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ARIZ

Arizona 30 at UCLA 31

UCLA
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-3.9UCLA 75.0%Josh Pollack 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 17 · Q3 10:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:16 · Josh Pollack 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+10.3Home team on offense+4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Score differential+1.6Garbage-time factor−0.7Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:34: Wilton Speight pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 24 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +8.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:54: Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +13.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:08: Wilton Speight pass complete to Demetric Felton for 25 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +19.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:34: J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +25.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:33: Joshua Kelley run for 28 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +24.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 10ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 14:02ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:16UCLA 4th & 16 at UCLA 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:17UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 22, up 7
    Close callPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:18ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:56UCLA 4th & 16 at ARIZ 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:19ARIZ 4th & 3 at UCLA 40, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    22.2%−1.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:49UCLA 4th & 13 at UCLA 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−1.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:38UCLA 4th & 11 at UCLA 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:11UCLA 4th & 6 at ARIZ 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:02ARIZ 4th & 4 at ARIZ 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:06UCLA 4th & 6 at ARIZ 45, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%
    25% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:25UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 34, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:16ARIZ 4th & 4 at UCLA 11, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.1%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−7.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:51UCLA 4th & 4 at ARIZ 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:58ARIZ 4th & 16 at UCLA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−3.9
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−10.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:21UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−2.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:28ARIZ 4th & 4 at UCLA 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.5
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−15.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:51UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:38ARIZ Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:34UCLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:54ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:08UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:34ARIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:33UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4326% → 26%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to J.J. Taylor for no gain to the Ariz 20Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
73.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
73.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
73.9%
Dylan Klumph punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:0874% → 75%
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
73.9%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Christaphany Murray) to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+6
73.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+9
73.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
73.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the ARIZONA 49 UCLA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Dorian Thompson-Robinson) to the UCLA 46Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 12
OWN 46
-1
73.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 45 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+17
73.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 17 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
73.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 5
OPP 33
+10
73.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 10 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
73.7%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+10
73.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 10 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+16
74.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 16 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3INT
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:1626% → 26%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
74.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+33
74.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 33 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
73.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
73.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 13 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
73.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+12
73.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass intercepted Quentin Lake return for 12 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:1975% → 74%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
74.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
74.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 6
OWN 16
-5
74.5%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 11Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
74.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 11
OWN 11
-5
74.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 6Similar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 16
OWN 6
0
74.2%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 55 yds , Shun Brown returns for no gain to the Ariz 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1926% → 25%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
74.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Tony EllisonSimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
74.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
74.7%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
75.1%
Dylan Klumph punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2875% → 74%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
74.8%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 8Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 15
OWN 8
+14
74.8%
Demetric Felton run for 14 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 1
OWN 22
0
74.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+21
74.3%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 57 yds , Shun Brown returns for 21 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5226% → 25%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
74.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shun BrownSimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
74.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
74.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
75.0%
Dylan Klumph punt for 30 yds, downed at the UCLA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:0475% → 75%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
75.2%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+2
74.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 2 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+58
74.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 58 yds to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
76.0%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the Ariz 10Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-6
76.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 16Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 9
OPP 16
-7
75.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Finton Connolly for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 16
OPP 23
+40
75.3%
JJ Molson 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:2124% → 23%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Tony Ellison for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
76.0%
Gary Brightwell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
76.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Thomas Reid III for 6 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
75.9%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Moses Robinson-Carr) to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
75.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
75.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+3
75.4%
Gary Brightwell run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
76.8%
Jake Glatting punt for 36 yds, downed at the UCLA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2677% → 76%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
77.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 11 yds to the UCLA 15 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-8 Yards) to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 7
OWN 7
+2
77.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 5
OWN 9
-2
77.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Colin Schooler for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 13
OWN 7
0
76.7%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
76.2%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 56 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
77.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 56 yds J.J. Taylor fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5278% → 76%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.5%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
77.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
77.1%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-5
76.5%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
76.4%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 52 yds , Shun Brown returns for no gain to the Ariz 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:5222% → 31%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
77.9%
Gary Brightwell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+38
77.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Tony Ellison for 38 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
76.3%
Gary Brightwell run for 2 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
76.4%
Rhett Rodriguez run for no gain to the UCLA 13Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
69.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 13 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:5672% → 83%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-7
72.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 3 yds to the UCLA 28 UCLA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 17
OWN 18
+2
71.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+13
71.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 13 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
72.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
73.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 49
-4
73.7%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+12
72.7%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Demetric Felton for 12 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
73.9%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 46Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+7
72.4%
Wilton Speight run for 7 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
73.2%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Kazmeir AllenSimilar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 6
OPP 39
+11
72.0%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 11 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
74.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
82.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 24 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:2520% → 20%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
79.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 6 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
78.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
79.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Tony EllisonSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
80.5%
Dylan Klumph punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:4182% → 79%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
81.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 6 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
82.0%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+15
81.5%
Speight, Wilton pass incomplete, PENALTY ARIZONA pass interference 15 yards to the ARIZONA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
82.4%
Wilton Speight sacked by Jalen Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 47Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+13
80.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 13 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-5
80.0%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
79.8%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Dymond LeeSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+5
79.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Martell Irby for 5 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
78.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Tony EllisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2080% → 80%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.3%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 9 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
80.4%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
79.6%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:0419% → 25%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+31
80.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 31 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
78.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the UCLA 48 ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 17
OWN 42
+6
80.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+25
79.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 25 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
77.7%
Gary Brightwell run for 10 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
77.8%
Gary Brightwell run for 2 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
77.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Bryce WolmaSimilar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+4
78.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shun Brown for 4 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
75.0%
Josh Pollack 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
77.5%
Wilton Speight sacked by Dereck Boles for a loss of 10 yards to the UCLA 15 Wilton Speight fumbled, forced by Dereck Boles, recovered by Ariz Dereck Boles , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 1:0128% → 42%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
72.1%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 8 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 2
OPP 7
-4
72.0%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 11Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
58.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:5465% → 65%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.9%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Ethan Fernea for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
65.3%
TEAM run for no gain to the UCLA 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
63.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 16 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
67.5%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
66.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
67.5%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
65.4%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23FG
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:4239% → 47%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+72
61.3%
Gary Brightwell run for 72 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
55.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-10
55.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 21Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 16
OPP 21
0
56.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 16
OPP 21
0
58.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Gary BrightwellSimilar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+39
53.5%
Josh Pollack 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3254% → 78%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
54.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 10 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
55.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 20 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
58.6%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+16
58.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 16 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
77.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Demetric Felton for 25 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:2929% → 34%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
71.0%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
70.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
67.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+11
69.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
50
+4
66.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass intercepted Elijah Gates return for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4474% → 71%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
73.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-3
74.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Demetric Felton for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
72.1%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q3 0:21
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
71.2%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 27TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:2730% → 62%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
70.3%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 29Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
70.5%
Gary Brightwell run for 6 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+25
67.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 10 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
65.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 9 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+3
63.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
63.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 20 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
63.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 7 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5248% → 78%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
48.2%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Dymond Lee for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
51.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
53.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 15 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
78.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 28 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 29FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:5230% → 40%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
70.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
68.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
69.0%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+33
69.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 33 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
63.0%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
62.1%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+4
64.0%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
61.9%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
61.4%
Gary Brightwell run for 2 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
63.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
59.8%
Josh Pollack 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 30END OF GAME
17 plays · 55 yds · 5:4966% → 90%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
65.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
64.7%
Wilton Speight run for 5 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
66.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
68.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+9
70.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Scottie Young Jr.) to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
73.6%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
74.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+17
75.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 17 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
78.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+6
84.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the Ariz 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
85.4%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 15Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 12
OPP 15
-5
89.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:34
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
-25.2
TD · Q4 11:33
Joshua Kelley run for 28 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+24.4
TD · Q3 3:08
Wilton Speight pass complete to Demetric Felton for 25 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+19.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com