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WASH

Washington 27 at Oregon 30

ORE
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:16 · CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 39Pregame prior−8.6Home team on offense−1.8Score differential−0.6Time remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Garbage-time factor−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:12: Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +10.9 pts (now 70%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:14: Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 9 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK) — ORE win probability +14.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:59: CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Stack KICK) — ORE win probability +17.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:32: Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 43 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +23.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Peyton Henry 22 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +15.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:29ORE 4th & 6 at WASH 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:05WASH 4th & 9 at ORE 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:16ORE 4th & 1 at WASH 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.0%−1.0
    79% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:41WASH 4th & 12 at WASH 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:37ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:38WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:56ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:53ORE 4th & 1 at WASH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−1.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−7.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:02ORE 4th & 14 at ORE 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−3.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:36WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:09ORE 4th & 1 at WASH 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.2%−3.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−13.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:19ORE 4th & 7 at WASH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−13.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:02WASH 4th & 1 at ORE 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.7%−6.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−23.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:05ORE 4th & 19 at WASH 36, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−5.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:11WASH 4th & 3 at ORE 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−4.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−13.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:06WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:52ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:12WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:14ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:59ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:32WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4861% → 60%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
39.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
39.7%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Deommodore Lenoir return for 11 yds to the Wash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:4040% → 41%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
39.8%
CJ Verdell run for 9 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
40.0%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
40.2%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
40.4%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
40.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to CJ VerdellSimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
40.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
40.7%
Adam Stack 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 4:2459% → 59%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+20
40.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 20 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
40.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+10
40.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
40.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+12
40.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 12 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
41.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+1
41.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Oregn 29Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+5
41.6%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
41.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
41.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 4
OPP 18
-5
41.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (Jake Browning) to the Oregn 23Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
42.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
41.4%
Peyton Henry 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:4359% → 62%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
40.9%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Oregn 41Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
40.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+11
41.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 11 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
40.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+25
37.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 25 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:0540% → 45%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
40.0%
CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
40.5%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+7
40.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 22 yds to the Wash 12 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dillon Mitchell) to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
40.2%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
40.2%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
39.7%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+2
39.2%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
39.9%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
39.9%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
45.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 12 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:0557% → 56%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
42.7%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
42.6%
Browning, Jake pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the WASHINGTON27 (Carlberg, Drayton), PENALTY OREGON Targeting, Drayton Carlberg ejected, 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-2
41.5%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+3
42.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 3 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-3
42.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Kaulana Apelu and Austin Faoliu for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
44.1%
Joel Whitford punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:0345% → 45%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
44.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 11 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
45.4%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 37Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
45.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Kano DillonSimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+3
44.8%
Justin Herbert run for 3 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
44.7%
Blake Maimone punt for 44 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for no gain WASHINGTON Penalty, Illegal Block (Brandon McKinney) 8 yds to the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5956% → 55%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
44.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+5
43.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
44.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
44.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+8
45.1%
Jake Browning run for 8 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
45.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 40 yds , Dillon Mitchell returns for no gain to the Oregn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4246% → 46%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
46.3%
CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
48.2%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
48.1%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
48.7%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
47.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
45.9%
Tom Snee punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4457% → 70%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
43.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
43.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 12 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
41.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+33
41.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 33 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
40.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Jared Hilbers) to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+6
40.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+8
40.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+7
41.1%
Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
30.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 2:5835% → 51%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
34.5%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+23
34.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 23 yds Dillon Mitchell fumbled, forced by Tevis Bartlett, recovered by Oregn for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
37.4%
CJ Verdell run for 9 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
37.4%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
38.7%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
38.7%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+7
37.2%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
36.5%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
39.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 5 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+8
39.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Kano Dillon for 8 yds to the Wash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
39.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
38.8%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
51.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 9 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
44.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:5550% → 47%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
49.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
49.3%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 29Similar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
47.9%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Kano DillonSimilar
Q3 14:15
4TH & 9
OWN 29
-5
47.1%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Keith Simms) to the Oregn 24Similar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
47.0%
Blake Maimone punt for 52 yds, downed at the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2654% → 53%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
45.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+7
46.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
45.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew SampleSimilar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
47.3%
Race Porter punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
15 plays · 88 yds · 6:3750% → 75%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
49.5%
Travis Dye run for 14 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
50.1%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
50.5%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+3
50.3%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
51.2%
Justin Herbert run for no gain to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
51.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 2 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+10
50.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 10 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
54.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 22 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
56.0%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+1
56.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Ryan Bay for 1 yd to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+5
55.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 5 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+8
53.4%
Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Wash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
57.0%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+6
57.1%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.5%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2734% → 56%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
66.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
67.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 7 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
66.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
66.5%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+16
67.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 16 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
43.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 43 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:0753% → 55%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
52.9%
Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+3
56.2%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
56.3%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 45Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+7
56.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 7 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+10
57.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Ryan Bay for 10 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
58.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Travis Dye for 7 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+4
59.5%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
59.9%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+2
60.0%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
58.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
55.2%
Adam Stack 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:1751% → 53%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+30
49.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Sean McGrew for 30 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
44.3%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 48Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+13
46.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 13 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
42.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
42.2%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+2
44.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q4 10:02
4TH & 1
OPP 26
-3
46.9%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 29 Jake Browning fumbled, recovered by Oregn Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 35 yds · 4:5755% → 53%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
54.7%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-10
55.0%
Herbert, Justin pass complete to Mitchell, Dillon for 26 yards to the WASHINGTON42, PENALTY OREGON holding (Breeland, Jacob) 10 yards to the OREGON22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+19
53.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 19 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
58.0%
Justin Herbert run for 5 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
59.6%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+15
58.6%
Herbert, Justin sacked for loss of 12 yards to the OREGON36 (Johnson, Jaylen), PENALTY WASHINGTON Targeting (Jaylen Johnson ejected) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
62.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Ryan Bay for 12 yds to the Wash 25 OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Johnny Johnson III) to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 8
OPP 35
+3
62.3%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+5
62.7%
Herbert, Justin pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHINGTON offside (Bowman, Ryan) 5 yards to the WASHINGTON27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
62.9%
Justin Herbert run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 14
OPP 31
-5
59.9%
Justin Herbert sacked by Tevis Bartlett for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 19
OPP 36
0
57.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 19
OPP 36
0
53.1%
Tom Snee punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20DOWNS
16 plays · 72 yds · 5:0550% → 60%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
50.2%
Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+7
49.6%
Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+22
49.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 22 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
44.7%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+14
44.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 14 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
43.4%
Kamari Pleasant run for 6 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-2
40.6%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+3
42.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 3 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+4
43.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Sean McGrew for 4 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
36.7%
Sean McGrew run for 8 yds to the Oregn 21Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
37.6%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Oregn 20Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+37
39.7%
Peyton Henry 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
40.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 19 yds to the Oregn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
40.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 3 yds to the Oregn 3Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
40.5%
Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Oregn 3Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
42.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+22
27.6%
Peyton Henry 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22Uncategorized
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
41.3%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Wash 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
41.3%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Wash 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
-10
37.7%
Verdell, CJ rush for no gain to the WASHINGTON16, PENALTY OREGON holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON26, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+17
30.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 17 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
41.3%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Wash 6Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
41.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+57.5
TD · Q3 2:32
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 43 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
-23.6
TD · Q3 5:59
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)
+17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com