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WSU

Washington State 56 at Oregon State 37

ORST
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:03 · James Williams run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior−23.1Home team on offense+0.9Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:47: Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +8.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:34: Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 15 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:10: Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jordan Choukair PAT MISSED) — ORST win probability +14.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:37: Max Borghi run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +14.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:22: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +11.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:32ORST 4th & 7 at ORST 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:27ORST 4th & 10 at WSU 29, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:27ORST 4th & 1 at WSU 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:16WSU 4th & 10 at ORST 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:19ORST 4th & 8 at WSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:41ORST 4th & 7 at WSU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%−0.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:35ORST 4th & 8 at WSU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:27WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:32ORST 4th & 4 at WSU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    27.0%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−8.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:03WSU 4th & 1 at ORST 47, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.4%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:03WSU 4th & 1 at ORST 4, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.1%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    62.3%−2.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−10.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:33ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 42, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:01ORST 4th & 1 at WSU 30, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:44WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:16ORST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:21ORST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:42WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:47ORST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:34WSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:10ORST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:37WSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:22WSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:06WSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:11WSU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:35ORST Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1689% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
10.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 41 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
10.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 28 yds to the OrgSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
11.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT TD
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:0811% → 11%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
11.1%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+3
11.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+5
11.1%
Conor Blount pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 5 yds to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
11.1%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford, broken up by Sean Harper Jr.Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+5
11.1%
Luke Loecher punt blocked by Kainoa Wilson blocked by Kainoa Wilson Tristan Brock return for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:1111% → 14%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
11.1%
Conor Blount pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 7 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
11.2%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Timmy Hernandez, broken up by Sean Harper Jr.Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
11.2%
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 6 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
11.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+10
11.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 10 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
11.2%
Blount, Conor pass incomplete to Bradford, T., PENALTY WSU pass interference (Molton, Darrien) 15 yards to the WSU29, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
11.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
11.2%
Conor Blount pass complete to Champ Flemings for 2 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 6
OPP 25
-4
11.2%
Conor Blount sacked by Taylor Comfort for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+11
11.2%
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
11.2%
Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the WshSt 18Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
11.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+7
11.2%
Conor Blount run for 7 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+3
11.2%
Conor Blount run for 3 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
13.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
12.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
12.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for no gain to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
12.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
13.0%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 33 yds, downed at the OrgSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
13.4%
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 13 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
13.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for 23 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Timmy Hernandez) to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
13.6%
Blount, Conor pass incomplete to Hernandez, T., PENALTY OSU ineligible downfield on pass (Brandel, Blake) 5 yards to the OSU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+1
13.4%
Conor Blount run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 14
OWN 34
0
13.4%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+17
13.2%
Conor Blount pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 17 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
14.0%
Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-1
14.0%
Artavis Pierce run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
13.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
13.4%
Conor Blount punt for 31 yds , Jalen Thompson returns for no gain to the WshSt 7 Jalen Thompson fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Trevon BradfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
18.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:3383% → 86%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
17.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
16.7%
Gardner Minshew run for 7 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
16.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 11 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
17.1%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
16.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+8
17.1%
James Williams run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
14.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 38 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8FG
15 plays · 31 yds · 5:0616% → 19%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
16.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
16.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-10
16.3%
OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Blake Brandel) to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+4
15.6%
Conor Blount pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 4 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 7
OPP 42
+14
15.5%
Conor Blount pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 14 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
16.7%
Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
16.7%
Conor Blount run for 9 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+3
16.3%
Conor Blount run for 3 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
16.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the WshSt 15Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+1
16.7%
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 1 yd to the WshSt 14Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
17.6%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford, broken up by Peyton PelluerSimilar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
19.4%
Jordan Choukair 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
18.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
19.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 3 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-4
19.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Frederick Mauigoa) to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
19.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
20.0%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 49 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for no gain to the OrgSt 26 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Kainoa Wilson) to the OrgSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 2:0420% → 30%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+56
20.1%
Trevon Bradford run for 56 yds to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
21.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
21.3%
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 3Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
30.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 4:0673% → 81%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
27.1%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
26.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Renard Bell, broken up by Jaydon GrantSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+15
27.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 15 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
25.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 6 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
25.2%
James Williams run for no gain to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+4
25.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 14 yds to the OREGONST 38 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, illegal block (Kyle Sweet) to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
24.8%
Gardner Minshew run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+23
24.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 23 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+17
23.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 17 yds Max Borghi fumbled, forced by Jalen Moore, recovered by WshSt Travell Harris for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-7
23.6%
Gardner Minshew run for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 15 Gardner Minshew fumbled, recovered by WshSt Gardner Minshew , return for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
27.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
19.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 15 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
21.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
21.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:4226% → 42%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
26.0%
Conor Blount sacked by Will Rodgers III for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+13
24.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for 13 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+21
25.8%
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 21 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
29.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+3
29.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
27.7%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford, broken up by Peyton PelluerSimilar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+7
27.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for 7 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
42.0%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jordan Choukair PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:2666% → 80%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
33.8%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
33.1%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
33.2%
Gardner Minshew run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+4
34.5%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
32.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 7 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+23
32.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 23 yds to the OrgSt 13 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
31.7%
Gardner Minshew run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
31.7%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 4Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
32.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+3
34.4%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.0%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
25.7%
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
26.3%
Artavis Pierce run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+15
25.8%
Conor Blount pass complete to Aaron Short for 15 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
28.0%
Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
28.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-7
28.2%
Conor Blount sacked by Darrien Molton for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
24.9%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:4775% → 92%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
24.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 6 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+19
23.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 19 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
21.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 13 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
21.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
21.0%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+15
21.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 15 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
20.4%
James Williams run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
20.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 6 yds to the OrgSt 3Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
8.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:0013% → 16%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
13.1%
Conor Blount pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 46 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
17.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 15 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
17.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
17.2%
Conor Blount run for no gain to the WshSt 9Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+5
15.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds Jermar Jefferson fumbled, forced by Taylor Comfort, recovered by WshSt Jalen ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 3:1093% → 99%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
7.3%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+33
7.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 33 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
6.5%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
6.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 3 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+8
6.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 8 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
1.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 27 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19PUNT
16 plays · 16 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
3.6%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-6
3.5%
Conor Blount sacked by Dominick Silvels for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 16
OWN 11
+18
3.5%
Conor Blount run for 18 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+32
3.6%
Artavis Pierce run for 32 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
4.1%
Jack Colletto pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 3 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
4.2%
Jack Colletto pass incomplete to Timmy HernandezSimilar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
4.1%
Jack Colletto pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 6 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+7
4.4%
Jack Colletto run for 7 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-9
4.6%
Jack Colletto run for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 32 Jack Colletto fumbled, recovered by OrgStSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 19
OPP 32
-1
4.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 20
OPP 33
-10
3.9%
Colletto, Jack pass complete to Togiai, Noah for 19 yards to the WSU14 (Woods, Jahad), PENALTY OSU holding (Houston, Sumner) 10 yards to the WSU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 30
OPP 43
-9
3.7%
Colletto, Jack pass complete to Bradford, T. for 38 yards to the WSU5, PENALTY OSU holding (Cordasco, Clay) 9 yards to the OSU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 39
OWN 48
-15
3.6%
OREGON ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Timmy Hernandez) to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 54
OWN 33
0
3.5%
Jack Colletto pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 54
OWN 33
0
3.5%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3599% → 100%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.8%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
0.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
0.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 15 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
0.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 14 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
0.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 9 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
0.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
0.1%
Max Borghi run for 30 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 0:360% → 2%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
0.1%
Kase Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+23
0.1%
B.J. Baylor run for 23 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+40
0.1%
Jack Colletto pass complete to Champ Flemings for 40 yds to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:10
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jordan Choukair PAT MISSED)
+14.4
TD · Q3 6:37
Max Borghi run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)
-14.4
TD · Q4 14:22
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)
-11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com