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USC

USC 28 at Utah 41

UTAH
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:11 · Reid Budrovich punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Home team on offense−1.4Pregame prior+12.7Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:27: Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Matt Gay 30 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +5.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:36: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 27 yds for a TD USC Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:28: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 11 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:34: Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Petite for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK) — USC win probability +5.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7USC made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00USC 4th & 3 at USC 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:10UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:56USC 4th & 5 at USC 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:03UTAH 4th & 1 at USC 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:05USC 4th & 1 at USC 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:04UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:11UTAH 4th & 5 at USC 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:11USC 4th & 7 at USC 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:10UTAH 4th & 1 at USC 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    61.0%−2.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:27USC 4th & 5 at USC 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:08UTAH 4th & 21 at UTAH 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−2.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:25USC 4th & 17 at UTAH 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−2.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−5.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:30USC 4th & 6 at USC 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:20USC 4th & 5 at USC 36, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:08USC 4th & 9 at UTAH 13, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -1.0%−3.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 13, up 20
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:32USC 4th & 3 at UTAH 41, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:31USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:05UTAH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:27UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:36UTAH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:28UTAH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:34USC Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:55UTAH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:05USC Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
67.3%
USC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the USC 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
67.3%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
67.3%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+12
67.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 12 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
67.3%
Reid Budrovich punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
67.2%
Zack Moss run for 17 yds to the Utah 40 Zack Moss fumbled, forced by Marvell Tell III, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
67.3%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
67.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
67.3%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 14:10
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
67.2%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.9%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
67.0%
Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
67.0%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
67.1%
Reid Budrovich punt for 48 yds , Britain Covey returns for no gain to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
66.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 15 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
67.2%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+2
66.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+12
66.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 12 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-1
67.0%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 1:0634% → 37%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
50
+2
65.7%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+14
65.7%
Velus Jones Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 49 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Chase Hansen) to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
62.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:3364% → 61%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
63.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 20 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
64.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 6 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+6
64.5%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
64.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
64.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Britain Covey, broken up by Malik DortonSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+48
60.6%
Tyler Huntley sacked by John Houston Jr. for a loss of 12 yards Tyler Huntley fumbled, recovered by USC Jay Tufele , return for 0 yards , return for 48 yds (Michael Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:4561% → 63%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
60.6%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+46
63.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 46 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.2%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
62.1%
Vavae Malepeai run for 6 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
62.0%
Vavae Malepeai run for 1 yd to the USC 34Similar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
62.3%
Reid Budrovich punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
61.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
61.5%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+5
61.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 5 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
61.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-6
60.2%
JT Daniels sacked by Leki Fotu for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 4Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 16
OWN 4
+1
60.5%
Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the USC 5Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 15
OWN 5
0
60.8%
JT Daniels pass intercepted Chase Hansen return for no gain to the USC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5662% → 63%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
61.8%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+2
61.8%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
61.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson Nacua, broken up by Talanoa HufangaSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
63.1%
Matt Gay 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.4%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
62.0%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 28Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
62.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for no gain to the USC 28Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
63.3%
Reid Budrovich punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:4362% → 71%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
61.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 13 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
63.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 7 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
63.8%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
63.5%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the USC 45Similar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+3
62.6%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
63.7%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+9
63.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
64.4%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Christian Rector for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 32Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+27
64.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 27 yds to the USC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
64.4%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the USC 3Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
70.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
67.2%
Stephen Carr run for 7 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
66.1%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 30Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
67.4%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
68.5%
Reid Budrovich punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
68.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jameson Field for 11 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
69.7%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-3
69.6%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Palaie Gaoteote IV for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 11
OWN 45
-10
68.0%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Christian Rector for a loss of 10 yards to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 21
OWN 35
0
66.5%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:1033% → 31%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+42
67.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 42 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
63.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr. for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Marquise Blair) to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
63.7%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 13
OPP 17
0
63.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for no gain to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 13
OPP 17
-4
66.4%
JT Daniels sacked by Hauati Pututau for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 21 USC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 17
OPP 21
+39
69.1%
Michael Brown 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 1:2567% → 76%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
67.3%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
67.7%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Marlon Tuipulotu for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+6
67.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 6 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+6
67.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
69.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 14 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
70.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jameson Field for 5 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+14
70.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 14 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
70.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
70.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 11 yds to the USC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+30
76.4%
Matt Gay 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2473% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+30
74.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 30 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
75.0%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
75.2%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the USC 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
74.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
75.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
85.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 27 yds for a TD USC Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
81.9%
Vavae Malepeai run for 8 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
81.1%
Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
81.5%
Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+1
80.9%
Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the USC 48Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
81.4%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
82.3%
Reid Budrovich punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 6:3886% → 97%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
85.8%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+12
85.9%
TJ Green run for 12 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
86.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
86.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+23
86.0%
Zack Moss run for 23 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
86.6%
Moss, Zack rush for 5 yards to the USC27 (Houston, John), PENALTY UTAH illegal formation 5 yards to the USC37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+9
86.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+7
86.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
86.6%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Darrin Paulo) to the USC 26Similar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 15
OPP 26
0
86.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+18
86.4%
Zack Moss run for 18 yds to the USC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
89.8%
Moss, Zack rush for 8 yards to the USC0, clock 04:55, PENALTY UTAH holding (Ford, Nick) 10 yards to the USC18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+10
89.8%
Britain Covey run for 10 yds to the USC 8Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
89.8%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 11Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
96.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 11 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
96.1%
Velus Jones Jr. run for no gain to the USC 31Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
96.1%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
96.2%
Reid Budrovich punt for 48 yds , Britain Covey returns for no gain to the Utah 14 Britain Covey fumbled, recovered by USC Greg JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 22INT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:554% → 2%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
96.5%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+1
96.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 1 yd to the Utah 9Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-4
96.8%
Velus Jones Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 13Similar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+5
97.6%
JT Daniels pass intercepted Jaylon Johnson return for 5 yds to the Utah 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
98.1%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+4
98.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 4 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+3
98.1%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
98.0%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt blocked by Michael Pittman Jr. blocked by Michael Pittman Jr. N/A return for no gain to the Utah 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 24TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:282% → 7%
Q4 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
98.2%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.2%
Matt Fink run for 3 yds to the Utah 3Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.7%
Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Petite for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3994% → 99%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+49
94.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 49 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
95.0%
TJ Green run for 6 yds to the USC 20Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+8
95.0%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the USC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
95.0%
TJ Green run for 1 yd to the USC 11Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
99.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jake Jackson for 11 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 26TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:501% → 3%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
Matt Fink run for 2 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
98.9%
Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 15 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
98.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
98.8%
Matt Fink pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+8
98.8%
Matt Fink run for 8 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
98.8%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
99.1%
Matt Fink pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for no gain to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+5
99.2%
Matt Fink pass complete to Stephen Carr for 5 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+4
99.1%
Matt Fink pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
99.1%
Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 16 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.0%
Vavae Malepeai run for 1 yd to the Utah 20Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+8
99.0%
Matt Fink run for 8 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+12
96.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for 12 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27END OF GAME
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:4998% → 98%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
98.0%
Zack Moss run for 13 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
98.0%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+9
98.2%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
98.2%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Jordan Agasiva) to the USC 24Similar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 15
OPP 24
-2
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 26Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 17
OPP 26
-1
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 27Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 18
OPP 27
-2
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:36
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 27 yds for a TD USC Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Matt Gay KICK)
+9.9
TD · Q3 3:28
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 11 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 7:27
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com