Try the model
ASU

Arizona State 20 at Washington 27

WASH
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:28 · Joel Whitford punt for 46 yds, downed at the ArzSt 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior+14.1Home team on offense+11.4Garbage-time factor+5.6Score differential+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:05: Peyton Henry 26 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +2.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 10:40: Brandon Ruiz 41 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +2.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:17: Peyton Henry 29 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +3.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:59: Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 5 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +5.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:54: Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +12.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 12:02ASU 4th & 1 at WASH 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:53ASU 4th & 4 at WASH 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.2%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:18ASU 4th & 6 at WASH 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:05WASH 4th & 9 at ASU 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:35ASU 4th & 13 at ASU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:05WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:20ASU 4th & 6 at WASH 48, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:40ASU 4th & 4 at WASH 23, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.7%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−5.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:17WASH 4th & 2 at ASU 12, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%−0.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−7.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:28WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:41ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:10ASU 4th & 9 at ASU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:10WASH 4th & 7 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:02ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:05WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:57WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:59WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:54ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
89.6%
Andre Baccellia pass intercepted Chase Lucas return for 19 yds to the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3810% → 12%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
89.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+7
89.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 7 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
89.3%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 8Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
89.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
88.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q1 12:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:3988% → 88%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
88.0%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+9
87.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 9 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
87.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 14 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
87.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+30
87.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 30 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
87.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+3
87.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
88.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 11 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 3:5713% → 15%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
87.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+15
87.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
86.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Nick Ralston for 6 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
86.6%
Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 1
50
+4
86.4%
Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
86.1%
Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
86.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+7
86.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 7 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
85.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
85.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
85.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+48
85.5%
Brandon Ruiz 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4585% → 87%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.3%
Kamari Pleasant run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
85.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 17 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
85.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 24 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
85.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+5
85.4%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
86.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 19 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 3:1514% → 16%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
85.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 2 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+5
85.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+9
85.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
84.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
84.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+5
84.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 5 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
84.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
83.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
84.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:18
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
84.5%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7FG
16 plays · 73 yds · 6:5585% → 86%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
84.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 9 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+4
85.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
84.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+14
85.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
85.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
85.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
85.3%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+10
84.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
85.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+8
85.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
85.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+1
85.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
85.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
84.8%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 9Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
84.2%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
86.4%
Peyton Henry 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 23 yds · 3:1914% → 15%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
85.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
85.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
84.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+10
84.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
83.7%
Manny Wilkins run for 5 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-15
83.4%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+3
84.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 3 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 17
OWN 44
+4
84.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 13
OWN 48
+3
85.3%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 33 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 3 yds to the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:2485% → 84%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
84.9%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
84.7%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+3
84.2%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+1
83.8%
Joel Whitford punt for 55 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 1 yd to the ArzSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4015% → 15%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
85.2%
Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
85.0%
Trelon Smith run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-1
85.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 4:0516% → 21%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
84.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-2
84.3%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+15
85.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
83.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 25
OWN 33
0
84.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 25
OWN 33
+12
84.8%
Trelon Smith run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+7
84.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Trelon Smith for 7 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 6
OPP 48
+19
84.3%
Trelon Smith run for 19 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
81.3%
Trelon Smith run for no gain to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
81.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Trelon Smith for 3 yds Trelon Smith fumbled, recovered by ArzStSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
81.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+41
79.3%
Brandon Ruiz 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:1082% → 86%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 9 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
82.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 11 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
82.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+24
83.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 24 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
83.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
83.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+7
82.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 7 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
86.3%
Peyton Henry 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:1117% → 19%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
82.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+12
83.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 12 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+7
81.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
81.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 3 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+4
80.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+5
81.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 5 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2586% → 86%
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
86.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Merlin Robertson for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+11
85.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 11 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-5
85.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
85.5%
Joel Whitford punt for 46 yds, downed at the ArzSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2317% → 15%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
82.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 7 yds to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 3
OWN 17
-1
83.6%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
84.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:41
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+6
85.4%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 57 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 6 yds to the Wash 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:0188% → 96%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
88.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
89.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+4
88.7%
Jake Browning run for 4 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
89.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+14
89.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 14 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
90.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
90.3%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
90.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
90.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 2 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
95.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 5 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:307% → 6%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.5%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
93.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
94.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
94.1%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:4796% → 96%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
96.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 12 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
96.3%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 7
50
-4
96.4%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+4
96.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 7
50
+42
96.3%
Joel Whitford punt for 47 yds , N'Keal Harry returns for 42 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:496% → 18%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
93.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 4 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+20
94.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 20 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
93.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for no gain to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
93.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 5 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+10
93.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 10 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
93.3%
Isaiah Floyd run for 3 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+6
93.5%
Manny Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+6
94.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.6%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20Uncategorized
11 plays · 25 yds · 2:4893% → 97%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
94.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
94.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 9 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
95.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+15
95.4%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
96.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+6
96.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-12
96.9%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 12 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:54
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
-12.6
TD · Q4 10:59
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 5 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
+5.5
FG · Q3 7:17
Peyton Henry 29 yd FG GOOD
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com