Try the model
BYU

BYU 7 at Washington 35

WASH
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:13 · Rhett Almond punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+12.9Home team on offense+35.0Score differential+28.5Garbage-time factor+9.3Blowout margin+14.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:19: Salvon Ahmed 5 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick) — WASH win probability +1.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q1 2:50: Tanner Mangum pass complete to Squally Canada for 4 yds to the Wash 30 — BYU win probability +1.1 pts (now 12%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:05: Myles Gaskin 6 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick) — WASH win probability +3.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:05: Jake Browning 9 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick) — WASH win probability +3.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:31: Drew Sample 15 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Peyton Henry Kick) — WASH win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:22WASH 4th & 23 at WASH 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:04BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:42BYU 4th & 20 at WASH 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:54BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:28WASH 4th & 14 at BYU 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:18BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:06BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:13BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:59WASH 4th & 7 at BYU 7, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:49BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 41, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:41BYU 4th & 1 at WASH 1, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:19WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:05WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:05WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:31WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:24WASH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:41BYU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:2891% → 90%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
90.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 21 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
90.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 16 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
90.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-13
90.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Corbin Kaufusi for a loss of 13 yards to the BYU 48 WASHINGTON Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jake Browning) to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 20
OPP 48
-3
90.0%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 23
OWN 49
0
89.8%
Joel Whitford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1110% → 10%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
89.8%
Aleva Hifo run for 6 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+3
89.7%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
89.6%
Squally Canada run for no gain to the BYU 20 Squally Canada fumbled, forced by Jordan Miller, recovered by BYU Squally CanadaSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
89.6%
Rhett Almond punt for 48 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for no gain to the Wash 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:4190% → 90%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
89.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+5
89.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
89.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 17 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
89.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 10 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
89.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+3
89.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 3 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+19
89.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 14 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Sione Takitaki) to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.0%
Salvon Ahmed 5 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4MISSED FG
18 plays · 56 yds · 8:1811% → 12%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
89.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Dallin Holker for 4 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-5
89.4%
Hifo, Aleva rush for 4 yards to the BYU24, PENALTY BYU illegal formation 5 yards to the BYU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+15
89.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 15 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
89.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 5 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-5
89.0%
Dylan Collie run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-3
89.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 7 yds to the BYU 37 BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (James Empey) to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+39
89.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 39 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
88.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Squally Canada for 4 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
87.9%
Aleva Hifo run for 5 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-5
88.2%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Squally Canada) to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+12
88.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 12 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
87.6%
Canada, Squally rush for 8 yards to the WASHINGTON10, out-of-bounds, PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OPP 28
-2
87.7%
Squally Canada run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 22
OPP 30
+7
87.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 7 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 15
OPP 23
-5
88.0%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Brady Christensen) to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 20
OPP 28
0
88.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 20
OPP 28
+45
88.5%
Skyler Southam 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:2588% → 92%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+30
88.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 30 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
88.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
89.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+4
88.7%
Jake Browning run for 4 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
88.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 23 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.0%
Myles Gaskin 6 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:519% → 9%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.8%
Squally Canada run for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
90.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Dax Milne for 9 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
90.8%
Tanner Mangum run for 3 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-3
90.7%
Aleva Hifo run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 40 Aleva Hifo fumbled, forced by Byron Murphy, recovered by BYU Aleva HifoSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+8
91.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 8 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
90.7%
Rhett Almond punt for 32 yds, downed at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7MISSED FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 6:1791% → 92%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
91.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
91.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
91.4%
Jake Browning run for no gain to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
91.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Sean McGrew for 5 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+16
91.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 16 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
91.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 15 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
91.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-10
91.9%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Otton, Cade for 11 yards to the BYU17, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (McGary, Kaleb) 10 yards to the BYU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+11
91.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 11 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+9
91.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 9 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
92.6%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 11
OPP 19
-10
92.5%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Gaskin, Myles for 5 yards to the BYU14, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the BYU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 21
OPP 29
0
92.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 21
OPP 29
+7
92.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 7 yds to the BYU 22 WASHINGTON Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
91.8%
Peyton Henry 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:019% → 8%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
91.3%
Mangum, Tanner pass incomplete to Hifo, Aleva, PENALTY BYU holding (Hoge, Tristen) 10 yards to the BYU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+4
91.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 4 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+1
92.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 1 yd to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 15
OWN 17
+7
91.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 7 yds to the BYU 24 Lopini Katoa fumbled, forced by Ben Burr-Kirven, recovered by Wash Ben Burr-KirvenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:1393% → 97%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
92.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 4 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+11
92.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 11 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.1%
Jake Browning 9 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:274% → 4%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.1%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-7
96.1%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Taylor Rapp for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 22Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+16
96.4%
Rhett Almond punt for 42 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 16 yds to the BYU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:2997% → 100%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
97.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 15 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
97.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-10
97.3%
Gaskin, Myles rush for 11 yards to the BYU18, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (McGary, Kaleb) 10 yards to the BYU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+8
97.3%
Sean McGrew run for 8 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+9
97.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 9 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
97.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+3
97.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
99.5%
Drew Sample 15 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:191% → 0%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-14
99.5%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Myles Bryant for a loss of 14 yards to the BYU 11 BYU Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tanner Mangum) to the BYU 11Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+1
99.5%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 12Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+27
99.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 27 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.5%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
99.5%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-3
99.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Dylan Collie for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Rhett Almond punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:06100% → 100%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+37
99.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 37 yds to the BYU 43 Salvon Ahmed fumbled, forced by Austin Lee, recovered by Wash Nick Harris for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
99.7%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Gaskin, Myles for 6 yards to the BYU37, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Wattenberg, Luke) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+19
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 19 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+13
99.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 13 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+2
99.8%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 5 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Salvon Ahmed 6 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
99.8%
Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Baylor RomneySimilar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Rhett Almond punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16MISSED FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 6:01100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 16 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Kamari Pleasant run for 5 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
99.8%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 4 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+10
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 10 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+5
99.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 5 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the BYU 7Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q4 8:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
99.9%
Peyton Henry 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 21 yds · 4:010% → 0%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.9%
Riley Burt run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
99.9%
Riley Burt run for 6 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 7 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Riley Burt for 4 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 3 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Danny Jones punt for 38 yds , Chico McClatcher returns for no gain to the Wash 21 Chico McClatcher fumbled, recovered by BYU Mitch HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:490% → 0%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.9%
Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+7
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Dax Milne for 7 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+4
99.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
100.0%
Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Aleva Hifo run for 1 yd to the Wash 1Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q4 0:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Lopini Katoa 1 Yd Run (Skyler Southam Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:05
Jake Browning 9 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)
+3.7
TD · Q2 11:05
Myles Gaskin 6 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)
+3.1
TD · Q3 9:31
Drew Sample 15 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Peyton Henry Kick)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com