Try the model
USC

USC 3 at Stanford 17

STAN
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Stanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:00 · Jake Bailey punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense+27.7Pregame prior+1.2Score differential+12.2Garbage-time factor+14.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+4.4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:25: Timeout USC, clock 01:25 — STAN win probability +2.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:05: K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 26 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down — STAN win probability +4.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:34: K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 9 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +8.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:04: Jet Toner 30 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +5.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:08: Bryce Love run for 14 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST down — STAN win probability +3.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 9USC made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 7:52USC 4th & 15 at USC 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:26STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:47USC 4th & 10 at STAN 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:48STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:31USC 4th & 11 at STAN 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:04STAN 4th & 26 at STAN 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−3.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:18USC 4th & 2 at STAN 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.4%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:24USC 4th & 13 at STAN 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:04STAN 4th & 3 at USC 12, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−5.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:15USC 4th & 12 at STAN 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:35STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:51USC 4th & 3 at USC 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.4
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:38STAN 4th & 8 at USC 34, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:10USC 4th & 2 at USC 31, down 14
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:29STAN 4th & 6 at USC 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:29USC 4th & 11 at USC 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:00STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:38STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:26STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:34STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 4:2465% → 67%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
64.8%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 20
-2
64.8%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 18Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+22
64.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 22 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
64.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 14 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
65.0%
Bryce Love run for 28 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
65.1%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the USC 16Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+10
65.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 10 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
66.6%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:2834% → 33%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.9%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 4 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
65.9%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 5 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
66.2%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 4 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
66.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
50
-5
65.9%
USC Penalty, False Start (Austin Jackson) to the USC 45Similar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 15
OWN 45
0
66.4%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 15
OWN 45
0
66.6%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler PetiteSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
66.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 15
OWN 45
+8
67.1%
Chris Tilbey punt for 42 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 8 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:2667% → 67%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
66.8%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (JJ Arcega-Whiteside) to the Stanf 16Similar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 15
OWN 16
-6
66.8%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 10Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 21
OWN 10
+4
66.9%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+16
66.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 16 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
66.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tyler Vaughns at the USC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 5:3333% → 32%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
67.3%
Stephen Carr run for 7 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+5
67.1%
Matt Fink run for 5 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
67.2%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+3
67.1%
Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 3 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+4
67.0%
Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
67.0%
Vavae Malepeai run for 11 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
66.4%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 8 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
66.4%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 1 yd to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
66.5%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 1 yd to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
66.0%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-5
65.9%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
67.2%
Matt Fink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+53
68.3%
Chase McGrath 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5269% → 68%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
68.7%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
68.8%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
68.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
67.7%
Jake Bailey punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:1132% → 30%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
68.3%
Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+14
68.1%
Stephen Carr run for 14 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
67.7%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
67.5%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler PetiteSimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+10
68.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 10 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
67.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 8 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+3
67.0%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
67.3%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Devon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
67.3%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
68.5%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
69.8%
Reid Budrovich punt for 33 yds, downed at the Stanf 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 10 yds · 6:2170% → 70%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
69.8%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+3
69.8%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+9
69.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 9 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
71.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 4 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
71.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
70.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 7 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
71.7%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 21Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 20
OWN 21
0
71.5%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 21Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 20
OWN 21
+2
71.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 2 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 18
OWN 23
-5
70.9%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (A.T. Hall) to the Stanf 18Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 23
OWN 18
-3
71.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trevor Speights for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 15Similar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 26
OWN 15
0
70.4%
Jake Bailey punt for 50 yds, downed at the USC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8FUMBLE
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:3929% → 29%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.8%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
71.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 7 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+10
69.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 10 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
68.5%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
69.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 8 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
68.2%
Stephen Carr run for no gain to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 2
OPP 40
-9
71.1%
JT Daniels sacked by Joey Alfieri for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 49 JT Daniels fumbled, recovered by Stanf Bobby Okereke , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 0:3175% → 83%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
75.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 26 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
76.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 9 yds to the USC 16Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+7
75.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 7 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
75.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
83.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 9 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:2917% → 18%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.6%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
82.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Stephen Carr for 9 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:2618% → 20%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.2%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
81.9%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
82.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 13 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
81.6%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for no gain to the USC 41Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+45
82.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 45 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
79.9%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 2 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-5
80.4%
USC Penalty, Illegal Motion (Michael Pittman Jr.) to the Stanf 17Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 13
OPP 17
0
81.2%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. BrownSimilar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 13
OPP 17
0
82.6%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+35
79.6%
Chase McGrath 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12FG
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:1180% → 88%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
79.9%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 10Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+59
80.1%
Bryce Love run for 59 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
82.2%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the USC 36Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 15
OPP 36
-5
82.4%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the USC 41Similar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 20
OPP 41
-3
82.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 44Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 23
OPP 44
0
82.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 23
OPP 44
+25
81.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 25 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
83.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+8
83.3%
Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the USC 11Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-1
82.7%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 12Similar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
87.9%
Jet Toner 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:4014% → 12%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.0%
JT Daniels sacked by Jordan Fox and Joey Alfieri for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 20Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+11
86.5%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 11 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
86.6%
JT Daniels run for 8 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
86.0%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 12 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
86.1%
Stephen Carr run for 13 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
86.2%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
85.5%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler PetiteSimilar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-4
86.7%
JT Daniels sacked by Sean Barton for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
88.5%
Reid Budrovich punt for 21 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:3392% → 92%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
91.6%
Bryce Love run for 14 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
92.4%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
92.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
92.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 12
OWN 29
+4
91.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 61 yds , Tyler Vaughns returns for 4 yds to the USC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3911% → 9%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
89.5%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+4
90.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Stephen Carr for 4 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
90.5%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
90.7%
Chris Tilbey punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:0893% → 93%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.0%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+29
93.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 29 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
93.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
93.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (Walker Little) to the USC 46Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 20
OPP 46
0
93.6%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+12
93.2%
K.J. Costello run for 12 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
93.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 25 yds, downed at the USC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:209% → 8%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
91.5%
Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+11
91.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 11 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
91.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 8 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
90.6%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
90.8%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for no gain to the USC 31Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
91.9%
Chris Tilbey punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3195% → 96%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
94.7%
Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
95.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
50
+1
95.4%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the USC 49Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
95.5%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+3
95.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q4 7:29
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+31
95.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 25 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:417% → 6%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
93.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Stephen Carr for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 14Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 11
OWN 14
0
93.3%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
93.5%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. BrownSimilar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
93.9%
Chris Tilbey punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:2497% → 98%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
96.5%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
96.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 30Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
96.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+2
97.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
97.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21INT
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:284% → 3%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
96.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Petite for 8 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+1
96.2%
Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the USC 30Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
96.9%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+35
97.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 35 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
96.5%
JT Daniels sacked by Casey Toohill for a loss of 10 yards to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+28
97.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 28 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
96.6%
JT Daniels pass intercepted, touchback. Malik Antoine return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3798% → 99%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.4%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+2
98.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
98.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 36 yds, downed at the USC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+36
98.5%
JT Daniels pass intercepted Malik Antoine return for 36 yds to the USC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:34
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 9 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)
+8.2
FG · Q3 6:04
Jet Toner 30 yd FG GOOD
+5.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:05
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 26 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com