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WASH

Washington 10 at California 12

CAL
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Greg Thomas 41 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior−17.4Home team on offense−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.8Score differential−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 0:01: Jake Haener pass intercepted for a TD Evan Weaver return for 37 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — CAL win probability +25.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:56: Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 7 — CAL win probability +7.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 4:51: Peyton Henry 26 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +16.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:51: Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Cal 28 — CAL win probability +9.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:28: Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 01:28 — CAL win probability +9.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00CAL 4th & 10 at CAL 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:02WASH 4th & 8 at CAL 31, tied
    Close callWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    76.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:09CAL 4th & 6 at WASH 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:33CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:38CAL 4th & 8 at WASH 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:38WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00CAL 4th & 10 at WASH 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    29.6%−6.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WASH 4th & 10 at CAL 32, up 1
    Close callWent for it · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:07CAL 4th & 17 at WASH 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−1.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    36.1%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:55WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 8, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−<0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:32CAL 4th & 8 at WASH 41, down 1
    Close callPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    39.5%−1.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 48, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%−2.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:04CAL 4th & 5 at CAL 11, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−2.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:04WASH 4th & 6 at CAL 40, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−3.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%−3.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:56CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 7, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−3.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:51WASH 4th & 9 at CAL 9, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−15.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 0 of 1WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:40WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:01CAL Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
19.7%
Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Cal 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
19.7%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Patrick LairdSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
19.7%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+42
19.7%
Steven Coutts punt for 42 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
15 plays · 64 yds · 6:2280% → 79%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
20.1%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-2
20.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+23
20.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 23 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
20.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
20.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 8 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
20.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-3
20.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 31Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
20.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty Jones, broken up by Camryn BynumSimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+9
20.1%
Jake Browning run for 9 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
20.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 11 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
20.0%
Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the Cal 4Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 3
OPP 4
-4
20.0%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 8Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+4
20.1%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete, PENALTY CAL roughing passer (Becker, Rusty) 4 yards to the CAL4, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
20.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Cal 3Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
20.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:2222% → 24%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
22.0%
Patrick Laird run for 14 yds to the Wash 28 Patrick Laird fumbled, forced by JoJo McIntosh, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
22.3%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Ray Hudson for 20 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
22.3%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
22.3%
Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Wash 6Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
22.0%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
23.7%
Greg Thomas 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4INT
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:0077% → 78%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
23.4%
Ahmed, Salvon rush for loss of 1 yard to the WASH24 (Drayden, Josh), PENALTY WASH holding (Otton, Cade) 10 yards to the WASH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+2
23.5%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+8
23.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+24
23.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 24 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
22.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 22 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
22.5%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Camryn Bynum return for no gain to the Cal 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
24.3%
Patrick Laird run for 5 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
24.4%
Brandon McIlwain run for 2 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 3
OWN 26
-4
24.0%
Chase Garbers sacked by Levi Onwuzurike for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 22Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
23.7%
Steven Coutts punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:3275% → 74%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
25.0%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
24.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
25.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
24.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller, broken up by Jaylinn HawkinsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
24.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
25.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller WASHINGTON Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
25.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 6:4926% → 31%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
25.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Ian Bunting for 4 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-2
26.0%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Patrick Laird for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 22Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+15
25.3%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 15 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
26.4%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
26.2%
Brandon McIlwain run for 3 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+14
26.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 14 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
27.6%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
27.6%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+8
27.3%
Chase Garbers run for 8 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
28.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+18
26.8%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 18 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
28.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 2 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
28.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Ian Bunting for no gain to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
27.4%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Ian Bunting, broken up by Taylor RappSimilar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
31.4%
Greg Thomas 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
28.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
28.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
29.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
30.2%
Joel Whitford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Vic Wharton III at the Cal 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9MISSED FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 5:4831% → 34%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
31.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 8 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+10
32.4%
Patrick Laird run for 10 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
32.8%
Patrick Laird run for 9 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
33.5%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
33.5%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+4
33.5%
Brandon McIlwain run for 4 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+13
33.1%
Chase Garbers run for 13 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
34.3%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Ian Bunting for 8 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 2
OPP 16
-10
34.3%
Laird, Patrick rush for 10 yards to the WASH6 (Bryant, Myles), PENALTY CAL holding (Hudson, Ray) 10 yards to the WASH26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 12
OPP 26
-9
34.2%
Chase Garbers sacked by Greg Gaines for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 21
OPP 35
+11
33.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 11 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
34.0%
Greg Thomas 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
31.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 1 yd to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+41
32.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Sean McGrew for 41 yds to the Cal 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
28.7%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Cal 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-9
28.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+8
31.5%
Jake Browning run for 8 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 32
-4
32.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Alex Funches for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 36 WASHINGTON Penalty, intentional grounding (Jake Browning) to the Cal 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0037% → 34%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
36.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 16 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
39.5%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
39.6%
Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+9
39.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 9 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
40.8%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-3
40.8%
Brandon McIlwain run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-6
38.3%
Chase Garbers sacked by Ben Burr-Kirven for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
34.1%
Steven Coutts punt for 39 yds, downed at the Wash 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
37.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Wash 4Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+2
37.3%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 6
OWN 6
-3
38.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Kaleb McGary) to the Wash 3Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+5
38.6%
Kamari Pleasant run for 5 yds to the Wash 8Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 4
OWN 8
0
39.8%
Joel Whitford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Vic Wharton III at the Cal 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0043% → 38%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
42.6%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 45Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+12
40.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 12 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
43.6%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+5
43.6%
Patrick Laird run for 5 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
43.0%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Patrick Laird, broken up by Brandon WellingtonSimilar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 3
OPP 36
-5
40.8%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
38.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14INT TD
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5561% → 35%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
38.8%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+7
38.8%
Kamari Pleasant run for 7 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
38.5%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
40.2%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+37
65.4%
Jake Haener pass intercepted for a TD Evan Weaver return for 37 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0136% → 37%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
62.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 11 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
61.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Kaleb McGary) to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+6
63.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 6 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+6
61.8%
Kamari Pleasant run for 6 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
60.2%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Ty Jones, broken up by Jordan KunaszykSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
63.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 42 yds , Team returns for no gain to the Cal 6 Team fumbled, recovered by Cal Vic Wharton IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
64.4%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 5Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+6
64.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 6 yds to the Cal 11Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 5
OWN 11
0
63.1%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio, broken up by Elijah MoldenSimilar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 5
OWN 11
0
62.2%
Steven Coutts punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3336% → 34%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
64.0%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 5
50
+6
62.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 6 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-6
62.4%
Jake Browning sacked by Jordan Kunaszyk and Camryn Bynum for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 16
50
+10
65.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 10 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
63.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre Baccellia, broken up by Evan WeaverSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
66.1%
Joel Whitford punt for 36 yds, downed at the Cal 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0074% → 70%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
73.5%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 7Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+4
73.2%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Cal 11Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 3
OWN 11
-4
72.2%
Chase Garbers sacked by Jaylen Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 7Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 7
OWN 7
+28
70.3%
Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 28 yds to the Cal 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0534% → 40%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
66.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 10 yards to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+23
70.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 23 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
66.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the Cal 9Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 5:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
75.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Sean McGrew, broken up by Ashtyn DavisSimilar
Q4 4:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
59.8%
Peyton Henry 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20END OF GAME
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:0973% → 91%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.7%
Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
73.0%
Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
71.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 4 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
73.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 6 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
75.8%
Patrick Laird run for 6 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
75.9%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
85.5%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-3
90.6%
Chase Garbers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:01
Jake Haener pass intercepted for a TD Evan Weaver return for 37 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+25.2
FG · Q4 4:51
Peyton Henry 26 yd FG GOOD
-16
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:28
Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 01:28
+9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com