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UTAH

Utah 41 at UCLA 10

UCLA
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2018 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:17 · Stefan Flintoft punt for 42 yds , Britain Covey returns for 30 yds to the UCLA 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Home team on offense−2.1Pregame prior−17.4Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:15: Joshua Kelley run for 25 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.2 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:58: Britain Covey pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 7 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:28: Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:45: Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:44: Armand Shyne run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 12:45UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:39UTAH 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:48UTAH 4th & 4 at UCLA 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:15UCLA 4th & 1 at UTAH 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.8%−0.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:14UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:17UCLA 4th & 11 at UCLA 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:51UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:35UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 27, up 10
    Close callPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00UCLA 4th & 9 at UTAH 35, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:22UCLA 4th & 8 at UTAH 10, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:15UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:42UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:01UTAH 4th & 9 at UCLA 31, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:15UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:58UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:28UTAH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:45UTAH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:44UTAH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:19UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3525% → 25%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
24.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
24.8%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
25.1%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
25.2%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Dymond Lee for 4 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+32
25.3%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 47 yds, downed at the UTAH 19 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Demetric Felton) to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2874% → 74%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
25.6%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
25.5%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-4
25.7%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 43 Tyler Huntley fumbled, forced by Osa Odighizuwa, recovered by Utah Armand Shyne , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+7
26.2%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 5
50
-4
26.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 41 yds , Adarius Pickett returns for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 5 Adarius Pickett fumbled, recovered by Utah Connor HallerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4274% → 74%
Q1 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
25.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 1 yd to the UCLA 4Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
26.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q1 9:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
26.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
26.3%
Matt Gay 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0527% → 31%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
26.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
26.8%
Caleb Wilson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
26.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 7 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
27.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Dymond Lee for 8 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+7
28.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 7 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
28.5%
Wilton Speight run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+12
28.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 12 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
29.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
29.4%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Joshua KelleySimilar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
29.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Demetric Felton for 4 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+25
31.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 25 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5INT
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:0969% → 70%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+60
31.4%
Zack Moss run for 60 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
30.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 5 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 7
-7
30.3%
Huntley, Tyler rush for 3 yards to the UCLA4, PENALTY UTAH holding 7 yards to the UCLA14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 12
OPP 14
0
30.5%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted, touchback. Quentin Lake return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1532% → 33%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
31.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
32.1%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+8
31.9%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 8 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
32.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+1
33.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
32.9%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
32.5%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 6:0267% → 71%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
33.5%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+2
33.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
33.6%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
33.9%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+5
33.0%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
33.3%
TJ Green run for 12 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
33.5%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-10
33.6%
Huntley, Tyler rush for 12 yards to the UCLA25, PENALTY UTAH holding (Moss, Zack) 10 yards to the UCLA47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 15
OPP 47
0
34.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 15
OPP 47
+17
35.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 17 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
33.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+20
34.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 20 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
34.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
29.3%
Britain Covey pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 7 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:1832% → 30%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
32.5%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
31.1%
Wilton Speight run for 5 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
31.1%
UCLA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
30.4%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+30
30.4%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 42 yds , Britain Covey returns for 30 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:2270% → 77%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
29.7%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+6
29.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jake Jackson for 6 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
29.2%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 2
OPP 16
-4
29.4%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+9
30.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
29.4%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.0%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:3424% → 23%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.0%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
23.2%
Wilton Speight run for 10 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
24.6%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
24.3%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Devin AsiasiSimilar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
23.5%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Dymond LeeSimilar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
22.7%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1076% → 76%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
24.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
24.5%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+3
24.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 3 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+6
24.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 54 yds , Adarius Pickett returns for 6 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:2022% → 22%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
22.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 24 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
24.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 4 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+11
24.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
24.5%
Speight, Wilton rush for 15 yards to the UTAH21, PENALTY UCLA holding 10 yards to the UTAH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+12
24.0%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 12 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
25.6%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+4
23.7%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 4
OPP 30
-5
22.5%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Chigozie Nnoruka) to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+52
21.9%
JJ Molson 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0077% → 88%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
23.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
22.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 12 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
22.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
22.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+19
22.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 19 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
21.3%
Britain Covey run for 19 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
21.0%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+8
21.0%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.6%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4014% → 14%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.1%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
13.8%
Wilton Speight pass intercepted Cody Barton return for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:0688% → 96%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
11.7%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+17
11.4%
Zack Moss run for 17 yds to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
11.2%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the UCLA 2Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.5%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:536% → 6%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
5.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 27 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
6.0%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+26
5.8%
Wilton Speight run for 11 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Utah 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
6.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Demetric Felton for 7 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+3
5.9%
Kazmeir Allen run for 3 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
5.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for no gain to the Utah 12Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
5.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the Utah 9Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-1
5.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 10Similar
Q3 5:22
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
6.1%
JJ Molson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2197% → 99%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
3.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 16 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
3.2%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
3.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+11
2.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 11 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
2.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
2.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 10 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
1.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 11 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
1.8%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
1.0%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:281% → 1%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 8 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
1.3%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
1.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 0:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
1.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+39
0.5%
Wilton Speight sacked by Bradlee Anae for 39 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+8
1.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
0.8%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Christian PabicoSimilar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+36
0.8%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 50 yds , Britain Covey returns for 36 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
0.4%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+8
0.4%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
0.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Cole FotheringhamSimilar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
0.3%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 6
OPP 28
-3
0.3%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
0.3%
Matt Gay 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20INT
15 plays · 66 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Demetric Felton for 8 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
0.2%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
0.2%
Wilton Speight run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
0.2%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Demetric Felton for 9 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+25
0.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 25 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
0.3%
Wilton Speight run for 4 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
0.3%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Devin AsiasiSimilar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+7
0.2%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 7 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
0.2%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Utah 14Similar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+5
0.2%
Wilton Speight run for 5 yds to the Utah 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.3%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.3%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.2%
Wilton Speight pass intercepted, touchback. Francis Bernard return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21Uncategorized
10 plays · 53 yds · 6:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
0.2%
Armand Shyne run for 10 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.2%
Jason Shelley run for 3 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
0.2%
TJ Green run for 4 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+11
0.2%
TJ Green run for 11 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
0.1%
TJ Green run for 4 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
0.1%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+8
0.1%
Jason Shelley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
0.1%
TJ Green run for 1 yd to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+3
0.1%
Mason Woodward run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+5
0.1%
Joey Wood run for 5 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:45
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)
-9.4
TD · Q3 9:44
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)
-6.7
TD · Q2 4:28
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com