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STAN

Stanford 23 at Washington 27

WASH
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:03 · K.J. Costello pass intercepted, touchback. Taylor Rapp return for no gain
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:20: Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +6.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:43: K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 14 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK) — STAN win probability +7.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:27: Peyton Henry 22 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +4.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:55: Bryce Love run for 5 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK) — STAN win probability +11.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:24: K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 33 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli PAT MISSED) — STAN win probability +19.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 10STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:04STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:25WASH 4th & 11 at STAN 29, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:05WASH 4th & 1 at STAN 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    79.9%−1.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:56WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:30STAN 4th & 6 at WASH 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:26WASH 4th & 8 at STAN 24, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:27WASH 4th & 5 at STAN 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−5.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:55WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00STAN 4th & 13 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−1.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:04WASH 4th & 18 at WASH 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−4.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:00STAN 4th & 3 at WASH 3, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.7%−2.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−8.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:09WASH 4th & 2 at STAN 21, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%−0.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−5.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:16WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 44, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.2 ptsPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−5.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:09WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:55WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:20WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:43STAN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:55STAN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:24STAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    17.9%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.1%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
77.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 5 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
77.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
77.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 39 yds, downed at the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:4477% → 78%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
76.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+20
76.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 20 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
76.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 14 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
76.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+7
76.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
76.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 7
OWN 0
0
76.6%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Baccellia, A. for 2 yards to the STAN11 (Okereke,B), PENALTY STAN offside defense off-setting, PENALTY WASH illegal block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+7
76.8%
Browning, Jake sacked for loss of 6 yards to the STAN19 (Fox,J;Swann,J), PENALTY STAN personal foul (Swann,J) 7 yards to the STAN6, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
76.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Stanf 2Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.9%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
77.2%
STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+10
77.3%
Dorian Maddox run for 10 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+2
77.0%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
77.1%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
77.4%
Jake Bailey punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 5:3077% → 82%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
77.4%
Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+7
77.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
77.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 6 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+15
77.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 15 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
78.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+10
78.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 10 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
78.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 6 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 4
OPP 22
-15
78.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Stanf 37Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 19
OPP 37
0
77.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller, broken up by Dylan JacksonSimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 19
OPP 37
+8
77.5%
Jake Browning run for 8 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+16
77.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 16 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
78.0%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
82.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 11 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5519% → 19%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 7 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
80.4%
Costello,K pass complete to Smith,K for 4 yards to the STAN36 (Burr-Kirven,Ben), PENALTY STAN holding (Burkett,J) 10 yards to the STAN22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
80.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 8 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
80.9%
K.J. Costello pass intercepted Byron Murphy return for 12 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:3183% → 89%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
82.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-5
82.7%
Jake Browning sacked by Casey Toohill for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 13
OPP 29
+12
82.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 12 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+11
81.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
82.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7INT
10 plays · 54 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
88.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 6 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+27
88.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 12 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (JoJo McIntosh) to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
87.4%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
87.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 5 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+7
87.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 7 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
87.3%
Costello,K pass incomplete to A.-Whiteside,JJ (Taylor, Keith), PENALTY WASH pass interference (Taylor, Keith) 15 yards to the WASH21, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-9
86.9%
K.J. Costello sacked by Josiah Bronson for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 19
OPP 30
+3
87.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 3 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 16
OPP 27
0
88.0%
K.J. Costello pass intercepted Greg Gaines return for no gain to the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
91.7%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
91.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
91.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+3
91.3%
Joel Whitford punt for 36 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 3 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:5910% → 10%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
89.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 2 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+6
89.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 6 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+7
90.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 7 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
90.4%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+11
90.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 11 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+8
90.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for 8 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
90.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin, broken up by Byron MurphySimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
90.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
90.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Osiris St. BrownSimilar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
90.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson, broken up by Elijah MoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10DOWNS
14 plays · 29 yds · 3:2194% → 95%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
94.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 9 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
94.3%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
94.1%
Browning, Jake rush for 1 yard to the WASH47 (Wade-Perry,D;Jackson,D), PENALTY STAN offside defense (Fox,J) 6 yards to the STAN48, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
94.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 9 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
94.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 2 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
94.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-10
95.2%
Clock 01:37, Browning, Jake rush for 2 yards to the STAN32, out-of-bounds (Barton,S), PENALTY WASH holding (Wattenberg, L.) 10 yards to the STAN44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 17
OPP 44
+10
95.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 10 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+8
95.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 8 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
95.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
95.1%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 8
OPP 24
-10
94.6%
Jake Browning sacked by Casey Toohill and Thomas Booker for a loss of 10 yards to the Stanf 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 57 yds · 0:187% → 5%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
92.6%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
93.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Connor WedingtonSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+20
93.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 20 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+35
95.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 35 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
94.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
94.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete, broken up by Sean BartonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
94.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 35 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for no gain to the Stanf 39 Trenton Irwin fumbled, forced by Ben Burr-Kirven, recovered by Stanf Trenton IrwinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 4:277% → 14%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
93.3%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 35Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+6
93.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 6 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+27
93.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 27 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
92.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 8 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+7
92.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 7 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
92.6%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+1
92.6%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Wash 14Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
85.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 14 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:1689% → 94%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+37
88.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 37 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
89.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-5
89.3%
Gaskin, Myles rush for 4 yards to the STAN32 (Barton,S), PENALTY WASH illegal formation 5 yards to the STAN41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+17
89.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 17 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
89.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Stanf 24Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+14
89.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 14 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
89.3%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
89.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Stanf 5Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.0%
Jake Browning run for no gain to the Stanf 5Similar
Q3 4:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
93.6%
Peyton Henry 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:287% → 20%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
93.1%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+14
93.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 14 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
92.9%
Costello,K pass incomplete to Love,B, PENALTY WASH holding (Tryon, Joe) 10 yards to the WASH38, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
92.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 8 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+12
91.9%
Bryce Love run for 12 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
91.9%
Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the Wash 10 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (Taylor Rapp) to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
80.5%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
85.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
85.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew SampleSimilar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
84.1%
Joel Whitford punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:2216% → 13%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
83.6%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
50
0
84.9%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
50
0
86.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
50
+60
87.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 50 yds for a touchback WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
86.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 14
-3
86.1%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 11Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 9
OWN 11
-9
85.1%
Jake Browning sacked by Andres Fox and Jordan Fox for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 18
OWN 2
+14
84.5%
Joel Whitford punt for 45 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 14 yds to the Wash 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19FG
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:5517% → 19%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+25
82.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 25 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
82.4%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Wash 8Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
82.4%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
83.8%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Wash 3Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
80.6%
Collin Riccitelli 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:5187% → 92%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller, broken up by Alijah HolderSimilar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+18
86.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
88.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+17
89.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 17 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
89.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 2
OPP 21
-1
89.2%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 22Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+1
88.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
91.8%
Peyton Henry 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:398% → 31%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
92.4%
Bryce Love run for 28 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
90.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin, broken up by Elijah MoldenSimilar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+18
90.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 18 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
89.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
89.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Cameron ScarlettSimilar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+33
69.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 33 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:0886% → 90%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
85.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the Wash 35 Myles Gaskin fumbled, forced by Sean Barton, recovered by Wash Drew Sample for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
85.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
89.7%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
89.2%
Jake Browning run for 4 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
89.7%
Joel Whitford punt for 41 yds, downed at the Stanf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23INT
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:029% → 14%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
91.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Bryce LoveSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
91.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 9 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+6
88.6%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
88.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 8 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+13
87.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 13 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
87.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 15 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
83.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
84.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
86.5%
K.J. Costello pass intercepted, touchback. Taylor Rapp return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:24
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 33 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli PAT MISSED)
-19.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+13.5
TD · Q3 1:55
Bryce Love run for 5 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)
-11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com