Try the model
WSU

Washington State 36 at USC 39

USC
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2018 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.1USC 62.8%Blake Mazza 50 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q1 7:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:19 · Blake Mazza 50 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+10.6Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:21: Max Borghi run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-point Conversion failed) — WSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:03: JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 50 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK) — USC win probability +15.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. TD · Q4 14:31: JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 30 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK) — USC win probability +21.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:15: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WSU win probability +29.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:03: Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds for a TD (JT Daniels pass to Tyler Vaughns for Two-Point Conversion) — USC win probability +31.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:41WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52USC 4th & 20 at USC 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:19WSU 4th & 3 at USC 33, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:30USC 4th & 1 at USC 24, up 4
    Close callPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:19WSU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.5%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:27WSU 4th & 2 at USC 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:03USC 4th & 27 at USC 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−2.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:42WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−2.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:08USC 4th & 9 at USC 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−2.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:18WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−2.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:43WSU 4th & 1 at USC 8, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−3.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−20.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:59WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 33, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:39USC 4th & 5 at USC 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−3.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:41WSU 4th & 6 at USC 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−11.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−22.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:56USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:29WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:23USC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:55WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:39WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:21WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:03USC Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:31USC Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:15WSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    65.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.6%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:03USC Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.2%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5462% → 63%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.2%
Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
62.3%
USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 26Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+50
62.2%
Stephen Carr run for 50 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
62.4%
Vavae Malepeai run for 12 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
62.5%
Vavae Malepeai run for 9 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
63.2%
Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:0837% → 36%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
63.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
63.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 15 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
63.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
63.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for no gain to the WshSt 40Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
63.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
63.7%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:4964% → 64%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
63.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the USC 29Similar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 5
OWN 29
-5
64.0%
JT Daniels run for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 24 JT Daniels fumbled, recovered by USC JT DanielsSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-1
64.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 23Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 11
OWN 23
-9
64.0%
JT Daniels sacked by Peyton Pelluer for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 14Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 20
OWN 14
+26
63.7%
Reid Budrovich punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WASHST 45 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2437% → 37%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
63.5%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
63.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 5 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
63.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+50
62.8%
Blake Mazza 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1863% → 63%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
63.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 7 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+2
63.1%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 24
0
62.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the USC 24Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
62.5%
Reid Budrovich punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
17 plays · 59 yds · 6:4137% → 43%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
62.6%
Gardner Minshew run for 2 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-2
62.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+9
63.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 1
50
+2
63.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
63.2%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
62.9%
USC Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the USC 41Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+1
62.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the USC 40Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
63.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+9
63.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
62.4%
USC Penalty, Defensive Offside (Malik Dorton) to the USC 26Similar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 5
OPP 26
0
62.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
62.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 4 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+5
63.0%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
62.3%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+10
62.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 10 yds to the USC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.0%
James Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 0:3760% → 66%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+44
59.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 44 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
62.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 5
OPP 25
0
62.4%
JT Daniels run for no gain to the WshSt 25 JT Daniels fumbled, recovered by USC JT Daniels JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+16
62.4%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Strong, Marcus) 16 yards to the WASHST9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q2 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
66.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1535% → 44%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.7%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
64.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 15 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
63.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 11 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
63.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Max BorghiSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+19
63.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 19 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
55.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 28 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9FUMBLE
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:2759% → 56%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
58.9%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+10
58.9%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete to Jones Jr., Velus, PENALTY WASHST holding (Brock, Tristan) 10 yards to the USC40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
60.3%
Vavae Malepeai run for 7 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+16
60.7%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Thomas, Skyler) 16 yards to the WASHST37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-17
60.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the USC 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by USC Stephen CarrSimilar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 27
OWN 46
-5
57.6%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 41Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 32
OWN 41
+5
56.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Aca'Cedric Ware for 5 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 27
OWN 46
+3
55.9%
Reid Budrovich punt for 32 yds , Kyle Sweet returns for 3 yds to the WshSt 25 Kyle Sweet fumbled, recovered by WshSt Kyle SweetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0344% → 59%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
55.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
55.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 6 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
54.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Max BorghiSimilar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+14
54.2%
Max Borghi run for 14 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
52.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 4 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+12
52.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 12 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
51.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 17 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
51.3%
James Williams run for 8 yds to the USC 7Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 2
OPP 7
0
49.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
41.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11END OF HALF
18 plays · 66 yds · 1:1643% → 49%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
42.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 22 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
44.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 12 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
44.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Stephen Carr for 3 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+8
43.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 8 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
44.3%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-8
44.2%
JT Daniels sacked by Dominick Silvels and Hunter Dale for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 18
OPP 37
0
40.1%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 18
OPP 37
+15
39.0%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Harper Jr., Sean) 15 yards to the WASHST22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
43.2%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+14
42.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 14 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
44.2%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
45.0%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
49.4%
Michael Brown 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2457% → 74%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.3%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
42.7%
USC Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WshSt 33Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+11
43.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 11 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
40.8%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
40.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Keith Harrington for 11 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
39.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+18
39.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 18 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
38.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
38.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 8 yds to the USC 16Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
38.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 3 yds to the USC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
37.3%
James Williams run for no gain to the USC 13Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
26.5%
Max Borghi run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:5733% → 50%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
33.2%
JT Daniels run for 7 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+8
33.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
50
+50
49.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 50 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1358% → 57%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
42.2%
Minshew, Gardner pass incomplete, PENALTY USC holding 10 yards to the WASHST29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
41.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+4
42.0%
Gardner Minshew run for 4 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-1
41.3%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Porter Gustin for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
42.7%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 46 yds , Tyler Vaughns returns for no gain to the USC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1244% → 40%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
43.7%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
43.2%
JT Daniels run for 2 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-1
41.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Stephen Carr for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 24Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+2
40.1%
Reid Budrovich punt for 50 yds , Kyle Sweet returns for 2 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4261% → 59%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
38.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 3 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-2
37.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-1
39.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
41.0%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Vaughns at the USC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:2044% → 71%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
44.0%
Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the USC 37Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+7
43.7%
Stephen Carr run for 7 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
45.5%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
46.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 6 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+4
47.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
47.1%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
46.6%
Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+10
46.4%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST holding (Strong, Marcus) 10 yards to the WASHST29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
49.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by USC for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Logan Tago) to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
49.4%
Carr, Stephen rush for 3 yards to the WASHST17, PENALTY USC holding (Brown, Chris) 10 yards to the WASHST30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+30
70.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 30 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:4537% → 73%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+59
63.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 59 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
56.5%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the USC 13Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+5
56.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 5 yds to the USC 8Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
58.1%
James Williams run for no gain to the USC 8Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+3
60.5%
Gardner Minshew run for 3 yds to the USC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
56.1%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the USC 4Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
26.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 1:3744% → 80%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
43.5%
Vavae Malepeai run for 21 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
48.1%
Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-2
48.1%
Vavae Malepeai run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+21
44.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 21 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
49.3%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Harper Jr., Sean) 11 yards to the WASHST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q4 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.4%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds for a TD (JT Daniels pass to Tyler Vaughns for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5827% → 28%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
73.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 8 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
70.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
72.5%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4976% → 74%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.1%
JT Daniels run for no gain to the USC 20Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
75.9%
Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
75.5%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. BrownSimilar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+49
73.7%
Reid Budrovich punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WASHST 36 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WshSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:5226% → 26%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
74.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 21Similar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+6
74.9%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+2
74.6%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+25
75.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 25 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
68.5%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
68.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+14
68.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 14 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
68.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
70.9%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
71.3%
James Williams run for no gain to the USC 21Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
73.8%
Blake Mazza 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jay TufeleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23Uncategorized
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3888% → 96%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
87.7%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+6
90.9%
Vavae Malepeai run for 6 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+11
95.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for 11 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:03
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds for a TD (JT Daniels pass to Tyler Vaughns for Two-Point Conversion)
+31.1
TD · Q4 10:15
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-29.3
TD · Q4 14:31
JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 30 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK)
+21.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com