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WASH

Washington 31 at UCLA 24

UCLA
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:27 · Stefan Flintoft punt for 60 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 1 yd to the Wash 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Pregame prior−11.1Home team on offense−14.3Score differential−3.9Garbage-time factor−7.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:47: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 9 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +5.0 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:33: Jake Browning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +5.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:53: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 9 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +11.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:42: Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +6.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:38: Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +17.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 10:28WASH 4th & 7 at UCLA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:24UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:47UCLA 4th & 8 at WASH 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:45WASH 4th & 4 at UCLA 9, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:00WASH 4th & 1 at UCLA 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    79.4%−0.9
    75% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−4.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:52UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:46UCLA 4th & 11 at WASH 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:54WASH 4th & 16 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:16WASH 4th & 7 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:27UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:38UCLA 4th & 1 at WASH 2, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.6
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:37WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:47UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:42WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:33WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:53UCLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:42WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:38UCLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:2793% → 91%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
7.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+19
7.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 19 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
7.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+1
7.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+7
7.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
50
+1
8.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
8.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
8.5%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
8.7%
Race Porter punt for 37 yds, downed at the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:549% → 9%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
8.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 18 yds to the UCLA 28 Joshua Kelley fumbled, forced by Hunter Bryant, recovered by UCLA Drew Platt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
8.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 1 yd to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+2
9.2%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+3
9.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 3 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 8:24
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+18
9.4%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 57 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 18 yds to the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3INT
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:5091% → 89%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
9.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
9.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+21
9.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 21 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
9.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
9.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-10
10.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nick Harris) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 15
50
+16
10.5%
Jake Browning run for 16 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
10.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 2 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
10.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+12
10.9%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Adarius Pickett return for 12 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4INT
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:1812% → 12%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
11.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 17 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
12.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted Taylor Rapp return for no gain to the Wash 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:5889% → 90%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
11.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+26
11.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 26 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
11.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
11.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+25
10.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 25 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:4311% → 12%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+39
11.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 39 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
12.1%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
12.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
11.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
11.5%
JJ Molson 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:5689% → 89%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
11.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 9 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
10.9%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+46
11.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 46 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
10.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 16Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 11
OPP 16
-9
11.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Krys Barnes for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 20
OPP 25
+16
11.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 16 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q2 11:45
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
11.4%
Peyton Henry 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4311% → 18%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
11.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 20 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
11.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+22
11.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 22 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
12.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 6 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+14
12.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 14 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
17.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 9 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:4885% → 88%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
15.4%
Sean McGrew run for 8 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
15.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+6
15.5%
Jake Browning run for 6 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
15.1%
UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Tyler Manoa) to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
15.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 16 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
14.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+2
14.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
15.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+7
16.4%
Jake Browning run for 7 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
15.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+8
15.7%
Chico McClatcher run for 8 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4613% → 12%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Michael EzeikeSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
12.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
12.1%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 49 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 1 yd to the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:0587% → 94%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
13.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
12.6%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+9
12.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
12.4%
Jake Browning run for 6 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
12.3%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
12.6%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
12.2%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete, PENALTY UCLA roughing passer (Moore, Marcus) 15 yards to the UCLA33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
12.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 15 yds to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
12.1%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.8%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:279% → 10%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
8.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 16 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
9.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+11
9.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 11 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
9.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 5:098% → 10%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
8.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
8.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 14 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
8.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 6 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
9.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
9.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
8.9%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+3
8.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 3 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+9
8.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
9.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-5
9.3%
UCLA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
9.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+1
8.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 1 yd to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+49
9.8%
JJ Molson 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:3692% → 92%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
8.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 15 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
7.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
7.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
7.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-8
7.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 15
OPP 49
-1
7.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 16
50
+5
8.1%
Joel Whitford punt for 45 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 5 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15TD
18 plays · 90 yds · 5:579% → 22%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
9.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+5
9.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
8.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
8.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
8.9%
Martell Irby run for 5 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
9.3%
Martell Irby run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
9.1%
Kazmeir Allen run for no gain to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
9.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 4 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+11
9.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 11 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
9.8%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Boss Tagaloa) to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+8
8.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+4
9.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 8
50
+29
9.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 29 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
10.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Martell Irby for 1 yd to the Wash 20Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+11
10.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 11 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
10.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Martell IrbySimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
10.8%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the Wash 9Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
22.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 9 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:2983% → 83%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
15.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 7 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
15.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
14.9%
Jake Browning run for 7 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
15.2%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
14.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
15.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 7
50
0
15.0%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 7
50
0
16.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4320% → 16%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
19.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
19.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
18.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Michael EzeikeSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+1
16.4%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 60 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 1 yd to the Wash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 6:2584% → 97%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
16.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 1 yd to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+3
15.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 3 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+34
16.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 34 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
13.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+8
12.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
12.1%
Chico McClatcher run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+1
11.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+14
11.5%
Jake Browning run for 14 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
9.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+7
9.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
9.6%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the UCLA 2Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:573% → 21%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
3.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 12 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
3.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 3 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+13
3.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 13 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+31
3.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 31 yds to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
4.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
4.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 4 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+5
3.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
20.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20END OF GAME
8 plays · -4 yds · 1:3192% → 96%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
7.8%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+5
7.8%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 20
OPP 41
-2
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 22
OPP 43
-3
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:38
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+17.3
TD · Q4 14:53
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 9 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+11.6
TD · Q4 3:42
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
-6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com