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UTAH

Utah 20 at Arizona State 38

ASU
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-1.4ASU 41.4%Matt Gay 40 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 14 · Q2 12:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:22 · Matt Gay 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Pregame prior−12.7Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:09: Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 3 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +7.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:15: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +8.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:01: Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 23 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +12.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:47: Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 61 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +25.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:12: Eno Benjamin run for 44 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +8.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q2 15:00ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:22UTAH 4th & 6 at ASU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−3.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:58ASU 4th & 6 at UTAH 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−4.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:39UTAH 4th & 9 at ASU 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    50.6%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:09ASU 4th & 1 at UTAH 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.5%−2.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−8.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:11UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:45ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 35, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:50UTAH 4th & 9 at ASU 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−10.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:47UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 21, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−6.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:27ASU 4th & 3 at UTAH 3, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%−2.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−13.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:27UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:12ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:09ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:40UTAH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:15UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:01ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:47ASU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:12ASU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4833% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
32.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 3 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
32.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 10 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
32.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 31 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
32.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+12
32.6%
Paul Lucas run for 12 yds to the Utah 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
32.6%
Manny Wilkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-4
32.6%
Manny Wilkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
32.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+8
32.6%
UTAH Penalty, personal foul (8 Yards) to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
32.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the Utah 6Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
36.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.1%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
35.8%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
35.9%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+47
35.8%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Aashari Crosswell return for 47 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:1338% → 46%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
38.4%
Isaiah Floyd run for 9 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+3
38.4%
Isaiah Floyd run for 3 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
38.5%
[NHSG], PENALTY ASU false start (Tucker, Casey) 5 yards to the UTAH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+12
38.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 12 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+26
38.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 26 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
38.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
38.6%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Utah 3Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
45.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 3 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2956% → 59%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
43.4%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
43.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 8 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+19
43.1%
Zack Moss run for 19 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
42.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+8
42.6%
Armand Shyne run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
42.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+13
42.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.6%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.0%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4044% → 44%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.7%
Isaiah Floyd run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
43.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 5 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+36
43.6%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 46 yds , Britain Covey returns for 36 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:4457% → 59%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
42.9%
Zack Moss run for 17 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
42.0%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+5
42.2%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
42.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
41.4%
Matt Gay 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:2442% → 47%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
42.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
43.0%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
41.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 5 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+28
42.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 28 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
44.3%
Isaiah Floyd run for no gain to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
44.2%
Kyle Williams run for 8 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+4
43.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
44.3%
[NHSG], Benjamin, Eno rush for 2 yards to the UTAH21 (Burgess,Terrell), PENALTY ASU IF 5 yards to the UTAH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+11
43.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 11 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+2
44.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 2
OPP 15
-4
43.5%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 19Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
46.7%
Brandon Ruiz 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:4355% → 66%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
45.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
44.8%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+23
45.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 23 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
42.8%
Britain Covey run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
42.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+26
43.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 26 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
41.8%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+17
41.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 17 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
41.8%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Malik Lawal for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
42.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q2 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
34.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:0737% → 54%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
37.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 15 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
38.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 4 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
40.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+16
38.6%
Manny Wilkins run for 16 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
40.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 19 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
53.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 23 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:2251% → 46%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
48.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 17 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
44.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-7
45.3%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Jermayne Lole for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
51.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Solomon Enis, broken up by Aashari CrosswellSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
54.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
52.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0050% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.2%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
49.4%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
50.8%
Zack Moss run for 18 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
47.1%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Merlin Robertson return for 11 yds to the Utah 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
55.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 14 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
55.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tommy Hudson for 1 yd to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+8
55.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
54.6%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+3
53.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
55.9%
[NHSG], Wilkins, Manny pass complete to Benjamin, Eno for 18 yards to the UTAH1 (Blair, Marquise), PENALTY ASU pass interference (Harry, N'Keal) 15 yards to the UTAH34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 25
OPP 34
0
55.3%
Manny Wilkins pass intercepted Terrell Burgess return for no gain to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
54.7%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-1
54.9%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 25 Zack Moss fumbled, forced by Jermayne Lole, recovered by Utah Zack MossSimilar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
56.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson Nacua, broken up by Shannon FormanSimilar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
57.5%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 60 yds, downed at the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
57.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
57.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+7
56.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
57.9%
Isaiah Floyd run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+7
57.8%
Manny Wilkins run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
58.3%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
56.8%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:5144% → 47%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
56.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
56.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 5 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+16
55.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Britain Covey for 16 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+27
53.1%
Zack Moss run for 27 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
51.3%
Moss, Zack rush for no gain to the ASU14 (Johnson, Tyler), PENALTY UTAH IF 5 yards to the ASU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+6
52.0%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+5
51.3%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-5
52.9%
Jason Shelley run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q3 1:50
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
52.8%
Matt Gay 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0356% → 82%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
55.6%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+14
55.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 14 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
56.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+61
81.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 61 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
78.0%
Jason Shelley sacked by Renell Wren for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
78.6%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
79.7%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete, broken up by Jermayne LoleSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+11
80.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 52 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 11 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19FG
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:2383% → 87%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
83.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 13 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
83.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+35
83.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 35 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
83.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
83.9%
Isaiah Floyd run for 5 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
82.9%
Isaiah Floyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 3Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
86.7%
Brandon Ruiz 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0013% → 11%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.2%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
87.4%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
88.2%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
88.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 5:2189% → 98%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
88.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+1
88.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-2
88.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 9
OWN 27
-5
86.8%
Sleep-Dalton,M. punt 56 yards to the UTAH17, Covey, Britain return to the UTAH17, fumble by Covey, Britain recovered by ASU Lucas, Chase at UTAH20, PENALTY ASU IM (Lucas, Chase) 5 yards to the ASU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 14
OWN 22
+15
86.6%
UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Solomon Enis) to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
88.9%
Isaiah Floyd run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
89.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
88.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
89.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+44
98.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 44 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22INT
8 plays · 53 yds · 0:302% → 3%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
97.8%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 18 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
97.7%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 20 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
96.8%
Shelley, Jason pass incomplete to Nacua, Samson, PENALTY ASU pass interference (King, Demonte) 15 yards to the ASU14, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
96.8%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Corrion Ballard, broken up by Jermayne LoleSimilar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
96.8%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
97.2%
Jason Shelley pass intercepted, touchback. Kobe Williams return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:3998% → 99%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
98.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
98.4%
Isaiah Floyd run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
99.0%
Isaiah Floyd run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 11
OWN 42
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:47
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 61 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
+25
TD · Q2 1:01
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 23 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
+12.9
TD · Q4 4:12
Eno Benjamin run for 44 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com