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2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadEWU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreEWU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:40 · Oscar Draguicevich punt for 54 yds, downed at the EWash 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+15.1Home team on offense+15.5Score differential+3.4Garbage-time factor+8.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:56: Andre Slyter kickoff for 65 yds , Travell Harris return for 100 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:41: Gage Gubrud pass complete to Zach Eagle for 34 yds for a TD (Roldan Alcobendas KICK) — EWU win probability +5.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:37: James Williams run for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:54: Gage Gubrud pass complete to Dennis Merritt for 44 yds for a TD (Roldan Alcobendas KICK) — EWU win probability +5.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:05: Blake Mazza 44 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EWU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:27EWU 4th & 9 at EWU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:41WSU 4th & 7 at EWU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    89.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:09EWU 4th & 15 at EWU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:11EWU 4th & 4 at WSU 19, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.3%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:41WSU 4th & 12 at WSU 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:58EWU 4th & 19 at WSU 36, down 11
    Close callPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:40WSU 4th & 14 at WSU 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:05WSU 4th & 10 at EWU 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:59EWU 4th & 10 at EWU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:24EWU 4th & 18 at WSU 35, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:21WSU 4th & 1 at EWU 6, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7EWU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:27WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:45WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:17WSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:39EWU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:41EWU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:37WSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:54EWU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:47WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:24WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:21WSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
90.9%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
90.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 9 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
90.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
90.9%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 2INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
90.6%
Gage Gubrud run for 4 yds to the EWash 30Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
90.6%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nsimba Webster for 4 yds to the EWash 34Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+5
90.6%
Gage Gubrud run for 5 yds to the EWash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
90.5%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Dre' Sonte Dorton for 5 yds to the EWash 44Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
90.5%
Gage Gubrud pass intercepted Jalen Thompson return for no gain to the WshSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:0790% → 90%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
90.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean Martin, broken up by Josh LewisSimilar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+26
90.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 26 yds to the EWash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
90.2%
Gardner Minshew run for 8 yds to the EWash 34Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+12
90.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 12 yds to the EWash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
90.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 21 yds to the EWash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.4%
James Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.2%
Gage Gubrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.2%
Sam McPherson run for 1 yd to the EWash 26Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
90.2%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Terence GradySimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
90.3%
Roldan Alcobendas punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
90.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
50
+11
90.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 11 yds to the EWash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
90.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 5 yds to the EWash 34Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-2
90.3%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Mitchell Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 36Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
90.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell Harris, broken up by Josh LewisSimilar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 7
OPP 36
-10
90.1%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Mitchell Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the EWash 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.4%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Sam McPherson, broken up by Jahad WoodsSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
89.4%
EASTERN WASH Penalty, false start (Kaleb Levao) to the EWash 41Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
89.6%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Terence Grady, broken up by Justus RogersSimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
89.7%
Gage Gubrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
89.8%
Roldan Alcobendas punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 4:0190% → 92%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
89.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 13 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
89.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 3 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+10
89.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 10 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
89.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 19 yds to the EWash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
90.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 9 yds to the EWash 29Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+9
90.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the EWash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
90.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the EWash 14Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
91.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 14 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 8FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 4:299% → 11%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
90.6%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Nsimba Webster, broken up by Darrien MoltonSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
90.7%
Sam McPherson run for 3 yds to the EWash 24Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+8
91.1%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Andrew Boston for 8 yds to the EWash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
91.0%
Sam McPherson run for 5 yds to the EWash 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+5
90.8%
Sam McPherson run for 5 yds to the EWash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
90.9%
Sam McPherson run for 1 yd to the EWash 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-10
90.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Andrew Boston, QB hurry by Tago, Logan, PENALTY EWU holding (S. Blackburn) 10 yards to the EWU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 33
+42
91.1%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nsimba Webster for 42 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.4%
Gage Gubrud run for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
90.4%
Sam McPherson run for 6 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
90.6%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Dre' Sonte DortonSimilar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
89.2%
Roldan Alcobendas 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 10INT
8 plays · 6 yds · 1:248% → 7%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
92.1%
Sam McPherson run for 6 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
92.1%
Gage Gubrud run for no gain to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+7
92.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Zach Eagle for 7 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
92.0%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Andrew Boston for 6 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-13
91.6%
Gage Gubrud sacked by Jahad Woods and Misiona Aiolupotea-Pei for a loss of 13 yards to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 17
OPP 39
0
92.6%
Gage Gubrud pass intercepted Darrien Molton return for no gain to the WshSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
17 plays · 98 yds · 7:2093% → 96%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
92.9%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+4
92.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 4 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+7
92.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 7 yds to the WshSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
93.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 2 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+11
93.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 11 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
93.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
93.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 12 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
93.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 13 yds to the EWash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
93.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 15 yds to the EWash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
93.3%
Minshew,Gardner pass incomplete to Martin, Tay, PENALTY EWU pass interference 10 yards to the EWU20, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
93.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for no gain to the EWash 20Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
93.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the EWash 11Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+7
93.0%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the EWash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean Martin, broken up by Josh LewisSimilar
Q2 9:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.0%
Minshew,Gardner pass incomplete to Winston, Easop, PENALTY EWU pass interference (D'londo Tucker) 2 yards to the EWU2, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.9%
James Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 1:336% → 9%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
93.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for no gain to the EWU18 (Silvels, Domini), PENALTY WSU face mask (Silvels, Domini) 15 yards to the EWU33, 1ST DOWN EWU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
93.5%
Tamarick Pierce run for 11 yds to the EWash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
93.5%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Andrew BostonSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+17
93.5%
Tamarick Pierce run for 17 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.4%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Andrew BostonSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
92.5%
Gage Gubrud run for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+6
91.6%
Tamarick Pierce run for 6 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
91.1%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Andrew Boston for 26 yds for a TD (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
94.3%
Max Borghi run for 7 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+9
94.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 9 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:197% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Sam McPherson run for no gain to the EWash 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.6%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Jayson Williams for 11 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
93.1%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Jayson Williams for 5 yds to the EWash 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
92.9%
Gage Gubrud run for 4 yds to the EWash 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
92.9%
Sam McPherson run for 3 yds to the EWash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
92.9%
Sam McPherson run for 8 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+3
92.5%
Sam McPherson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
92.7%
Tamarick Pierce run for 7 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+34
86.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Zach Eagle for 34 yds for a TD (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
89.5%
James Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
89.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
88.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
88.5%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Zach Eagle at the EWash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 1:4512% → 10%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
88.5%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Zach Eagle for 22 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
87.6%
Gage Gubrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
87.8%
Sam McPherson run for 5 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+15
87.8%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Terence Grady, PENALTY WSU pass interference (Strong, Marcus) 15 yards to the WSU27, 1ST DOWN EWU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
86.7%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Andrew BostonSimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
87.0%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Andrew BostonSimilar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+1
87.8%
Sam McPherson run for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 9
OPP 26
-10
88.7%
R. Alcobendas field goal attempt from 44 GOOD, clock 08:58, PENALTY EWU holding 10 yards to the WSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 19
OPP 36
0
90.5%
Roldan Alcobendas punt for 35 yds, downed at the WshSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 99 yds · 4:1090% → 97%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+12
90.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 12 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
90.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 13 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
90.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Renard Bell for 9 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+7
90.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 7 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
91.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 18 yds to the EWash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
91.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 16 yds to the EWash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
91.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 16 yds to the EWash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.0%
James Williams run for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 0:435% → 10%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.5%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Andrew BostonSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
95.6%
Sam McPherson run for 10 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
89.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Dennis Merritt for 44 yds for a TD (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:1491% → 91%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
91.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 11 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
92.1%
Minshew,Gardner pass complete to Winston, Easop for 53 yards to the EWU0, clock 02:40, PENALTY WSU holding (Watson, Josh) 10 yards to the WSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
91.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 20
OWN 37
-1
91.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 21
OWN 36
+7
91.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 7 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
91.0%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 54 yds, downed at the EWash 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 20INT
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+8
92.0%
Sam McPherson run for 8 yds to the EWash 11Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 2
OWN 11
0
91.5%
Gage Gubrud pass intercepted Jahad Woods return for no gain to the EWash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2593% → 96%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
92.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 2 yds to the EWash 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-2
92.8%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
92.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
95.7%
Blake Mazza 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
94.5%
Sam McPherson run for no gain to the EWash 33Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
94.6%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Zach EagleSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
94.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Terence GradySimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 10
OWN 33
+18
95.0%
Roldan Alcobendas punt for 54 yds , Kyle Sweet returns for 18 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:2296% → 99%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
96.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 4 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+16
96.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 16 yds to the EWash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
96.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 26 yds to the EWash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
96.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for a loss of 3 yards to the EWash 26Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 13
OPP 26
-5
96.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Jamire Calvin) to the EWash 31Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 18
OPP 31
+10
96.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 10 yds to the EWash 21Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+21
99.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 21 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:1799% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
99.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Keith Harrington for 7 yds to the EWash 11Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+5
99.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 5 yds to the EWash 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Max Borghi run for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 40 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Andrew Boston, broken up by Darrien MoltonSimilar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Zach Eagle for 10 yds to the EWash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
99.9%
Gage Gubrud sacked by Nnamdi Oguayo for a loss of 10 yards to the EWash 25Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+21
99.9%
Tamarick Pierce run for 21 yds to the EWash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Tamarick Pierce run for 5 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Gage Gubrud run for no gain to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+22
99.9%
Sam McPherson rush for 7 yards to the WSU42 (Thomas, Skyler), PENALTY WSU unsportsmanlike conduct (Molton, Darrien) 22 yards to the WSU27, 1ST DOWN EWU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Terence Grady, broken up by Marcus StrongSimilar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-15
99.9%
Dennis Merritt rush for 4 yards to the WSU23 (Thomas, Skyler), PENALTY EWU clipping (Beau Byus) 15 yards to the WSU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 25
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Andrew Boston for 7 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 18
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Terence Grady, broken up by Skyler ThomasSimilar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 18
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Andrew BostonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.9%
Keith Harrington run for 9 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+12
99.9%
Trey Tinsley pass complete to Rodrick Fisher for 12 yds to the EWash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Trey Tinsley pass complete to Max Borghi for 4 yds to the EWash 40Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+13
99.9%
Trey Tinsley pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 13 yds to the EWash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
Keith Harrington run for 2 yds to the EWash 25Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+10
100.0%
Trey Tinsley pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 10 yds to the EWash 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Trey Tinsley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
100.0%
Trey Tinsley pass complete to Keith Harrington for 9 yds to the EWash 6Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Trey Tinsley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
Trey Tinsley pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Dennis Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the EWash 24Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
100.0%
Eric Barriere run for 9 yds to the EWash 33Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
Eric Barriere run for 4 yds to the EWash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:41
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Zach Eagle for 34 yds for a TD (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)
-5.8
TD · Q3 3:54
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Dennis Merritt for 44 yds for a TD (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)
-5.8
TD · Q3 4:37
James Williams run for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com