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WSU

Washington State 41 at Stanford 38

STAN
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:27 · Jake Bailey punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense+11.7Pregame prior+2.8Garbage-time factor+5.5Score differential+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:32: James Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +13.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 12:26: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +24.9 pts (now 52%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:28: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +29.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:25: K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 25 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +42.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:19: Blake Mazza 42 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +32.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 0:00WSU 4th & 12 at WSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:25STAN 4th & 3 at WSU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:25WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:35WSU 4th & 7 at STAN 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:04STAN 4th & 1 at WSU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    67.4%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−8.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00WSU 4th & 3 at STAN 6, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.9%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−5.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:16STAN 4th & 1 at WSU 22, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%−2.8
    72% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−11.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:54WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:27STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:15STAN 4th & 3 at WSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−4.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−7.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:15WSU 4th & 1 at STAN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−8.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−27.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:19WSU 4th & 3 at STAN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−7.7
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−28.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:09STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:17WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:23WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:22STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:25STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:04STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:32WSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:26WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:28WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:25STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4660% → 62%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
59.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
59.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 9 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
59.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 7 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+4
60.0%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
50
+6
60.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 6 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+7
60.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 7 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
60.2%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Arcega-Whiteside, JJ, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Molton, Darrien) 15 yards to the WASHST22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
60.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
60.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 4 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
61.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 18 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4339% → 41%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
61.2%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
61.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 17 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
61.5%
James Williams run for 16 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+33
61.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 33 yds to the Stanf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
58.9%
James Williams run for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:3060% → 60%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
60.0%
K.J. Costello sacked by Peyton Pelluer for 0 yards to the Stanf 23 K.J. Costello fumbled, forced by Peyton Pelluer, recovered by WshSt Taylor Comfort , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:0241% → 45%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
58.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 4 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+11
58.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 11 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
58.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
58.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 4 yds to the Stanf 4Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
55.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4456% → 62%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.2%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
56.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 7 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+43
56.2%
Bryce Love run for 43 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
57.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 6 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
57.6%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
56.4%
K.J. Costello run for 3 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
57.0%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 11Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
56.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Strong) to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1741% → 40%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-6
59.4%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Thomas Booker for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+39
60.2%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 67 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 39 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3062% → 61%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
61.8%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Michael WilsonSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
61.5%
Trevor Speights run for 4 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+3
61.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 3 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
61.2%
Jake Bailey punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5341% → 40%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
59.3%
Max Borghi run for 7 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+1
59.1%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 2
OWN 19
-1
59.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 18Similar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
60.2%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 48 yds, downed at the Stanf 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:0061% → 70%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
60.9%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Brandon Fanaika) to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+20
60.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 20 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+36
62.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 36 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
63.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 5 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
69.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 3:4133% → 31%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
67.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
67.0%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-5
66.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Andre Dillard) to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+12
68.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 12 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+9
67.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 9 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
66.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
66.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Liam Ryan) to the WshSt 49Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+13
68.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 13 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
67.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-5
68.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Liam Ryan) to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
69.0%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 4:2670% → 82%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
69.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 15 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
70.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 16 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
72.4%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Irwin, Trenton, PENALTY WASHST personal foul (Strong, Marcus) 15 yards to the WASHST34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
73.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Darrien Molton) to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
73.4%
K.J. Costello run for 2 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+15
73.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 15 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
73.9%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the WshSt 12Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
73.6%
Trevor Speights run for 7 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
73.8%
Trevor Speights run for 1 yd to the WshSt 4Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
73.3%
Trevor Speights run for 3 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Houston Heimuli for 1 yd for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 69 yds · 0:4519% → 23%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
81.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
80.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+54
81.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 54 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
78.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
78.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 7 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
79.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
77.4%
Blake Mazza 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1824% → 39%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
76.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
75.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
74.9%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
75.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 17 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
73.8%
James Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 37 James Williams fumbled, recovered by WshSt James WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+13
75.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 13 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
74.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 17 yds to the Stanf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
74.2%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.7%
James Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:0468% → 77%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
67.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 11 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
68.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 2 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
69.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 14 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
70.9%
K.J. Costello run for 2 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+15
71.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Strong) to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
72.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 7 yds Trenton Irwin fumbled, recovered by StanfSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+2
72.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 2 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
71.2%
K.J. Costello run for no gain to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+40
77.2%
Jet Toner 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:0628% → 24%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
71.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 2 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
73.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 1 yd to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
74.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
75.7%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1378% → 78%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
77.5%
Trevor Speights run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
79.2%
Trevor Speights run for 5 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
79.9%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
78.4%
Jake Bailey punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:3626% → 52%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
74.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 12 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
75.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 12 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
74.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 2
50
+13
71.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 13 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
72.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+4
70.2%
Gardner Minshew run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
70.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 12 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
73.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the Stanf 11Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+4
73.4%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the Stanf 7Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
48.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:0559% → 59%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
58.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 4 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
60.6%
Trevor Speights run for 3 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
59.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 5 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
61.8%
Bryce Love run for 18 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
63.5%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
63.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Bryce LoveSimilar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+7
61.3%
K.J. Costello run for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 3
OPP 32
-1
58.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:3850% → 89%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
50.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 13 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
46.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 3 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+15
46.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 15 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
45.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Max BorghiSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
45.7%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+4
43.5%
Gardner Minshew run for 4 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
45.6%
Gardner Minshew run for 2 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
40.5%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the Stanf 24Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+15
40.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 15 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
40.1%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jovan Swann) to the Stanf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
10.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 2:3321% → 66%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
21.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 9 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
24.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+14
22.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
50
+9
24.9%
K.J. Costello run for 9 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
26.8%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
25.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 4 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
21.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 9 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
25.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
23.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
65.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 25 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:5152% → 94%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
44.3%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+35
46.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 35 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
37.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 7 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
36.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
38.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
6.3%
Blake Mazza 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22Uncategorized
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0617% → 15%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
17.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
15.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 7 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:25
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 25 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)
+42.1
FG · Q4 0:19
Blake Mazza 42 yd FG GOOD
-32.4
TD · Q4 4:28
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
-29.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com