 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
97.5%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 3 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9FG
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:223% → 3%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
97.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 31 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
97.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+2
97.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
97.3%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Noah TogiaiSimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
96.6%
Jordan Choukair 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:4597% → 97%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.9%
Jake Browning run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
96.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+19
96.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 19 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
97.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-4
97.1%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+23
96.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 23 yds to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
97.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 1 yd to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
97.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+5
97.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 1
OPP 19
-4
96.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
96.5%
Jermar Jefferson run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
96.5%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
96.3%
Jake Luton run for no gain to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
96.5%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
96.6%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Byron Murphy at the Wash 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:4697% → 99%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
97.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
97.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+21
96.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Sean McGrew for 21 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
97.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 4 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+30
97.1%
Sean McGrew run for 30 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
97.1%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+4
97.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 4 yds to the OrgSt 10Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
98.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:372% → 3%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
98.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 11 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
98.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 9 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
98.2%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+21
98.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 21 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+44
97.4%
Jordan Choukair 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:323% → 3%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
97.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
97.0%
Trevon Bradford run for 24 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
96.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 39Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+11
97.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 11 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-5
96.7%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Teagan Quitoriano) to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+3
96.9%
Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+5
96.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
96.5%
Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
96.5%
Jake Luton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-4
96.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+44
97.2%
Jordan Choukair 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
98.2%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Jones, Ty for 10 yards to the WASH37, out-of-bounds (Dunn, Isaiah), PENALTY WASH holding (McGary, Kaleb) 10 yards to the WASH17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+3
98.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+20
98.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 20 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
98.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.3%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
98.3%
Jake Browning run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-10
98.2%
Ahmed, Salvon rush for 2 yards to the OSU35, out-of-bounds, PENALTY WASH holding (Adams, Trey) 10 yards to the OSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 13
OPP 47
-4
98.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Kee Whetzel and Andrzej Hughes-Murray for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 36 yds , Kaleb Hayes returns for no gain to the OrgSt 6 Kaleb Hayes fumbled, recovered by Wash Kyler ManuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Jake Luton run for no gain to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+16
99.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.6%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 11 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-19
99.6%
Jake Luton sacked by Myles Bryant for a loss of 19 yards to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 29
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 29
OWN 34
-14
99.6%
Jake Luton sacked by Benning Potoa'e for a loss of 14 yards to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 43
OWN 20
+18
99.6%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 62 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 18 yds to the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 7 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
99.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
50
+32
99.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 32 yds to the OrgSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-9
99.7%
Jake Browning sacked by Kee Whetzel for a loss of 9 yards to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 27
+6
99.7%
Jake Browning run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+39
99.8%
Peyton Henry 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+3
99.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins, broken up by Brandon WellingtonSimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Byron Murphy at the Wash 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 14
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew Sample, broken up by Kaleb Hayes WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 14
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 14
OWN 22
+47
99.8%
Joel Whitford punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trevon Bradford at the WASHINGTON 31 OREGON ST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.8%
Jake Luton run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 30 Jake Luton fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Jake LutonSimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Artavis Pierce run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Byron Murphy at the Wash 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
99.8%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
Race Porter punt blocked by Andre Bodden blocked by Andre Bodden Andre Bodden return for 5 yds to the Wash 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.8%
Jack Colletto run for 3 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
99.4%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 17 Sean McGrew fumbled, recovered by Wash Sean McGrewSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+1
99.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-9
99.4%
Jake Haener sacked by Andrzej Hughes-Murray and Shemar Smith for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 9Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 19
OWN 9
0
99.2%
Race Porter punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Trevon Bradford at the OrgSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
97.6%
Conor Blount pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 13 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
97.5%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+14
97.3%
Conor Blount pass complete to Noah Togiai for 14 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
97.0%
Conor Blount run for 5 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
97.0%
B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 3
OPP 17
-2
97.2%
B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 19Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 5
OPP 19
0
97.4%
Conor Blount pass incomplete OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-6
99.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 16
OWN 13
+59
99.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 59 yds to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.6%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Cade Otton, broken up by Isaiah DunnSimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-2
99.6%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 12
OPP 30
-14
99.6%
Jake Haener pass complete to Andre Baccellia for a loss of 14 yards to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 26
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Race Porter punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.0%
B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
98.0%
B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:31
Jack Colletto run for 3 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)
-2.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+2
TD · Q2 0:44
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com