Try the model
ORE

Oregon 20 at Washington State 34

WSU
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:22: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 16 yds for a TD (TEAM PAT MISSED) — WSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:59: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +12.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:54: Justin Herbert run for 8 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK) — ORE win probability +5.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:58: Adam Stack 32 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +5.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:36: Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 11 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK) — ORE win probability +9.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ORE made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 7:23ORE 4th & 9 at ORE 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:20ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:59ORE 4th & 17 at ORE 18, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:48ORE 4th & 11 at ORE 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:01ORE 4th & 2 at WSU 46, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−2.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:54ORE 4th & 1 at WSU 8, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−1.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    -2.7%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:55WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 24, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:49ORE 4th & 2 at WSU 46, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−2.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:58ORE 4th & 15 at WSU 15, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:05WSU 4th & 8 at ORE 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:23ORE 4th & 2 at WSU 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−2.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:38ORE 4th & 4 at WSU 6, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.3%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−4.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:43WSU 4th & 6 at ORE 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:53ORE 4th & 18 at WSU 36, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:30WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:22WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:59WSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:41WSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:54ORE Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:36ORE Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:40WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1INT
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:4754% → 55%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
53.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+20
53.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 20 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
54.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 3 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+5
54.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 5 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+5
54.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 5 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
54.5%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the Oregn 20Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
54.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Max BorghiSimilar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+8
54.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 8 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
54.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 1 yd to the Oregn 11Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
54.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+10
54.7%
Gardner Minshew pass intercepted Deommodore Lenoir return for 10 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:2346% → 45%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
54.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 8Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 17
OWN 8
-4
54.3%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Oregn 4Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 21
OWN 4
+5
54.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Oregn 9Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 16
OWN 9
+5
54.2%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 11
OWN 14
-5
54.6%
OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 9Similar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+7
54.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 7 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+2
54.8%
Blake Maimone punt for 54 yds , Travell Harris returns for 2 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:4554% → 60%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
54.4%
Max Borghi run for 9 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+15
55.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 15 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
55.4%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
55.5%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+14
55.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 14 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
59.8%
James Williams run for 24 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:0341% → 41%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
58.6%
Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Mitchell, Dillon, PENALTY WASHST pass interference 15 yards to the OREGON40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.1%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
58.5%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
58.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
59.3%
Blake Maimone punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:4859% → 71%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
59.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 7 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+8
59.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
60.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 7 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
60.9%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
61.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+1
61.8%
Keith Harrington run for 1 yd to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
61.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 11 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
62.3%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
62.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+10
62.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 10 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
62.9%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the Oregn 16Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
71.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 16 yds for a TD (TEAM PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1733% → 31%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.4%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
67.8%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
68.3%
Justin Herbert sacked by Fa'avae Fa'avae for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
69.0%
Blake Maimone punt for 47 yds, downed at the WshSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 7:4971% → 89%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
71.4%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
72.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 3 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+9
72.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
50
+4
73.7%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
74.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 5 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
73.2%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
74.3%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Oregn 33Similar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 5
OPP 33
+2
74.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+9
74.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 9 yds to the Oregn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
75.3%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
75.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for no gain to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+10
75.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 10 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
76.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 1 yd to the Oregn 7Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
77.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 1 yd to the Oregn 6Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0412% → 12%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
87.6%
CJ Verdell run for 10 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
87.3%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 34Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
88.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
88.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
88.5%
Tom Snee punt for 24 yds, downed at the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 1:0291% → 96%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
50
+23
91.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
91.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 3 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+8
91.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 8 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
91.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+15
96.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 15 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:294% → 3%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
96.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Kano Dillon for 21 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 6
50
0
96.7%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 6
50
+4
96.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Kano Dillon for 4 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
97.2%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:004% → 9%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.6%
CJ Verdell run for 11 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
93.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 20 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
92.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 27 yds to the WshSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
91.7%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the WshSt 17Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-10
92.4%
Mitchell, Dillon rush for 3 yards to the WASHST14, PENALTY OREGON holding 10 yards to the WASHST27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 20
OPP 27
+5
97.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 5 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+14
98.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 14 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+8
90.6%
Justin Herbert run for 8 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4794% → 94%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
94.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
94.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+22
93.7%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 52 yds , Ugochukwu Amadi returns for 22 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:459% → 12%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.5%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Oregn 46Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
92.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to CJ VerdellSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+8
92.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 8 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+5
92.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 5 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
92.8%
CJ Verdell run for 20 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
92.3%
Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Mitchell, Dillon, PENALTY WASHST pass interference 15 yards to the WASHST6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q3 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
91.9%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
92.5%
Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 7Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
93.3%
Travis Dye run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 10Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
94.0%
OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 15Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
88.5%
Adam Stack 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:5492% → 92%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
91.6%
Max Borghi run for 6 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+5
91.9%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
92.1%
Gardner Minshew pass intercepted Deommodore Lenoir return for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 4:5510% → 18%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
89.8%
Justin Herbert run for 8 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-2
90.0%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 29Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+15
90.4%
Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Mitchell, Dillon, PENALTY WASHST pass interference 15 yards to the OREGON44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
90.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 15 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
90.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
90.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Ryan Bay for 6 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+7
90.0%
Justin Herbert run for 7 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
89.5%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
89.8%
Dillon Mitchell run for 5 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+9
91.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 9 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
91.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for no gain to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
82.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 11 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:2385% → 88%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.2%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
86.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 12 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
86.8%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
87.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 5 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+3
87.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 3 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
88.2%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
88.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 3
OPP 42
-5
87.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 47Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
87.7%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18FG
16 plays · 74 yds · 5:1812% → 15%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
88.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 8 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
87.7%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+10
88.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 10 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for no gain to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
89.6%
Justin Herbert run for 2 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+9
90.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 9 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.8%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
90.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 8 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
89.5%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+4
90.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 4 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
89.6%
Justin Herbert sacked by Jahad Woods for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+28
91.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 28 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
89.7%
CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
89.7%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
90.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
85.3%
Adam Stack 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5490% → 98%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+37
90.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 37 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
91.8%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the Oregn 37Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+3
92.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 3 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
92.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+11
91.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 11 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
94.3%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the Oregn 22Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+22
98.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 22 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 1:413% → 2%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 5 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+17
97.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 17 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.2%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+25
97.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 25 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.5%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
96.8%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-8
97.0%
Justin Herbert sacked by Willie Taylor III for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 18
OPP 36
0
98.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -12 yds · 1:1199% → 99%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 13
OWN 33
-4
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 17
OWN 29
-5
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:59
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
+12.3
TD · Q3 0:36
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 11 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)
-9.3
TD · Q2 12:22
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 16 yds for a TD (TEAM PAT MISSED)
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com