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SJSU

San José State 22 at Oregon 35

ORE
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+2.6ORE 99.3%Bryce Crawford 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 15 - HOME 35 · Q4 13:42
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:42 · Bryce Crawford 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Pregame prior+22.3Home team on offense+28.1Score differential+20.8Garbage-time factor+6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:28: Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 39 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK) — ORE win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:46: Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK) — ORE win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:00: Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SJSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:42: Bryce Crawford 25 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:03: Malike Roberson run for 1 yd for a TD SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 8 (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 9 of 11SJSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 14:09ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:18SJSU 4th & 10 at ORE 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:10SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:50ORE 4th & 15 at ORE 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:48SJSU 4th & 8 at ORE 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:41ORE 4th & 13 at ORE 4, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:56SJSU 4th & 9 at ORE 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:56ORE 4th & 12 at ORE 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:43SJSU 4th & 15 at SJSU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:13ORE 4th & 8 at SJSU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:58SJSU 4th & 5 at ORE 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:37SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 28, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00SJSU 4th & 18 at SJSU 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:05ORE 4th & 6 at SJSU 18, up 22
    Close callWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:00ORE 4th & 1 at SJSU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:49ORE 4th & 10 at SJSU 22, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−2.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:42SJSU 4th & 8 at ORE 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−3.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:29ORE 4th & 1 at SJSU 47, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.0%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:34SJSU 4th & 7 at midfield, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:53ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 28, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:49ORE 4th & 2 at SJSU 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−1.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:08SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:18ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:10ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:28ORE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:46ORE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:00SJSU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:03SJSU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5199% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.2%
Tony Brooks-James run for 5 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-1
99.2%
Tony Brooks-James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 45Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q1 14:09
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+3
99.2%
Blake Maimone punt for 53 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 3 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
99.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 11 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.2%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 16Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.2%
Josh Love pass intercepted Jevon Holland return for 2 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
99.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for 9 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+5
99.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for 5 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for 6 yds to the SJSt 3Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.0%
Malike Roberson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
99.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 5 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+14
99.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 14 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.0%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the Oregn 48Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
99.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
99.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh Oliver, broken up by Deommodore LenoirSimilar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
99.0%
Bryce Crawford punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:4599% → 99%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.9%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 21Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
98.9%
Justin Herbert run for 8 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
98.9%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
98.9%
Justin Herbert run for 1 yd to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+66
99.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 66 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
98.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Austin Liles for 17 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.9%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 42Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 1 yd to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+6
98.9%
Josh Love run for 6 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+10
98.9%
Bryce Crawford punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 23 , Ugochukwu Amadi returns for 10 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
98.9%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 20Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+5
98.9%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+15
98.9%
Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Hines, Tabari, PENALTY SJSU pass interference 15 yards to the ORE40, 1ST DOWN ORE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.9%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon Mitchell, broken up by John ToussaintSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
98.9%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 35Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Blake Maimone punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:471% → 2%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.7%
Malike Roberson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
98.7%
Montel Aaron run for 2 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+6
98.7%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 6 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.7%
Malike Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+9
98.7%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 9 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.5%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Thomas Graham Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-4
98.5%
Malike Roberson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+6
98.6%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Malike Roberson for 6 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
98.5%
Bryce Crawford punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
98.5%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 8Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
98.5%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd, broken up by Tre WebbSimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 9
OWN 8
-4
98.5%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Oregn 4Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 13
OWN 4
0
98.5%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 13
OWN 4
0
98.4%
Blake Maimone punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the Oregn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:062% → 2%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
98.3%
AARON, Montel pass incomplete to BLACKWELL, JaQu, PENALTY ORE pass interference 15 yards to the ORE26, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.2%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
98.3%
Malike Roberson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+7
98.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 7 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.2%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
98.2%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh Oliver, broken up by Nick PickettSimilar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+1
98.2%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 1 yd to the Oregn 14Similar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
98.0%
Bryce Crawford 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
98.1%
Darrian Felix run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 13
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+1
98.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Darrian Felix for 1 yd to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Tom Snee punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
98.1%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-5
98.1%
Montel Aaron sacked by Gus Cumberlander for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 21Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 15
OWN 21
+33
98.1%
Bryce Crawford punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 40 , Ugochukwu Amadi returns for 33 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13MISSED FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:0498% → 98%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
98.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
98.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Tony Brooks-JamesSimilar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+11
98.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Tony Brooks-James for 11 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for no gain to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
97.9%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
97.8%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
97.6%
Zach Emerson 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Bryson Bridges TEAM return for no gain to the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:153% → 3%
Q2 6:13
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+38
97.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 38 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
97.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 9 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
97.2%
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+10
97.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 10 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
97.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Ugochukwu AmadiSimilar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
97.2%
Malike Roberson run for 5 yds to the Oregn 11Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
97.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
97.0%
Bryce Crawford 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 0:3097% → 98%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
97.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 19 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.1%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III, broken up by Tre WebbSimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
98.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 39 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:512% → 2%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
98.5%
Josh Love sacked by Jalen Jelks for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 21Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
98.5%
Malike Roberson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.4%
Bryce Crawford punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17INT
7 plays · 72 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
98.3%
Justin Herbert run for 4 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+20
98.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 20 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
98.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 25 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+23
98.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 23 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.1%
Justin Herbert pass intercepted, touchback. Dakari Monroe return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.5%
Montel Aaron sacked by Kaulana Apelu for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
97.6%
AARON, Montel pass intercepted by Holland, Jevon at the SJSU30, Holland, Jevon return to the SJSU15, PENALTY ORE roughing passer 15 yards to the SJSU35, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
97.4%
Brendan Manigo run for 7 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
97.3%
Brendan Manigo run for 6 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan Blackwell, broken up by Thomas Graham Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
97.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Malike RobersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-8
97.4%
Josh Love sacked by Justin Hollins for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 40 Josh Love fumbled, recovered by SJSt Deano Motes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 40
+57
97.6%
Bryce Crawford punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 22 , Ugochukwu Amadi returns for 57 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:1398% → 99%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
97.7%
Tony Brooks-James run for 4 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+9
97.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 9 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
97.7%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
97.7%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 25Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.0%
Josh Love pass intercepted Justin Hollins return for 7 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.2%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.2%
Taj Griffin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
99.2%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 6
OPP 18
0
99.1%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:161% → 4%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+52
99.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 52 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
98.8%
Brendan Manigo run for 3 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
98.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for no gain to the Oregn 27Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+3
98.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 3 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+10
98.9%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to OLIVER, Josh, PENALTY ORE holding 10 yards to the ORE14, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
98.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Leki Nunn for 7 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
98.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Austin Liles, broken up by Thomas Graham Jr.Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
95.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 24TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 5:1197% → 97%
Q3 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
97.0%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
97.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Ryan Bay for 20 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
97.3%
Justin Herbert sacked by Bryson Bridges for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+13
97.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Daewood Davis for 13 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
97.2%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+14
97.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 14 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
97.3%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
97.3%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+9
97.0%
CJ Verdell run for 9 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 17
-5
97.6%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
97.5%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Daewood DavisSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+22
97.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 22 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25FG
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:075% → 1%
Q4 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
95.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh Oliver, broken up by Kaulana ApeluSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
95.4%
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd to the Oregn 3Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Justin HollinsSimilar
Q4 13:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
96.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 8Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
99.3%
Bryce Crawford 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 26INT
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:0099% → 100%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.4%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
99.4%
Taj Griffin run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
99.4%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 9 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+6
99.5%
CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Ryan Bay, broken up by Ethan AguayoSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.5%
Tony Brooks-James run for 9 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Tony Brooks-James run for no gain to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
99.4%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.5%
Justin Herbert pass intercepted Jesse Osuna return for 3 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-3
99.3%
Brendan Manigo run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 44Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+6
99.4%
Thai Cottrell run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 7
50
0
99.4%
Bryce Crawford punt for 47 yds, downed at the Oregn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
99.4%
Darrian Felix run for 5 yds to the Oregn 8Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 5
OWN 8
0
99.4%
Darrian Felix run for no gain to the Oregn 8Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+17
99.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 17 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Darrian Felix run for 2 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 1 yd to the Oregn 28Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Tom Snee punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 29TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:061% → 3%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
99.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 31 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+33
99.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 33 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.2%
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd for a TD SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 8 (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 30DOWNS
10 plays · 19 yds · 0:1498% → 98%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
97.9%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+4
98.1%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
98.1%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
98.1%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
98.1%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+3
98.1%
Justin Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 32 Justin Herbert fumbled, recovered by Oregn Travis Dye , return for 3 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
97.9%
Justin Herbert run for no gain to the SJSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 31DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Ugochukwu AmadiSimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Thai CottrellSimilar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by La'Mar Winston Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 32END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
98.6%
Darrian Felix run for 1 yd to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+4
98.6%
Darrian Felix run for 4 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:00
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-3
FG · Q4 13:42
Bryce Crawford 25 yd FG GOOD
+2.6
TD · Q4 4:03
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd for a TD SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 8 (Bryce Crawford KICK)
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com