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UTAH

Utah 40 at Stanford 21

STAN
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG-3STAN 26.1%Matt Gay 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 30 - HOME 21 · Q4 12:33
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:33 · Matt Gay 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense−19.2Score differential−8.0Pregame prior+2.5Garbage-time factor−6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:50: Jaylon Johnson 100 Yd Interception Return (Matt Gay Kick) — UTAH win probability +9.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:56: Zack Moss run for 35 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +11.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:02: Cameron Scarlett 1 Yd Run (Jet Toner Kick) — STAN win probability +13.1 pts (now 30%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:44: Michael Wilson 26 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick) — STAN win probability +21.9 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 7:12: Samson Nacua 57 Yd pass from Tyler Huntley (Matt Gay Kick) — UTAH win probability +9.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:49STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:15STAN 4th & 15 at STAN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:45STAN 4th & 1 at UTAH 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.3%−2.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:56UTAH 4th & 2 at STAN 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−1.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    59.8%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:09STAN 4th & 2 at UTAH 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−1.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:40UTAH 4th & 7 at STAN 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:46UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−4.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:33UTAH 4th & 2 at STAN 16, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.1%−1.5
    81% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−11.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:51STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 39, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:34UTAH 4th & 5 at STAN 19, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:15STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 23, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 0:47UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:50UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:56UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:24STAN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:02STAN Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:44STAN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:12UTAH Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5662% → 62%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
62.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 15 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
62.4%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+5
62.4%
Trevor Speights run for 5 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
62.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
62.3%
Jake Bailey punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1038% → 38%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
62.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
62.2%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
62.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 9 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
62.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
62.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
62.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 5 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+9
62.2%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 39 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 9 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:0562% → 62%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
62.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 6 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
62.6%
Trevor Speights run for 7 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
62.7%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Arcega-Whiteside, JJ, PENALTY UTAH holding (Johnson, Jaylon) 10 yards to the UTAH47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
62.8%
Michael Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+3
62.6%
Trevor Speights run for 3 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-7
62.5%
K.J. Costello sacked by Chase Hansen for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 48Similar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 15
OWN 48
0
61.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:1838% → 46%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
61.8%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
61.3%
Armand Shyne run for 7 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
61.4%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+13
61.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 13 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
60.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
60.6%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
60.4%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Stanf 40Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+5
61.1%
Wishnowsky, Mitch punt 40 yards to the STANFORD0, touchback, PENALTY STANFORD running into kicker (Swann, Jovan) 5 yards to the STANFORD35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
60.0%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
59.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+4
59.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
59.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 12 yds to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
59.0%
Britain Covey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 7Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
54.0%
Zack Moss 7 Yd Run (Matt Gay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5INT TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:4556% → 47%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.8%
Trevor Speights run for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
55.4%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+15
54.8%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Arcega-Whiteside, JJ, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Blackmon, Julian) 15 yards to the STANFORD37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
55.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 22 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
56.9%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-3
56.8%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+12
55.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 12 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+7
55.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
56.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 13 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
56.8%
Trevor Speights run for 3 yds to the Utah 9Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
56.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+100
46.7%
Jaylon Johnson 100 Yd Interception Return (Matt Gay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6INT
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:1545% → 44%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
45.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for 8 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+24
44.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 24 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
45.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 22 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
45.3%
Trevor Speights run for 1 yd to the Utah 13Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
45.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+10
44.3%
K.J. Costello pass intercepted Hauati Pututau return for 10 yds to the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:1959% → 76%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
40.9%
UTAH Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Jordan Agasiva) to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+4
42.0%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+19
40.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 19 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
38.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 6
50
+5
38.1%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
37.8%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
37.2%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
36.2%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-5
36.3%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Cole Fotheringham) to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+4
35.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 4 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+35
24.1%
Zack Moss run for 35 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 2:2126% → 36%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
25.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 6 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
25.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 6 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
25.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
24.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 12 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
26.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trevor Speights for 8 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
26.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
26.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+11
26.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 11 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+30
27.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 30 yds to the Utah 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
26.8%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Utah 2Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.1%
Trevor Speights 2 Yd Run (Jet Toner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9END OF HALF
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:1869% → 76%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.1%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
30.8%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
31.0%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Dixon, Jaylen, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference (Adebo, Paulson) 15 yards to the STANFORD47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
29.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 17 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+48
24.3%
Matt Gay 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 5:0073% → 87%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.1%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
27.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 14 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
24.7%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
24.2%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
23.5%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 14
50
+12
23.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 12 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
21.9%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
21.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
21.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
20.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for no gain to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
13.3%
Matt Gay 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:2817% → 30%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
17.1%
Trevor Speights run for 4 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
16.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Michael WilsonSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+10
16.4%
Costello, K.J. pass complete to Irwin, Trenton for 7 yards to the STANFORD34, PENALTY UTAH holding (Johnson, Jaylon) 10 yards to the STANFORD37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
16.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 22 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
17.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Osiris St. BrownSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
17.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 12 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
16.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 21 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
15.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
16.6%
Trevor Speights run for 4 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.6%
Cameron Scarlett 1 Yd Run (Jet Toner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0479% → 80%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-9
20.4%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Gabe Reid for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 21Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
20.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Zack MossSimilar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
20.2%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:4625% → 48%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
25.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 27Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
24.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+20
23.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 20 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
25.1%
Trevor Speights run for 12 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
25.9%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Smith, Kaden, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Ballard, Corrion) 15 yards to the UTAH26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
47.7%
Michael Wilson 26 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:5765% → 74%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.0%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
33.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 13 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
32.0%
Zack Moss run for 21 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
30.9%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+8
30.1%
Armand Shyne run for 8 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
29.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 2
OPP 16
-1
28.5%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 17Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+1
29.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 1 yd to the Stanf 16Similar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+34
26.1%
Matt Gay 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2426% → 19%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.4%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
26.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 12 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
26.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
25.8%
Trevor Speights run for 7 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-7
22.9%
K.J. Costello sacked by Maxs Tupai for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+6
18.8%
Jake Bailey punt for 41 yds , Britain Covey returns for 6 yds to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 2:1880% → 94%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
20.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+3
16.6%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
15.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
15.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+57
5.6%
Samson Nacua 57 Yd pass from Tyler Huntley (Matt Gay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:287% → 7%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
7.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 9 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
7.5%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
6.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 26 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
7.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 5 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-9
7.3%
K.J. Costello sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 42 K.J. Costello fumbled, forced by Bradlee Anae, recovered by Utah Corrion Ballard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:2696% → 99%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+34
4.1%
Zack Moss run for 34 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
3.9%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 7
OPP 21
-5
3.3%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Demari Simpkins) to the Stanf 26Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+1
3.3%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+6
3.0%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
1.4%
Matt Gay 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19FUMBLE
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:392% → 2%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
1.9%
K.J. Costello sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 17Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+6
1.8%
Trevor Speights run for 6 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
1.8%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+12
1.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 12 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
1.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 5 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
1.5%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+22
1.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 22 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
1.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
1.6%
TEAM pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 2 yds Trenton Irwin fumbled, forced by Javelin K. Guidry, recovered by Utah Nick HeningerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20Uncategorized
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-2
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:44
Michael Wilson 26 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick)
+21.9
TD · Q3 5:02
Cameron Scarlett 1 Yd Run (Jet Toner Kick)
+13.1
TD · Q2 2:56
Zack Moss run for 35 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
-11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com