Try the model
WSU

Washington State 31 at Colorado 7

COLO
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.8COLO 47.6%Blake Mazza 39 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q2 13:37
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:37 · Blake Mazza 39 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Home team on offense+1.3Score differential+0.0Pregame prior−9.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:14: Travon McMillian run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Francis KICK) — COLO win probability +5.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:31: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 28 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +7.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:20: James Williams run for 2 yds to the Colo 30 — WSU win probability +6.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:56: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +9.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:27: Gardner Minshew run for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +11.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 8WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 14:04WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:57COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:02WSU 4th & 2 at COLO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:37WSU 4th & 4 at COLO 21, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:39COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:00COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 48, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:51WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:35COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:15WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:13COLO 4th & 13 at COLO 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:26WSU 4th & 10 at COLO 38, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%
    38% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:19COLO 4th & 5 at midfield, down 10
    Close callPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:20WSU 4th & 2 at COLO 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    75.6%−1.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−9.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:18COLO 4th & 11 at WSU 36, down 10
    Close callPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    22.8%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:55COLO 4th & 18 at COLO 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−2.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:56WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 4:14COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:31WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:56WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:27WSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:46WSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5163% → 62%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
37.4%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
37.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
37.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
37.8%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 56 yds, downed at the Colo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0338% → 39%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
37.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 11 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
38.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 6 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-4
38.3%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 32Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+7
38.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 7 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
38.6%
Davis Price punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3DOWNS
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:4961% → 60%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
38.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the WshSt 16Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+1
38.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 1 yd to the WshSt 17Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+12
39.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 12 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
39.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 9 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+1
39.1%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
39.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+22
39.4%
Max Borghi run for 22 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
39.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
39.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 6 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+5
39.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 5 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
39.2%
James Williams run for 8 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 20
-5
39.4%
Minshew, Gardner pass complete to Harris, Travell for 19 yards to the COLORADO1, PENALTY WASHST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the COLORADO25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
39.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 5 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 2
OPP 20
0
39.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 2
OPP 20
0
40.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:4041% → 47%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
41.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 13 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+64
41.6%
Travon McMillian run for 64 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
47.1%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Francis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:1654% → 52%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
45.6%
Max Borghi run for 7 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
45.5%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+14
46.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 14 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
46.1%
Travell Harris run for 3 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-5
46.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Abraham Lucas) to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+8
47.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 4
50
+23
47.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 23 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
47.2%
James Williams run for no gain to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
47.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 8 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-2
48.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 21Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
47.6%
Blake Mazza 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5147% → 47%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 3 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
46.9%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
46.9%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
46.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 6 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
46.9%
Davis Price punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4350% → 60%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
49.9%
James Williams run for 9 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+15
49.0%
Gardner Minshew run for no gain to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, Personal Foul (Nate Landman) to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
48.7%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+17
48.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 17 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
47.5%
Gardner Minshew run for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+1
47.7%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+28
40.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 28 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:2543% → 43%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.8%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
42.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 15 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
43.9%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
43.8%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+6
42.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Kabion Ento for 6 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
43.3%
Davis Price punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0058% → 57%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
42.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+11
42.2%
James Williams run for 11 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
41.4%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+1
41.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
41.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Max Borghi WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josh Watson) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
43.0%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0444% → 43%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
43.7%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-1
45.1%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
43.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann WinfreeSimilar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
42.7%
Davis Price punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:1158% → 58%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
41.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 10 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
41.0%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
39.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
40.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+25
42.4%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 55 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 25 yds to the Colo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5743% → 41%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
43.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
43.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-3
41.1%
Steven Montez sacked by Willie Taylor III for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 28 Steven Montez fumbled, forced by Willie Taylor III, recovered by Colo Steven Montez , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 13
OWN 28
+21
40.6%
Davis Price punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the COLORADO 36 COLORADO Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Daniel Arias) to the Colo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:4462% → 62%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
37.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
38.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+11
38.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 11 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
37.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
37.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
37.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
38.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:2143% → 43%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
43.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
43.0%
Steven Montez sacked by Logan Tago for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:2942% → 43%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Travon McMillian for 6 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
43.1%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Colo 32 Travon McMillian fumbled, forced by Jahad Woods, recovered by WshSt Jahad WoodsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:2464% → 74%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
36.5%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+12
36.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 12 yds to the Colo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
36.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Keith Harrington for 8 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+5
36.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 5 yds to the Colo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
36.2%
James Williams run for no gain to the Colo 5Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
36.4%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the Colo 1 Max Borghi fumbled, recovered by WshSt Renard BellSimilar
Q3 10:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:2827% → 27%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
26.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
26.7%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+27
25.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 27 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
28.1%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 5
50
0
28.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 5
50
0
28.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 5
50
0
26.5%
Davis Price punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:4073% → 78%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
27.3%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+11
27.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 11 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
26.4%
Gardner Minshew run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
26.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Max BorghiSimilar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+14
25.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, Personal Foul (Aaron Maddox) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
50
+7
23.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 7 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+10
21.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 10 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
21.2%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
20.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+3
19.9%
Gardner Minshew run for 3 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 2
OPP 25
0
21.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:4222% → 22%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
22.3%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
21.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 18 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
24.2%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 18 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
26.2%
Dimitri Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
24.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
23.2%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
21.5%
Davis Price punt for 24 yds, downed at the WshSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 2:4278% → 94%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
22.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 10 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+48
21.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 48 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
18.3%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
17.9%
James Williams pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+9
18.8%
Gardner Minshew run for 9 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
17.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 9 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+10
6.3%
Gardner Minshew run for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2310% → 8%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
10.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 17 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
9.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 4 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
9.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann WinfreeSimilar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-12
9.1%
Steven Montez sacked by Dominick Silvels for a loss of 12 yards to the Colo 34Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 18
OWN 34
0
7.9%
Davis Price punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4794% → 93%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
6.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 2 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
6.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
6.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+3
6.9%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 57 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 3 yds to the Colo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 56 yds · 1:207% → 7%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
6.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+8
6.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 8 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
6.8%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+14
6.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 14 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
6.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 9 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+17
6.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 17 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
6.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds Laviska Shenault Jr. fumbled, forced by Jahad Woods, recovered by WshSt Peyton PelluerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 6:1496% → 100%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
4.2%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
4.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 5 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+4
3.8%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
3.5%
Max Borghi run for no gain to the WshSt 43Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+21
3.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 21 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
3.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 5 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+2
2.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+3
2.7%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
2.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 7 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+16
2.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 16 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
2.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
1.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q4 3:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.4%
James Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:291% → 1%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+23
0.8%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Kabion Ento for 23 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
0.9%
Sam Noyer run for no gain to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
0.9%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+25
0.8%
Sam Noyer pass intercepted Kedron Williams return for 25 yds to the Colo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26Uncategorized
4 plays · 15 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
0.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 6 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+5
0.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Kainoa Wilson for 5 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
0.3%
Keith Harrington run for 1 yd to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+3
0.2%
Keith Harrington run for 3 yds to the Colo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:27
Gardner Minshew run for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
-11.4
TD · Q3 10:56
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q2 8:31
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 28 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
-7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com