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ASU

Arizona State 21 at San Diego State 28

SDSU
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:58 · Brandon Heicklen punt for 51 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 6 yds to the SANDIEGOST 48 ARIZONA ST Penalty, illegal block (4 Yards) to the ArzSt 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior−11.4Home team on offense−6.1Garbage-time factor−1.8Score differential−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:28: Juwan Washington run for 13 yds for a TD BARON, John kick attempt good, PENALTY SDSU substitution infraction 5 yards to the ASU8, NO PLAY. (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +10.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:08: Ryan Agnew pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +11.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 11:34: John Baron II 36 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +15.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:14: Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Agnew pass to Kahale Warring for Two-Point Conversion) — SDSU win probability +8.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:40: Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 7 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +15.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00SDSU 4th & 3 at SDSU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:32ASU 4th & 20 at ASU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:57SDSU 4th & 18 at SDSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:01ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:25SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00SDSU 4th & 2 at ASU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    37.9%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:58SDSU 4th & 11 at SDSU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:46ASU 4th & 1 at SDSU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−1.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−6.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00ASU 4th & 9 at ASU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:46SDSU 4th & 11 at ASU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:42ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 18, down 3
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:01SDSU 4th & 14 at ASU 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:48ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−2.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00SDSU 4th & 1 at ASU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%−6.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−6.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:34SDSU 4th & 4 at ASU 19, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%−0.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−16.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:34ASU 4th & 14 at ASU 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−4.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:14ASU 4th & 10 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.9%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:41ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:28SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:06ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:08SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:14SDSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:40ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.7%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
31.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 12 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
31.7%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
31.7%
Ryan Agnew run for 1 yd to the SDSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
31.7%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Juwan WashingtonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
31.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
32.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+5
32.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
32.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 8 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 2
OWN 37
-1
32.6%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+3
32.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 3 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
32.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
32.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
50
0
32.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal Harry, broken up by Kyree WoodsSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
50
-5
32.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+1
32.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 14
OWN 46
-6
32.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ArzStSimilar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 20
OWN 40
0
32.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds, downed at the SDSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
34.7%
Jordan Byrd run for 11 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
34.8%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 25Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 14
OWN 25
0
34.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 14
OWN 25
-4
34.3%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 21Similar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 18
OWN 21
+14
34.2%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 52 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 14 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
34.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frank Darby for 7 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
34.6%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 1
50
-1
34.6%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
35.0%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Juwan Washington at the SDSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
36.1%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 13Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
36.0%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Juwan WashingtonSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+6
35.6%
Ryan Agnew run for 6 yds to the SDSt 19Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
35.4%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 41 yds, downed at the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:1664% → 69%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
35.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 5 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
35.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
50
0
35.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 10
50
0
35.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Brandon Aiyuk, broken up by Ron SmithSimilar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 10
50
+18
36.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 18 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
35.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+12
35.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 12 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
35.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the SDSt 12Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
30.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 12 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1332% → 43%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
31.8%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
32.4%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
32.3%
Ryan Agnew run for 13 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
33.2%
Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+5
33.5%
WASHINGTON, J. rush for 4 yards to the ASU39 (Williams, Kobe;Crump, Koron), PENALTY ASU substitution infraction 5 yards to the ASU38, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
33.5%
Ryan Agnew run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+11
33.5%
Juwan Washington run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
34.1%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
34.1%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+7
33.3%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kahale Warring for 7 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+5
32.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kahale Warring for 5 yds to the ArzSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
42.8%
Juwan Washington run for 13 yds for a TD BARON, John kick attempt good, PENALTY SDSU substitution infraction 5 yards to the ASU8, NO PLAY. (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:1661% → 72%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
38.8%
Isaiah Floyd run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+10
38.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frank Darby for 10 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
38.3%
Isaiah Floyd run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
37.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
38.5%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+51
37.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frank Darby for 51 yds to the SDSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
35.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the SDSt 1Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.1%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:0231% → 30%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
30.7%
WASHINGTON, J. rush for loss of 1 yard to the SDSU20 (Butler, Darien), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the SDSU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+17
30.5%
Juwan Washington run for 17 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+19
31.6%
Chase Jasmin run for 9 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
32.7%
Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 46Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
31.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kahale Warring, broken up by Jay Jay WilsonSimilar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
31.0%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 11
OWN 46
+6
30.0%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 51 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 6 yds to the SANDIEGOST 48 ARIZONA ST Penalty, illegal block (4 Yards) to the ArzSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:5970% → 73%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
30.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 1 yd to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+21
30.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 21 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
29.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+10
29.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 10 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
28.3%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+43
29.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frank Darby for 43 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
27.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal Harry, broken up by Kyree WoodsSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
27.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the SDSt 19Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+8
28.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the SDSt 11Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 1
OPP 11
-4
26.6%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Myles Cheatum for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 1:3330% → 49%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
30.0%
Ryan Agnew run for 8 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+5
30.6%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
30.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+12
30.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kahale Warring for 12 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
32.1%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
31.2%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+14
30.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 14 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
33.5%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 49Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+12
31.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to BJ Busbee for 12 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+15
33.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 15 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
34.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 15 yds to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
48.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
40.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
40.6%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
42.2%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+50
43.5%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 50 yds , Ethan Dedeaux returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 5:3546% → 53%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
45.9%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 21Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+11
45.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 11 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
46.3%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
45.9%
WASHINGTON, J. rush for 8 yards to the SDSU43 (Williams, Kobe), PENALTY SDSU holding off-setting, PENALTY ASU illegal use of hands off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
46.3%
Juwan Washington run for 13 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
48.8%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+11
49.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isaac Lessard for 11 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
49.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-7
50.1%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Jermayne Lole for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 16
OPP 42
+5
46.2%
Ryan Agnew run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+54
53.2%
John Baron II 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
51.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tommy Hudson for 6 yds to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+3
52.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 1
OWN 20
-2
52.6%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
54.5%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ethan Dedeaux at the SDSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
55.3%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+8
57.4%
Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
58.2%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+8
58.8%
BJ Busbee run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
59.2%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-4
58.8%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
55.2%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete, broken up by Jalen BatesSimilar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
53.1%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ryan Newsome at the ArzSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
57.1%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal Harry, broken up by Kyree WoodsSimilar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+5
57.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Ryan Jenkins for 5 yds to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 5
OWN 13
-5
58.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
59.1%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 10
OWN 8
-3
60.1%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds , Juwan Washington returns for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 5 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SDSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:0559% → 78%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
58.7%
Juwan Washington run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
61.8%
Juwan Washington run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 37 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 9
OPP 47
+4
61.9%
Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-2
61.8%
Ryan Agnew run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 45 Ryan Agnew fumbled, recovered by SDSt Ryan AgnewSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+6
61.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kahale Warring for 6 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+4
59.5%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
64.2%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+11
62.5%
Ryan Agnew run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
64.0%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
64.0%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
62.3%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
78.1%
John Baron II 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-7
66.5%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Trenton Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
70.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal Harry, broken up by Kyree WoodsSimilar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
71.0%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ethan Dedeaux at the SDSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20TD
16 plays · 62 yds · 6:1681% → 98%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
81.0%
Chase Jasmin run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SDSt 40Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 8
OWN 40
+16
81.6%
Chase Jasmin run for 16 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
82.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+5
82.1%
Chase Jasmin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
82.6%
Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+6
82.5%
Ethan Dedeaux run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
81.3%
Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
86.1%
Chase Jasmin run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
86.1%
Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 3
OPP 15
-6
85.2%
Chase Jasmin run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 6 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
86.1%
Chase Jasmin run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
86.1%
Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
86.1%
Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.2%
Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Agnew pass to Kahale Warring for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 2:283% → 20%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
96.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 3 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+9
96.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 9 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
96.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Ryan Jenkins for 6 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+8
96.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 8 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
96.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 16 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
96.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
96.3%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 45Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+16
96.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 16 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
95.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 7 yds to the SDSt 22Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+15
95.8%
Manny Wilkins run for 15 yds to the SDSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
80.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 7 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:4895% → 96%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
95.2%
Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+6
94.8%
Chase Jasmin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+20
96.2%
Chase Jasmin run for 20 yds to the ArzSt 23 Chase Jasmin fumbled, forced by Jay Jay Wilson, recovered by ArzSt Langston FrederickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23Uncategorized
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:298% → 8%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
92.2%
Manny Wilkins run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
91.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frank Darby for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
50
0
89.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 10
50
0
89.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Ryan NewsomeSimilar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 10
50
0
90.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 10
50
+15
91.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Frank Darby for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 11:34
John Baron II 36 yd FG GOOD
+15.7
TD · Q4 1:40
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 7 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
-15.4
TD · Q2 0:08
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)
+11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com