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STAN

Stanford 20 at Arizona State 13

ASU
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2018 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:50 · Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Home team on offense−20.3Garbage-time factor−7.8Score differential−10.7Pregame prior−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:55: Trevor Speights run for 5 yds to the Stanf 16 — STAN win probability +7.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:58: Brandon Ruiz 24 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +5.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:55: K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 28 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +15.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:45: Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +13.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:50: Manny Wilkins run for 10 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +24.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 12:56STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:22STAN 4th & 17 at STAN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:36ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:24STAN 4th & 5 at ASU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:27ASU 4th & 9 at STAN 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:31STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 44, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:40STAN 4th & 3 at ASU 3, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−8.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:58ASU 4th & 6 at STAN 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−10.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:30ASU 4th & 10 at STAN 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:50ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:01STAN 4th & 16 at STAN 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:34STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:28STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−3.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:23ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:20STAN 4th & 3 at ASU 47, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:19ASU 4th & 1 at STAN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−9.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−11.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 7:55STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:45STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:50ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.4%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5455% → 55%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
45.0%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 22Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
45.1%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
45.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 7 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-2
45.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 50 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0646% → 46%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
45.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+2
45.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+3
45.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 3 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+8
45.6%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 8 yds to the Stanf 27 STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Block (Kendall Williamson) to the Stanf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:4454% → 53%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
45.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 4 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-2
45.6%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-9
46.1%
K.J. Costello sacked by Merlin Robertson for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+2
46.8%
Jake Bailey punt for 40 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 2 yds to the ArzSt 32 Brandon Aiyuk fumbled, recovered by ArzStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2447% → 47%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
46.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
46.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
47.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
46.7%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:5653% → 53%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
46.6%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+6
46.7%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
46.9%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 21Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
47.1%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+13
47.5%
K.J. Costello run for 13 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
46.9%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+9
47.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 9 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+9
47.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 9 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
46.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
45.9%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
46.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
46.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 1:5348% → 50%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
48.1%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Tommy HudsonSimilar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
48.1%
Manny Wilkins run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+10
47.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Ryan Newsome for 10 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+51
48.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 51 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
50.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the Stanf 16Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
50.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
50.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q1 0:27
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+34
49.9%
Brandon Ruiz 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:3250% → 49%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
50.1%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 18Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+11
50.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 11 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+6
50.3%
K.J. Costello run for 6 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
50.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 7 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-1
49.2%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
49.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 3 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
50.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8FUMBLE
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:5251% → 53%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
50.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+11
50.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
51.2%
Manny Wilkins run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+3
52.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
51.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Trelon Smith for 6 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+14
53.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 14 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
54.3%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Jovan Swann for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+14
52.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 14 yds to the Stanf 34 Manny Wilkins fumbled, forced by Bobby Okereke, recovered by Stanf Thomas BookerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:2549% → 54%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
51.3%
Trevor Speights run for 7 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
50.0%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+1
50.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
50.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 16 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
49.8%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to St. Brown, Osiris, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference (Crosswell, Aashari) 15 yards to the ARIZONAST25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
48.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kobe Williams) to the ArzSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
48.7%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
48.7%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
50.0%
Trevor Speights run for no gain to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
45.7%
Jet Toner 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10INT
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:2951% → 55%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
51.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
52.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
51.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 3 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+29
51.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 29 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
55.4%
N'Keal Harry pass intercepted Sean Barton return for no gain to the Stanf 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11END OF HALF
15 plays · 76 yds · 1:5552% → 61%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
47.9%
Trevor Speights run for 5 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
48.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trevor SpeightsSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+13
49.2%
Trevor Speights run for 13 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
47.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trevor Speights for 11 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
45.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 7 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+12
44.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 12 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
44.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
43.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 19 yds to the ArzSt 22 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
42.5%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+11
43.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
43.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 8 yds to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+31
39.1%
Jet Toner 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:4246% → 54%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
45.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 17 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
48.7%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 49Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+5
47.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 5 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+36
48.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frank Darby for 36 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
49.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the Stanf 7Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
49.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 1 yd to the Stanf 6Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
48.2%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q3 11:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
53.7%
Brandon Ruiz 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4151% → 70%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.2%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
48.5%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
48.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 5 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
47.8%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Murphy, Alameen, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference 15 yards to the ARIZONAST47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
45.8%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
46.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 12 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
44.7%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+5
44.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 5 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+28
29.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 28 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:1135% → 34%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
34.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tommy Hudson for 16 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
37.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+18
36.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 18 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
38.7%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Tommy HudsonSimilar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
38.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
37.1%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
34.2%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:3668% → 88%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
31.9%
Cameron Scarlett run for 25 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
29.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 44Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+14
29.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trevor Speights for 14 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
27.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 22 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
26.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+12
26.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 12 yds to the ArzSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
25.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (D.J. Davidson) to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q3 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3016% → 16%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
16.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
16.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
16.2%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:50
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
15.5%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 3:0887% → 91%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
13.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-3
12.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 36Similar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+10
11.2%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Arcega-Whiteside, JJ, PENALTY ARIZONAST holding 10 yards to the STANFORD46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
10.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-15
10.2%
STANFORD Penalty, Tripping (-15 Yards) to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 23
OWN 33
+2
9.4%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 21
OWN 35
+5
9.4%
Trevor Speights run for 5 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
8.7%
Jake Bailey punt for 35 yds, fair catch by N'Keal Harry at the ArzSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5913% → 13%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
13.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 18 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
14.9%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Frank Buncom and Casey Toohill for a loss of 9 yards to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 19
OWN 34
0
13.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 19
OWN 34
+2
12.7%
Manny Wilkins pass intercepted Paulson Adebo return for 2 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3793% → 94%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
6.8%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+3
6.8%
Trevor Speights run for 3 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
6.5%
Trevor Speights run for no gain to the Stanf 26Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
6.0%
Jake Bailey punt for 38 yds, fair catch by N'Keal Harry at the ArzSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:4010% → 35%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
9.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
9.1%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+37
8.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Ryan Jenkins for 37 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
10.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frank Darby for 11 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
10.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frank Darby for 6 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
35.2%
Manny Wilkins run for 10 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3978% → 81%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
21.8%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 20Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-1
21.5%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+2
20.8%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+1
19.3%
Jake Bailey punt for 61 yds , N'Keal Harry returns for 1 yd to the ArzSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:5822% → 20%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
22.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 3 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+11
21.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 11 yds to the ArzSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
22.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
22.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
21.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Ryan NewsomeSimilar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
20.3%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 1:3584% → 90%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
16.1%
Speights, Trevor rush for no gain to the STANFORD20, PENALTY STANFORD holding (Harrington, Scooter) 10 yards to the STANFORD10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+13
14.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 13 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+23
13.5%
K.J. Costello run for 8 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Tyler Johnson) to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
11.2%
Trevor Speights run for 1 yd to the Stanf 47Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+1
9.7%
Trevor Speights run for 1 yd to the Stanf 48Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+5
9.7%
Trevor Speights run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
10.3%
Jake Bailey punt for 32 yds, fair catch by N'Keal Harry at the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24Uncategorized
10 plays · 65 yds · 1:5212% → 17%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
11.7%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Gabe Reid and Jovan Swann for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+11
11.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+4
10.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 4 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
11.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 10 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
10.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 28 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
13.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 5 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
16.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
13.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Ryan NewsomeSimilar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+5
12.9%
Trelon Smith run for 5 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
16.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:50
Manny Wilkins run for 10 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
+24.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-16.8
TD · Q3 7:55
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 28 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)
-15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com