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UCLA

UCLA 16 at Colorado 38

COLO
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2018 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:21 · Davis Price punt for 58 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 32 yds to the Colo 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Pregame prior+24.3Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:26: - Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 11 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +3.9 pts (now 30%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:13: Steven Montez run for 10 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +3.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:36: JJ Molson 40 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +6.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:45: Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +10.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:04: Travon McMillian run for 6 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +13.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00UCLA 4th & 15 at UCLA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:21COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:57UCLA 4th & 4 at COLO 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.4%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00COLO 4th & 8 at UCLA 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:12UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:05UCLA 4th & 2 at COLO 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.5%−1.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:40UCLA 4th & 4 at COLO 33, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.4%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:51COLO 4th & 3 at UCLA 43, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%−2.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:36UCLA 4th & 13 at COLO 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−8.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:56UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 28, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:46COLO 4th & 6 at UCLA 24, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−5.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:46UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:15UCLA 4th & 13 at UCLA 36, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:57COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 30, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:50UCLA 4th & 7 at COLO 45, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:26UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:00COLO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:13COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:45COLO Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:04COLO Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:15COLO Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
75.0%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 11 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
75.0%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 4 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
75.0%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-9
75.0%
- Thmpsn-Robinson sacked by Drew Lewis for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
75.0%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 57 yds, downed at the Colo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
74.6%
Travon McMillian run for 9 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 1
OWN 22
0
74.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 1
OWN 22
-1
74.6%
Beau Bisharat run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 21Similar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 2
OWN 21
+32
74.5%
Davis Price punt for 58 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 32 yds to the Colo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3TD
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:2926% → 30%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
74.0%
- Thmpsn-Robinson sacked by Drew Lewis for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+5
74.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 13
50
+17
74.2%
- Thmpsn-Robinson run for 17 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
74.0%
COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Evan Worthington) to the Colo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
73.9%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 9 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+3
73.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the Colo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
73.9%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 1 yd to the Colo 5Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
73.9%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Bolu Olorunfunmi for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 6Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
74.0%
Olorunfunmi, B. rush for 4 yards to the COLO2 (Abrams, Delrick;Wells, Carson), PENALTY UCLA illegal formation 5 yards to the COLO11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
70.2%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 11 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 2:2071% → 73%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
70.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 3 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-2
70.8%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 16Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+12
70.5%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Shenault, Lavis (Meadors, Nate), PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Meadors, Nate) 12 yards to the COLO28, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
70.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 9 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+6
71.3%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
73.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 57 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:0328% → 30%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.5%
Kazmeir Allen run for 8 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+17
72.0%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
71.6%
Kazmeir Allen run for 4 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
71.6%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+9
71.8%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 9 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
71.6%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+29
71.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 29 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
71.3%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
71.3%
Theo Howard run for 3 yds to the Colo 4Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.6%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q1 0:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
69.6%
JJ Molson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:5770% → 69%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
69.9%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 8 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
70.8%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
70.5%
Steven Montez run for 8 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+3
71.2%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
70.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 2 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-4
71.0%
K.D. Nixon sacked by Nate Meadors for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+4
69.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
69.3%
Davis Price punt for 35 yds, downed at the UCLA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:4231% → 32%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
68.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+19
67.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 19 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
66.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
66.9%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Michael EzeikeSimilar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
67.1%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
68.1%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:5168% → 74%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
67.6%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 15Similar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+12
67.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 12 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-1
68.0%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+15
67.2%
Travon McMillian run for 15 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
69.2%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
69.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+11
68.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Kabion Ento for 11 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
69.7%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+15
69.6%
Montez, Steven rush for loss of 6 yards to the UCLA49 (Meadors, Nate), PENALTY UCLA personal foul (Meadors, Nate) 15 yards to the UCLA28, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
70.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+14
70.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 14 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
70.3%
Jay MacIntyre run for 4 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
70.3%
K.D. Nixon run for 2 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
74.0%
Steven Montez run for 10 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 4:3329% → 32%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.3%
Demetric Felton run for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
70.3%
Martell Irby run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
70.7%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Christaphany Murray) to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+19
71.9%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Martell Irby for 19 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
69.1%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 4 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
69.0%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Theo Howard, broken up by Evan WorthingtonSimilar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+4
70.8%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 4 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+6
71.8%
Martell Irby run for 6 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
70.4%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Michael EzeikeSimilar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-2
70.5%
Martell Irby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+8
71.7%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 8 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+50
68.0%
JJ Molson 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10END OF HALF
11 plays · 14 yds · 0:5271% → 71%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
70.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 1 yd to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+9
70.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 9 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
71.4%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-4
71.6%
Steven Montez sacked by Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+15
68.9%
UCLA Penalty, personal foul (Jaelan Phillips) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
50
+1
72.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Travon McMillian for 1 yd to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+10
72.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 10 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 25
OWN 46
-5
70.9%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
70.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 6 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
70.9%
Travon McMillian run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
50
+4
73.0%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
73.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+3
72.4%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
71.2%
N/A punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12FG
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:0131% → 39%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+25
69.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 10 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Mustafa Johnson) to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+44
68.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 44 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
65.4%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Michael EzeikeSimilar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 13
OPP 23
0
67.5%
Martell Irby run for no gain to the Colo 23Similar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+40
60.6%
JJ Molson 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5161% → 77%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
60.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 10 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
61.3%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Nixon, K.D., PENALTY UCLA offside defense (Ogbonnia, Otito) 5 yards to the COLO40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+17
64.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 17 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
64.8%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+31
64.8%
Jay MacIntyre pass complete to Kyle Evans for 31 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
66.0%
Kyle Evans run for 4 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
66.0%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.6%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:4928% → 22%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.0%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
73.0%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
77.6%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Blackmon at the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15TD
15 plays · 67 yds · 5:4576% → 92%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
75.8%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+10
76.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 10 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
77.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 10 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
78.1%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
78.2%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Shenault, Lavis, PENALTY UCLA offside defense (Andrus, Martin) 5 yards to the UCLA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
79.2%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
78.0%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
79.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Chris BoundsSimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
79.1%
Steven Montez run for 9 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
78.0%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
79.2%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-5
79.2%
Montez, Steven pass complete to Shenault, Lavis for 12 yards to the UCLA5 (Lake, Quentin;Gates, Elijah), PENALTY COLO ineligible downfield on pass (Pursell, Colby) 5 yards to the UCLA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
79.1%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+11
78.0%
Steven Montez run for 11 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.0%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0411% → 9%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
88.8%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
90.3%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle Philips, broken up by Drew LewisSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+46
90.6%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 46 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17FG
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:5992% → 96%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
91.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 19Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+53
91.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 53 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
92.3%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
92.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 2 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-1
92.0%
Steven Montez run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
95.6%
James Stefanou 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.4%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
94.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.3%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+23
94.6%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 57 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 23 yds to the Colo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 3:0196% → 99%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
96.2%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Colo 38Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
96.3%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+16
96.4%
Travon McMillian run for 16 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
96.5%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+1
96.5%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+35
99.3%
Steven Montez run for 35 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.2%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 9 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.1%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Joshua KelleySimilar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.1%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 6 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-9
99.1%
- Thmpsn-Robinson sacked by Davion Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
99.2%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Blackmon at the Colo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:2199% → 100%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.4%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
99.4%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+2
99.4%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Davis Price punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Adarius Pickett at the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.4%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Michael Ezeike, broken up by Evan WorthingtonSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+23
99.5%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 23 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.4%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Caleb Wilson, broken up by Rick GamboaSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.4%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 3 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
99.4%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Joshua KelleySimilar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
99.4%
- Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Joshua KelleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 13
OWN 42
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:04
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q3 7:45
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)
+10.6
FG · Q3 10:36
JJ Molson 40 yd FG GOOD
-6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com