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SUU

Southern Utah 31 at Arizona 62

ARIZ
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadSUU aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreSUU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:56 · Rashaan Miller punt for 44 yds , Shun Brown returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior+28.6Home team on offense+12.6Score differential+4.3Garbage-time factor+1.9Blowout margin+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:27: Jay Green Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD (Manny Berz KICK) — SUU win probability +3.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:39: Chris Helbig run for 2 yds for a TD (Manny Berz KICK) — SUU win probability +6.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:23: Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +4.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:56: Khalil Tate pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +3.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 10:17: Lucas Havrisik 35 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +1.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SUU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 11:07SUU 4th & 8 at ARIZ 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42SUU 4th & 8 at SUU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56SUU 4th & 8 at ARIZ 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:42SUU 4th & 1 at SUU 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:38SUU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:41ARIZ 4th & 10 at SUU 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:27ARIZ 4th & 1 at SUU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−0.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:56SUU 4th & 10 at SUU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:17ARIZ 4th & 17 at SUU 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:17SUU 4th & 7 at SUU 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:14SUU 4th & 2 at ARIZ 2, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00SUU 4th & 4 at ARIZ 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00SUU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 9, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:51SUU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 25, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SUU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:42ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:27SUU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:39SUU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:56ARIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:14ARIZ Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:47ARIZ Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:33SUU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:50ARIZ Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:51ARIZ Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:57SUU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SUUDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:534% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.0%
Chris Helbig run for 12 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
96.0%
Jay Green Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoUth 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
96.0%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete, broken up by Finton ConnollySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+28
96.0%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 13 yds to the ARIZONA 49 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
96.0%
Jay Green Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
96.0%
Jay Green Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+9
96.0%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Judd Cockett for 9 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
96.0%
Chris Helbig run for 1 yd to the Ariz 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-1
96.0%
James Felila run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+2
96.0%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 2 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+32
95.2%
Manny Berz 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:2595% → 95%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.2%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
95.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+55
95.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 55 yds to the SoUth 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
95.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the SoUth 17Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
95.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 17 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to James FelilaSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.3%
James Felila run for 3 yds to the SoUth 28Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
95.3%
Jay Green Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 27Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
95.3%
Rashaan Miller punt for 43 yds, downed at the Ariz 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
95.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+1
95.1%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+8
95.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 8 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
95.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 7 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+6
95.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 6 yds to the SoUth 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
95.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 10 yds to the SoUth 29 J.J. Taylor fumbled, forced by Jalen Russell, recovered by SoUth Taylor NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 5FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 5:445% → 8%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
94.7%
Jay Green Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoUth 32Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
94.6%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Ty Rutledge for 3 yds to the SoUth 35Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+22
94.7%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 22 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
94.5%
Chris Helbig run for 6 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+5
94.0%
Chris Helbig run for 5 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-15
93.9%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-15 Yards) to the Ariz 47Similar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 25
OPP 47
-10
94.1%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SoUth 43Similar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 35
OWN 43
+31
94.3%
James Felila run for 31 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-7
93.8%
Chris Helbig sacked by Anthony Pandy for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
94.1%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Frank Harris III for no gain to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+15
94.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, roughing the kicker (15 Yards) to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
93.8%
James Felila run for no gain to the Ariz 18Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
93.9%
Chris Helbig run for no gain to the Ariz 18Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+2
94.0%
Chris Helbig run for 2 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
92.4%
Manny Berz 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 7TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:156% → 10%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.0%
James Felila run for no gain to the SoUth 25Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.0%
James Felila run for no gain to the SoUth 25Similar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.1%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 9 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
94.0%
Chris Helbig run for 2 yds to the SoUth 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
93.8%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Alex Croyle for a loss of 1 yard Alex Croyle fumbled, forced by Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles, for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
93.6%
James Felila run for 2 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
93.6%
Chris Helbig pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+9
93.7%
Chris Helbig pass complete to McCoy Hill for 9 yds McCoy Hill fumbled, forced by Isaiah Hayes, recovered by SoUth McCoy Hill for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
93.6%
Chris Helbig pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-3
93.6%
Chris Helbig sacked by Kylan Wilborn for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+12
93.8%
Chris Helbig pass complete to McCoy Hill for 12 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+19
93.5%
Jay Green Jr. run for 19 yds to the Ariz 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
90.1%
Jay Green Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD (Manny Berz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:4092% → 93%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
91.7%
Khalil Tate run for 12 yds to the SoUth 33 Khalil Tate fumbled, forced by AJ Stanley, recovered by Ariz Shun Brown for a 1ST down , return for 4 yds to the SoUth 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
91.9%
Gary Brightwell run for 19 yds to the SoUth 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
91.9%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the SoUth 14Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
91.9%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the SoUth 14Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
91.7%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
92.5%
Lucas Havrisik 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 9TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:028% → 16%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.4%
Jay Green Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoUth 29Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
92.3%
Jay Green Jr. run for 9 yds to the SoUth 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.1%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Alex Croyle, broken up by Tim HoughSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
92.2%
Chris Helbig pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+28
92.5%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 28 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
91.4%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Nick Colson for 11 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
91.2%
Lelon Dillard run for 1 yd to the Ariz 22Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+10
91.2%
Jay Green Jr. run for 10 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
91.2%
Jay Green Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+2
91.2%
Jay Green Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ariz 6Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+3
91.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive holding (3 Yards) to the Ariz 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
91.2%
Lance Lawson run for no gain to the Ariz 3Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.2%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Lance Lawson for 1 yd to the Ariz 2Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.9%
Chris Helbig run for 2 yds for a TD (Manny Berz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 2:0888% → 92%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
87.8%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tony EllisonSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+30
87.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 30 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
88.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 14 yds to the SoUth 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
89.3%
Khalil Tate run for no gain to the SoUth 23Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+9
88.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 9 yds to the SoUth 14Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
88.2%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
87.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the SoUth 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
92.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:5591% → 95%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
90.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+21
90.6%
Gary Brightwell run for 21 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
91.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 9 yds to the SoUth 42Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+29
91.5%
Gary Brightwell run for 29 yds to the SoUth 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
91.6%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the SoUth 9Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-5
91.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 14Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+12
91.6%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (12 Yards) to the SoUth 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Carlos Baker, broken up by Lorenzo BurnsSimilar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
James Felila run for no gain to the SoUth 25Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Frank Harris IIISimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+44
94.5%
Rashaan Miller punt for 44 yds , Shun Brown returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:4995% → 96%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+53
94.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 53 yds to the SoUth 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
94.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 11 yds to the SoUth 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
94.8%
Darrius Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 8Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
94.8%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoUth 12Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
94.6%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tony EllisonSimilar
Q3 12:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
-5
94.2%
ARIZONA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 17Similar
Q3 10:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
96.1%
Lucas Havrisik 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.6%
Chris Helbig run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 23Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
95.7%
Jay Green Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoUth 28Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
95.7%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Landen MeasomSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
95.7%
Rashaan Miller punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:5397% → 98%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.5%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Bryce WolmaSimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
96.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 35Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+65
98.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 65 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 17DOWNS
17 plays · 73 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.2%
James Felila run for 9 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
98.2%
James Felila run for 3 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
98.2%
Chris Helbig pass complete to James Felila for 8 yds to the SoUth 45Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
98.1%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to McCoy HillSimilar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+6
98.2%
Lelon Dillard run for 6 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
98.1%
Lelon Dillard run for 3 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+12
98.1%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Nick Colson for 12 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
98.0%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Judd Cockett for 8 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+3
97.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Alex Croyle for 3 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.9%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete, broken up by Jalen CochranSimilar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
98.0%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Judd CockettSimilar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+14
98.1%
Terrance Beasley run for 14 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
97.9%
Terrance Beasley run for 2 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
97.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Alonzo Davis for 2 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.1%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Alex Croyle for 3 yds to the Ariz 2Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.1%
Jay Green Jr. run for no gain to the Ariz 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18TD
6 plays · 98 yds · 1:4299% → 100%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+15
98.8%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
98.9%
Darrius Smith run for 5 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
98.9%
Darrius Smith run for 4 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+4
98.9%
Darrius Smith run for 4 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
98.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+75
99.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 75 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 19TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:140% → 1%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Terrance Beasley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 24Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Terrance Beasley run for 3 yds to the SoUth 27Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to McCoy Hill for 13 yds to the SoUth 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Alex Croyle for 15 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.8%
Chris Helbig pass complete to McCoy Hill for 5 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
James Felila run for 1 yd to the Ariz 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Landen Measom, broken up by Tim HoughSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Chris Helbig run for 6 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
99.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Nick Colson, broken up by Jarrius WallaceSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Alonzo Davis for 9 yds to the Ariz 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete, broken up by Tristan CooperSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
99.8%
Chris Helbig run for 2 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.9%
Jay Green Jr. run for 5 yds to the Ariz 2Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
Chris Helbig run for 2 yds for a TD (Manny Berz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:4299% → 100%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
99.2%
Stanley Berryhill III run for 17 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the SoUth 48Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
99.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the SoUth 44Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
99.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the SoUth 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.3%
Anthony Mariscal run for 6 yds to the SoUth 33Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
Anthony Mariscal run for 33 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass intercepted Jarrius Wallace return for 17 yds to the SoUth 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
99.9%
Anthony Mariscal run for 5 yds to the SoUth 16Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+15
99.9%
Branden Leon run for 15 yds to the SoUth 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Branden Leon run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:540% → 0%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Lelon Dillard run for 5 yds to the SoUth 30Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Lelon Dillard run for 5 yds to the SoUth 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
99.9%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SoUth 25Similar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 20
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Lelon Dillard run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoUth 21Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 24
OWN 21
+11
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Terrance Beasley for 11 yds to the SoUth 32Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+34
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Nick Colson for 34 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Elijah Givens for 5 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete, broken up by Xavier BellSimilar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Terrance Beasley run for 4 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Chris Helbig run for 2 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Frank Harris III for 23 yds for a TD (Manny Berz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Anthony Mariscal run for 7 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Anthony Mariscal run for 5 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jake Peters for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Anthony Mariscal run for 2 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+16
99.9%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the SoUth 44 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SoUth 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Anthony Mariscal run for 2 yds to the SoUth 39Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+10
99.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Zach Williams for 10 yds to the SoUth 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Anthony Mariscal run for 2 yds to the SoUth 27Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-2
99.9%
Anthony Mariscal run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:39
Chris Helbig run for 2 yds for a TD (Manny Berz KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q2 0:23
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 9:27
Jay Green Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD (Manny Berz KICK)
-3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com