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UND

North Dakota 3 at Washington 45

WASH
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadUND aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreUND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:54 · Cade Peterson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense+4.6Pregame prior+19.5Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:00: Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +1.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:52: Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +7.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:09: Brady Leach 20 yd FG GOOD — UND win probability +2.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:35: Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +6.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:50: Sean McGrew run for 23 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UND made the numbers' call on 8 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:56UND 4th & 2 at WASH 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:32WASH 4th & 5 at UND 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:25UND 4th & 12 at UND 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WASH 4th & 1 at UND 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−1.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−6.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:54UND 4th & 1 at WASH 49, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:46UND 4th & 1 at WASH 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.1%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:29WASH 4th & 22 at WASH 37, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−4.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:43UND 4th & 13 at UND 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−3.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:09UND 4th & 10 at WASH 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−4.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:56UND 4th & 1 at UND 27, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:07WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:02UND 4th & 7 at UND 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:59WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:09UND 4th & 3 at WASH 3, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.2%−1.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−11.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:35UND 4th & 2 at UND 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:42UND 4th & 8 at WASH 41, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:45UND 4th & 4 at UND 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:24UND 4th & 2 at UND 45, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:13UND 4th & 5 at UND 30, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 8:00WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:52WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:35WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:50WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:24WASH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:13WASH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
78.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 8 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+3
78.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
78.5%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-3
78.5%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+7
78.5%
Jake Browning run for 7 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
78.5%
Race Porter punt for 38 yds, downed at the NDKTA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
77.9%
John Santiago run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 18Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+2
77.9%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 2 yds to the NDKTA 20Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-1
77.9%
Nate Ketteringham run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 23 Nate Ketteringham fumbled, forced by Ariel Ngata, recovered by Wash Taylor RappSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:0178% → 79%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
78.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDKTA 28Similar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+1
77.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 27Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+6
77.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 6 yds to the NDKTA 21Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+13
77.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 13 yds to the NDKTA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
78.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 5Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
78.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 4Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
78.5%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Garett Maag for 17 yds to the NDKTA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
78.3%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Noah Wanzek for 6 yds to the NDKTA 49Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
78.1%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 2 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
78.1%
Nate Ketteringham pass incomplete to Noah Wanzek, broken up by Myles BryantSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
78.3%
Cade Peterson punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:3379% → 79%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
78.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 5 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
78.7%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Wash 26Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+57
78.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 57 yds to the NDKTA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
79.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Quinten PoundsSimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-5
79.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Salvon Ahmed) to the NDKTA 22Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+10
79.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 10 yds to the NDKTA 12Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
79.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles Gaskin, broken up by Tyron VredeSimilar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
79.3%
Peyton Henry 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
78.5%
John Santiago run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 43Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
78.4%
Nate Ketteringham run for no gain to the NDKTA 43Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-6
78.7%
Nate Ketteringham sacked by Taylor Rapp for a loss of 6 yards to the NDKTA 37Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 12
OWN 37
+47
79.4%
Cade Peterson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the WASHINGTON 26 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 64 yds · 1:2779% → 79%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
79.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+25
79.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 25 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
79.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 12 yds to the NDKTA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
79.9%
Andre Baccellia pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 14 yds to the NDKTA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
80.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Sean McGrew for 9 yds to the NDKTA 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 20
0
80.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller, broken up by Jordan CanadySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
79.6%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the NDKTA 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
79.2%
Jake Browning run for no gain to the NDKTA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:2521% → 20%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
79.5%
James Johannesson run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 21Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
79.6%
Nate Ketteringham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+10
80.0%
John Santiago run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
79.3%
John Santiago run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 38Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+4
78.7%
John Santiago run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
78.9%
Nate Ketteringham pass incomplete to Travis ToivonenSimilar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
79.1%
John Santiago run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 45Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
79.0%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Luke Fiedler for 6 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
80.0%
Cade Peterson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 2:5480% → 89%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
80.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+36
80.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
50
+5
81.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 45Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+11
81.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 11 yds to the NDKTA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
81.4%
Gaskin, Myles rush for 7 yards to the UND27 (Morrison,Jalen;Steiger,Andre), PENALTY WASH holding (Kirkland,Jaxson) 10 yards to the UND44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+6
80.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 6 yds to the NDKTA 38Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+36
80.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 36 yds to the NDKTA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
81.5%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the NDKTA 2Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
81.5%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
86.9%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to John Santiago for 17 yds to the NDKTA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
86.5%
John Santiago run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 44Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+4
86.4%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to James Johannesson for 4 yds to the NDKTA 48Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+3
86.1%
Nate Ketteringham run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
86.1%
James Johannesson run for no gain to the Wash 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
90.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Quinten Pounds, broken up by Deion HarrisSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
90.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 12
OWN 47
-15
89.7%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Sample, Drew for 11 yards to the UND42 (Canady,Jordan), PENALTY WASH illegal block 15 yards to the WASH32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 27
OWN 32
+5
89.4%
Jake Browning run for 5 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 22
OWN 37
0
89.1%
Race Porter punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:1512% → 12%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.1%
Nate Ketteringham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.2%
John Santiago run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 23Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-6
88.3%
Nate Ketteringham sacked by Taylor Rapp for a loss of 6 yards to the NDKTA 17Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
88.5%
Cade Peterson punt for 31 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for no gain to the NDKTA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:2891% → 90%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
90.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 8 yds to the NDKTA 40Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
90.3%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Hayden Galvin return for 4 yds to the NDKTA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 14MISSED FG
12 plays · 37 yds · 1:1312% → 8%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
87.7%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Noah Wanzek for 6 yds to the NDKTA 43Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+11
87.1%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Noah Wanzek for 11 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
86.6%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 3 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
87.0%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 4 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+3
85.9%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 3 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
88.7%
John Santiago run for 10 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.3%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
88.4%
Nate Ketteringham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
91.0%
Nate Ketteringham pass incomplete to Garett MaagSimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
91.8%
Brady Leach 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 24 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
90.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
88.8%
John Santiago run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 22Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
88.9%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Alex Cloyd for 4 yds to the NDKTA 26Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
88.6%
John Santiago run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 27Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
88.9%
Cade Peterson punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
90.1%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
90.0%
Jake Browning run for no gain to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
89.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+4
88.8%
Race Porter punt for 44 yds , John Santiago returns for 4 yds to the NDKTA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
90.4%
Nate Ketteringham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
90.6%
Brady Oliveira run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 16Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
90.7%
Nate Ketteringham pass incomplete to John SantiagoSimilar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
90.8%
Warren Taylor punt for 42 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for no gain to the Wash 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
92.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
92.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 2 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
92.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
91.6%
Race Porter punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 20FG
9 plays · 87 yds · 3:279% → 13%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
91.0%
Brady Oliveira run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 14Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
91.1%
Nate Ketteringham pass incomplete to Noah WanzekSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+69
91.3%
John Santiago run for 69 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
88.9%
Brady Oliveira run for 3 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+10
88.9%
John Santiago run for 10 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
88.9%
John Santiago run for 1 yd to the Wash 3Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.9%
Nate Ketteringham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.7%
Nate Ketteringham pass incomplete to Noah Wanzek, broken up by Byron MurphySimilar
Q3 6:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
87.2%
Brady Leach 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:2291% → 98%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
91.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller, broken up by Hayden BlubaughSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
91.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 8 yds to the NDKTA 40Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+10
90.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 10 yds to the NDKTA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
91.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 16 yds to the NDKTA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
91.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 7Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+5
91.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
91.3%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
91.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 1Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.1%
Nate Ketteringham run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 32Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
97.0%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Izzy Adeoti for 1 yd to the NDKTA 33Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
97.0%
Nate Ketteringham pass incomplete to Garett Maag, broken up by Byron MurphySimilar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
97.0%
Warren Taylor punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23INT
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
98.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 16 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
98.2%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Hayden Blubaugh return for 12 yds to the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
97.5%
John Santiago run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+4
97.5%
John Santiago run for 4 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
97.5%
Nate Ketteringham pass incomplete to Travis Toivonen, broken up by Byron MurphySimilar
Q3 1:42
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
97.5%
Warren Taylor punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 2:3198% → 100%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
98.3%
Jake Browning run for 9 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+9
98.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
98.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+16
98.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 16 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+34
98.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 34 yds to the NDKTA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.8%
Sean McGrew run for 23 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
John Santiago run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 27Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Nate Ketteringham pass incomplete to Noah WanzekSimilar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
John Santiago run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 32Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Warren Taylor punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Byron Murphy at the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 27TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
99.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 17 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
99.9%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-3
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+43
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 43 yds to the NDKTA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 5 yds to the NDKTA 12Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 12 yds for a TD NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to Izzy Adeoti for 6 yds to the NDKTA 31Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
James Johannesson run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Nate Ketteringham pass complete to James Johannesson for 4 yds to the NDKTA 41Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
James Johannesson run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 43Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Nate Ketteringham run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 45Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Warren Taylor punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Byron Murphy at the Wash 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 29TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
99.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 16 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 10 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 48Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-1
99.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 49Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+26
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Alex Cook for 26 yds to the NDKTA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the NDKTA 23Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
100.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 23 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Andrew Zimmerman pass complete to Derek Paulson for 5 yds to the NDKTA 30Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Andrew Zimmerman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Teddy Sherva run for no gain to the NDKTA 30Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Warren Taylor punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Chico McClatcher at the Wash 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Malik Braxton run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Malik Braxton run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:52
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q3 3:35
Jake Browning pass complete to Cade Otton for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
+6.3
FG · Q3 6:09
Brady Leach 20 yd FG GOOD
-2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com