Try the model
CAL

California 13 at Washington State 19

WSU
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:31 · Blake Mazza 30 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior+0.9Home team on offense+4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score differential−1.3Blowout margin−1.7Garbage-time factor−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:00: Chase Garbers pass complete to Malik McMorris for 2 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK) — CAL win probability +5.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:47: Max Borghi run for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:04: Greg Thomas 46 yd FG GOOD — CAL win probability +7.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:30: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 12 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST down — WSU win probability +14.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:32: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza PAT MISSED) — WSU win probability +30.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CAL made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:35WSU 4th & 12 at CAL 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    69.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:12CAL 4th & 9 at WSU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:51WSU 4th & 1 at CAL 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    69.0%−0.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:13CAL 4th & 13 at CAL 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:00CAL 4th & 1 at WSU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.8
    75% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:29CAL 4th & 11 at WSU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:46WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:36CAL 4th & 14 at WSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−2.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−5.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:01WSU 4th & 6 at CAL 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    59.8%−5.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:57CAL 4th & 7 at WSU 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−1.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:41WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:04CAL 4th & 6 at WSU 29, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.5%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−8.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:06CAL 4th & 1 at WSU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%−7.4
    79% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−28.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:31WSU 4th & 8 at CAL 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−3.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−26.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:39CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−5.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CAL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:00CAL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:47WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:32WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:2066% → 66%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.4%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
66.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 15 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
66.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 16 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
66.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
66.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 12 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
66.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 20 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
66.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the Cal 8Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
66.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 12Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
66.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
66.3%
Blake Mazza 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:1834% → 34%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
66.3%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
66.3%
Vic Wharton III run for 7 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
66.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 6 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+20
66.0%
Chase Garbers run for 20 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
65.9%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
65.7%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+2
65.6%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 9
OPP 30
0
65.8%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Patrick LairdSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+47
66.4%
Greg Thomas 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:1766% → 67%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
66.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
66.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 12 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
66.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 15 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
67.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 2 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+5
67.2%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
67.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 2 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
66.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2134% → 33%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
66.2%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
66.1%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Ray HudsonSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-5
66.6%
Chase Garbers sacked by Nnamdi Oguayo and Peyton Pelluer for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 31Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
67.0%
Steven Coutts punt for 44 yds, downed at the WshSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:0666% → 67%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
65.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 13 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
66.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Keith Harrington for 4 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
66.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6TD
9 plays · 39 yds · 4:0136% → 42%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
64.0%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+5
63.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 5 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
64.4%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+7
65.1%
Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
63.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hawkins for 2 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+7
63.5%
Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
64.1%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
63.3%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 2Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
57.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Malik McMorris for 2 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0861% → 69%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.6%
Gardner Minshew run for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
60.7%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+15
60.5%
Max Borghi run for 15 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
61.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
61.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+14
60.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 14 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
61.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 13 yds to the Cal 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
61.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 11 yds to the Cal 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.0%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:0635% → 33%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
65.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Ian Bunting for 9 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+17
63.9%
Chase Garbers run for 17 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
63.4%
Brandon McIlwain run for 3 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-8
63.3%
Brandon McIlwain sacked by Marcus Strong for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+4
66.2%
Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
67.1%
Steven Coutts punt for 21 yds, downed at the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:3467% → 66%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
67.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 11 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
67.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
68.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-5
66.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Andre Dillard) to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+1
66.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 1 yd to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
65.5%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 1:0436% → 40%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+33
63.9%
Chase Garbers run for 18 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Thompson) to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
63.0%
Chase Garbers run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+15
63.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Dominick Silvels) to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
61.9%
Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
61.9%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Ian BuntingSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 9
OPP 20
-15
63.3%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Will Craig) to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 24
OPP 35
+10
65.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 10 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 14
OPP 25
+42
60.5%
Greg Thomas 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:2167% → 68%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+28
66.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 28 yds to the Cal 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
68.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 4 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
68.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
66.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
68.2%
Blake Mazza 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:5834% → 37%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
65.8%
Chase Garbers sacked by Willie Taylor III and Will Rodgers III for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 22Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+24
66.3%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 24 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
63.2%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Maurice WaysSimilar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
63.8%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 6 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+6
62.8%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 6 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
62.5%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-2
62.3%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 41Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+2
62.1%
Chase Garbers run for 2 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
63.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:5766% → 66%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
65.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+4
66.3%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+12
65.6%
Gardner Minshew run for 12 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
67.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 5 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
69.2%
Gardner Minshew run for 1 yd to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
67.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
65.9%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15INT
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:2135% → 38%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+21
65.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 21 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
63.8%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 4 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
63.0%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 3 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+37
62.2%
Chase Garbers pass intercepted, touchback. Willie Taylor III return for 37 yds Willie Taylor III fumbled, forced by Chase Garbers, recovered by CalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:4135% → 47%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
64.8%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
64.9%
Chase Garbers sacked by Logan Tago for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 22Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+10
66.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Cal 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+35
62.9%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Maurice Ways for 35 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.1%
Brandon McIlwain pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
59.8%
Brandon McIlwain run for 5 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-1
60.3%
Chase Garbers sacked by Logan Tago for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+46
53.0%
Greg Thomas 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:2059% → 59%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
59.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 1 yd to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+9
58.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 9 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
59.6%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+6
62.8%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
63.3%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Jordan Kunaszyk for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+5
59.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 5 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
59.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18INT
18 plays · 76 yds · 5:4646% → 56%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
54.3%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Cal 13Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+5
54.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Ian Bunting for 5 yds to the Cal 18Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+10
55.5%
Garbers, Chase pass incomplete to Bunting, Ian, PENALTY WASHST holding (Dale, Hunter) 10 yards to the CALIFORNIA28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.Similar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
52.8%
Brandon McIlwain run for 2 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
52.5%
Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Maurice WaysSimilar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+12
54.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 12 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
49.2%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jeremiah HawkinsSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
50.3%
Patrick Laird run for 5 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+15
48.4%
Garbers, Chase pass incomplete to Remigio, Nikko, PENALTY WASHST roughing passer (Sherman, Dillon) 15 yards to the WASHST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.Similar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
46.9%
Brandon McIlwain sacked by Will Rodgers III for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+14
48.8%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 14 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
45.1%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
47.3%
Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+12
50.9%
Chase Garbers run for 12 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 8:06
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+6
50.3%
Patrick Laird run for 6 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
44.4%
Brandon McIlwain pass intercepted, touchback. Skyler Thomas return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19MISSED FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:5959% → 61%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
59.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 12 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
59.3%
James Williams run for 14 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
63.4%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+17
63.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 17 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
66.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 5 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
66.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+15
64.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 15 yds to the Cal 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
66.6%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the Cal 13Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
66.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
64.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
60.7%
Blake Mazza 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4149% → 45%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
51.3%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
51.5%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
53.3%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jeremiah HawkinsSimilar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
55.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 46 yds, downed at the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:5359% → 96%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
58.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+10
55.3%
Minshew, Gardner pass incomplete to Harris, Travell, PENALTY CALIFORNIA holding (Beck, Traveon) 10 yards to the WASHST39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+4
61.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
60.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+23
59.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 23 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
66.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 24 yds to the Cal 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22Uncategorized
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:1410% → 9%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
90.0%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko RemigioSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+12
89.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Ian Bunting for 12 yds to the Cal 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.3%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Maurice WaysSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:32
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza PAT MISSED)
+30.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:30
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 12 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST down
+14.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com