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COLO

Colorado 13 at Washington 27

WASH
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:26 · Joel Whitford punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Blackmon at the Colo 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Pregame prior+19.1Home team on offense+1.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:20: Steven Montez pass complete to Daniel Arias for 37 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK) — COLO win probability +2.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:45: Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +4.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:37: Evan Price 26 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +3.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q3 3:07: Peyton Henry 31 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +4.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:50: Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 26 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +15.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7COLO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:14WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:15COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:03COLO 4th & 5 at WASH 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:03WASH 4th & 1 at COLO 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    77.5%−1.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:31COLO 4th & 11 at WASH 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:37COLO 4th & 9 at WASH 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:26WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 20, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:54COLO 4th & 1 at WASH 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−4.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:07WASH 4th & 12 at COLO 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−3.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−11.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:01COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 35, down 4
    Close callPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:20COLO 4th & 10 at WASH 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    24.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:50WASH 4th & 5 at COLO 26, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    71.6%−12.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:06WASH 4th & 8 at COLO 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:23COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:20COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:45WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:39WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:50WASH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
88.7%
Sean McGrew run for 8 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+1
88.7%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
88.7%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
88.7%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
88.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
88.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
88.7%
Joel Whitford punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Blackmon at the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5412% → 14%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
87.9%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
87.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 11 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
87.9%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
87.8%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the Colo 45 Travon McMillian fumbled, forced by Tevis Bartlett, recovered by Colo Josh Kaiser for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
87.8%
Travon McMillian run for 14 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
87.8%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+37
85.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Daniel Arias for 37 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
86.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 6 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
86.1%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
86.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 6 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew SampleSimilar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
86.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
85.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+2
85.8%
Joel Whitford punt for 57 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 2 yds to the Colo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
84.7%
K.D. Nixon run for no gain to the Colo 10Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+15
84.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Chris Bounds for 15 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.7%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
84.6%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
84.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Travon McMillian for 12 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
84.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann Winfree, broken up by Ben Burr-KirvenSimilar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
84.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+6
84.7%
Kyle Evans run for 6 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
84.7%
Davis Price punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:2982% → 85%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
82.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 17 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
82.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 14 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
83.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 11 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
83.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 13 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
83.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
83.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 7 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
83.2%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the Colo 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+15
80.5%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Jones, Ty, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Fisher, Nick) 15 yards to the COLO7, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
84.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:3217% → 20%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
82.8%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
82.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 11 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
82.2%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+23
82.1%
Travon McMillian run for 23 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
81.8%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
81.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 4 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
81.0%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
80.2%
Evan Price 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:2481% → 85%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
80.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 10 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
81.1%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+16
81.2%
Sean McGrew run for 16 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
82.3%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-4
82.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+9
81.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 9 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
81.7%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
82.3%
Jake Browning run for 9 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+13
82.8%
Andre Baccellia run for 13 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
84.7%
Kamari Pleasant run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
82.0%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+16
82.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 16 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
81.4%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-5
81.4%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
82.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
83.2%
Davis Price punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0082% → 83%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
82.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 9 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+2
83.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+30
82.6%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Nick Fisher return for 30 yds to the Wash 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3521% → 22%
Q2 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
79.4%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Wash 8Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
79.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 9Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
81.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Travon McMillian for no gain to the Wash 9Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
77.8%
Evan Price 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
80.6%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
78.7%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+7
79.0%
Steven Montez run for 7 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+7
79.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
78.3%
Steven Montez run for 8 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
77.0%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+4
77.2%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
77.0%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
77.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 3 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
77.4%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+41
78.9%
Davis Price punt for 41 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
77.1%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 4
OWN 18
0
77.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew SampleSimilar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+2
76.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 2 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
75.5%
Joel Whitford punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Blackmon at the Colo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
73.6%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
73.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 5 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
73.6%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
74.8%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Wash 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:5978% → 79%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
78.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 18 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
78.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+8
79.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 8 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
79.6%
Pleasant, K. rush for loss of 2 yards to the COLO27 (Johnson, Mustaf;Lewis, Drew), PENALTY COLO face mask (Johnson, Mustaf) 13 yards to the COLO12, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
79.6%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Colo 6Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
79.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-15
78.5%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Baccellia, A. for 4 yards to the COLO2 (Miller, Chris), PENALTY WASH pass interference (Jones, Ty) 15 yards to the COLO21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 19
OPP 21
+7
74.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+31
78.8%
Peyton Henry 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
75.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Daniel Arias, broken up by Keith TaylorSimilar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
76.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+6
77.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 6 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
76.3%
Davis Price punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:3382% → 81%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
81.6%
Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-1
81.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Evan Worthington for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 47Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+10
79.2%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Fuller, Aaron, PENALTY COLO holding (Udoffia, Trey) 10 yards to the COLO37, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
81.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 23 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
81.5%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+14
81.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 14 yds Chico McClatcher fumbled, forced by Nate Landman, recovered by ColoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
14 plays · 43 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
74.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 12 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
73.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 9 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+2
70.8%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
71.6%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
70.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-10
72.4%
Montez, Steven rush for 14 yards to the WASH40, PENALTY COLO holding (Kaiser, Josh) 10 yards to the COLO36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 17
OWN 36
0
76.1%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 17
OWN 36
+15
76.8%
Price, Davis punt 47 yards to the WASH17, fair catch by Fuller, Aaron, PENALTY WASH personal foul (Cook, Alex) 15 yards to the WASH49, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
69.9%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
71.0%
Steven Montez run for 12 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
69.9%
Steven Montez run for no gain to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
70.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Travon McMillianSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
71.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. Nixon, broken up by Myles BryantSimilar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
74.2%
Davis Price punt for 21 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 5:4976% → 95%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
76.2%
Sean McGrew run for 9 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+6
77.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 6 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
76.7%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
76.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+12
75.3%
Jake Browning run for 12 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
79.1%
Kamari Pleasant run for 11 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
79.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+6
79.8%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
80.3%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+4
80.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 4 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
79.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+26
94.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 26 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
93.5%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+20
92.5%
Steven Montez pass intercepted Ben Burr-Kirven return for 20 yds to the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21FG
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0396% → 98%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
95.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-1
95.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 13Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
96.6%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the Colo 13Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
98.4%
Peyton Henry 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:372% → 1%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-9
97.7%
Steven Montez sacked by Levi Onwuzurike for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 4Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 19
OWN 4
+8
97.8%
Travon McMillian run for 8 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 11
OWN 12
0
98.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Kyle EvansSimilar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
98.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Daniel AriasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 13Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 11
OPP 13
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:50
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 26 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q2 14:45
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
+4.3
FG · Q3 3:07
Peyton Henry 31 yd FG GOOD
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com