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ARIZ

Arizona 10 at Utah 42

UTAH
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2018 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:44 · Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Home team on offense+28.0Pregame prior+11.6Score differential+18.4Blowout margin+13.9Garbage-time factor+4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:47: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:47: Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:39: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 68 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +5.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:56: Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:23: Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 42 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ARIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 6:10ARIZ 4th & 14 at ARIZ 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:47UTAH 4th & 1 at ARIZ 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:09ARIZ 4th & 11 at ARIZ 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:35UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 37, up 14
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:46ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:30ARIZ 4th & 2 at UTAH 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−1.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:56UTAH 4th & 1 at ARIZ 3, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    93.3%−1.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:41ARIZ 4th & 7 at UTAH 48, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:54ARIZ 4th & 4 at ARIZ 28, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:16ARIZ 4th & 15 at UTAH 19, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:44ARIZ 4th & 1 at UTAH 5, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:13UTAH 4th & 11 at ARIZ 43, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:12UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 25, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:11ARIZ 4th & 1 at UTAH 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:30UTAH 4th & 7 at ARIZ 37, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:54ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 29, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:33UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 43, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:11ARIZ 4th & 9 at ARIZ 26, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ARIZ made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 7:47UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:47UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:39UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:56UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:12UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:23ARIZ Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:14UTAH Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:0482% → 83%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
82.2%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
82.1%
Britain Covey pass complete to Zack Moss for 6 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
82.0%
Tyler Huntley sacked by PJ Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 35Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+9
81.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 9 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
81.9%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
81.8%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-5
81.8%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+13
81.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 13 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+6
81.7%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
81.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 12 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
81.6%
Brant Kuithe run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+4
81.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 4 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+9
81.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 9 yds to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
81.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 3 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
82.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 1:2518% → 17%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.0%
Khalil Tate run for 7 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
81.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
81.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 37Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
81.8%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
82.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 9
OWN 37
-5
83.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 32Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 14
OWN 32
+2
83.1%
Dylan Klumph punt for 39 yds , Britain Covey returns for 2 yds to the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:1283% → 86%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
82.8%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
82.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+20
82.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 20 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+39
83.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 39 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
83.5%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Ariz 3Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
83.3%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Ariz 2Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the Ariz 1Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.9%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2515% → 15%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
84.7%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-4
84.8%
Khalil Tate sacked by Chase Hansen for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 25Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+3
85.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
85.3%
Dylan Klumph punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1586% → 86%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
86.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 6 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-10
86.2%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+10
86.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 10 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
86.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:35
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
85.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 49 yds , Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles returns for no gain to the Ariz 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:1415% → 14%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
85.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
85.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+3
85.5%
Jamarye Joiner run for 3 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
85.7%
Jamarye Joiner run for 2 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-3
85.7%
Jamarye Joiner sacked by Cody Barton for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 25 Jamarye Joiner fumbled, recovered by ArizSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+5
86.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
86.1%
Dylan Klumph punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 1:0787% → 92%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
86.8%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+11
86.9%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
92.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 68 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:468% → 8%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
92.0%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Jamarye Joiner pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for no gain to the Ariz 25Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
92.2%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
92.0%
Gary Brightwell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
92.2%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the Ariz 38Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+12
92.5%
Jamarye Joiner pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
50
+5
91.7%
Jamarye Joiner pass complete to Shun Brown for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
91.8%
Jamarye Joiner run for 3 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
91.9%
Jamarye Joiner run for no gain to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
92.2%
Jamarye Joiner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:1994% → 98%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
94.3%
TJ Green run for 12 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
94.4%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+10
94.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
94.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 8 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+13
94.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 13 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
95.2%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+4
95.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+1
95.7%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the Ariz 3Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
98.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10MISSED FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 1:461% → 2%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 10 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shun Brown for 4 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
98.7%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shun Brown for 10 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.7%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shun BrownSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
98.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+3
98.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shun Brown for 3 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 7
OPP 48
+9
98.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 9 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
98.7%
Rhett Rodriguez sacked by John Penisini for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 16
OPP 45
0
98.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 16
OPP 45
+29
98.7%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 29 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+34
98.3%
Josh Pollack 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:417% → 1%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
92.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
98.7%
Dylan Klumph punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:3199% → 99%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
98.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jake Jackson for 9 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+58
99.1%
Britain Covey pass complete to Tyler Huntley for 58 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 3:521% → 1%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.1%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shun Brown for 6 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
99.1%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shun Brown for 3 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
99.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 2 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+17
99.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 17 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 2 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+21
99.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 21 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
99.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shun Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 19Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 15
OPP 19
0
99.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shun BrownSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 15
OPP 19
0
99.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+37
98.8%
Josh Pollack 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15INT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:1999% → 100%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.4%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Agasiva) to the Utah 15Similar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+1
99.4%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 16Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+18
99.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 18 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
99.5%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 37Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+5
99.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 5 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+33
99.6%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Colin Schooler return for 33 yds to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:542% → 3%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
98.4%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.1%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
98.1%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+9
98.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 9 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
97.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:23100% → 100%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
99.6%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+8
99.6%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
99.6%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the Utah 10Similar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+5
99.6%
Britain Covey run for 5 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+15
99.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.7%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+5
99.7%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.7%
Armand Shyne run for 15 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.7%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the Ariz 41Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-2
99.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 43Similar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 1:430% → 1%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+19
99.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 19 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+15
99.8%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
99.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 10 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 42 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0399% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.5%
Jason Shelley run for 1 yd to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
99.5%
Jason Shelley sacked by Lorenzo Burns for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+64
99.5%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 53 yds, downed at the UTAH 22 ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (11 Yards) to the Ariz 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:521% → 1%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
99.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Shun Brown for 17 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.4%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the Ariz 28Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Shun BrownSimilar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+31
99.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 31 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.5%
Darrius Smith run for 2 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-7
99.5%
Rhett Rodriguez sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 15
OPP 46
+14
99.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 14 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
99.5%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.7%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+1
99.7%
Jason Shelley run for 1 yd to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+43
99.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky run for 28 yds to the UTAH 37 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (15 Yards) to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
Armand Shyne run for 22 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 3 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Dylan Klumph punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
TJ Green run for 1 yd to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
TJ Green run for 7 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
TJ Green run for 1 yd to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 55 yds, downed at the Ariz 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
100.0%
Gary Brightwell run for 8 yds to the Ariz 10Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 2
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the Ariz 10Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 2
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 2
OWN 10
+15
99.9%
UTAH Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Gary Brightwell for no gain to the Ariz 26Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:11
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
100.0%
Rhett Rodriguez sacked by Caleb Repp for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:39
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 68 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q1 2:47
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q2 1:56
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com