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SUU

Southern Utah 25 at Oregon State 48

ORST
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadSUU aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreSUU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-0.6ORST 99.2%Chris Helbig pass complete to JayGreen Jr. for 21 yds for a TD SOUTHERNUTAH Penalty, ineligible downfield onpass (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 8 (MannyBerz PAT BLOCKED)AWAY 25 - HOME 48 · Q4 3:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:34 · Chris Helbig pass complete to Jay Green Jr. for 21 yds for a TD SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 8 (Manny Berz PAT BLOCKED)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 196Home team on offense+30.8Pregame prior+2.0Score differential+23.7Garbage-time factor+7.9Blowout margin+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:14: Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +1.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:40: Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +3.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:46: Jermar Jefferson run for 32 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +4.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:15: Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 33 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +2.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:45: Chris Helbig run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ( Yards) declined — SUU win probability +1.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 4 of 7SUU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:44ORST 4th & 4 at SUU 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.0%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44SUU 4th & 3 at SUU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:07ORST 4th & 2 at SUU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    76.7%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:07ORST 4th & 1 at SUU 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.5%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:14SUU 4th & 5 at SUU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:40SUU 4th & 1 at ORST 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−1.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00SUU 4th & 20 at ORST 36, down 17
    Close callPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    16.0%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:46SUU 4th & 11 at SUU 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:15SUU 4th & 9 at SUU 26, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:40ORST 4th & 7 at SUU 36, up 31
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:32SUU 4th & 1 at SUU 37, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:16SUU 4th & 6 at ORST 18, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:13ORST 4th & 5 at SUU 29, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:39ORST 4th & 9 at ORST 33, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:25SUU 4th & 1 at ORST 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 33, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:04SUU 4th & 11 at ORST 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:02SUU 4th & 9 at ORST 45, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SUU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 7:14ORST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:40ORST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:46ORST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:15ORST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:42ORST Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:43SUU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:45SUU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:58ORST Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:34SUU Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:1681% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
81.2%
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 6 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+4
81.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.2%
Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+20
81.2%
Conor Blount pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 20 yds to the SoUth 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
81.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 16 yds to the SoUth 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
81.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 17 yds to the SoUth 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
81.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 5 yds to the SoUth 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
81.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the SoUth 5Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
81.2%
Conor Blount pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
80.6%
Jordan Choukair 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
80.5%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 20Similar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
80.5%
James Felila run for 2 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+10
80.6%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Logan Parker for 10 yds to the SoUth 32Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
80.5%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Landen MeasomSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+46
80.6%
Rashaan Miller punt for 50 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for 46 yds to the SoUth 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3TD
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:1581% → 82%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
80.6%
Artavis Pierce run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoUth 40Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+6
80.4%
Artavis Pierce run for 6 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+6
80.5%
Conor Blount pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 6 yds to the SoUth 28Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+8
80.4%
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 8 yds to the SoUth 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
80.7%
Conor Blount run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoUth 23 Conor Blount fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Conor BlountSimilar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
80.6%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+12
80.3%
Conor Blount run for 12 yds to the SoUth 11Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+5
80.4%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the SoUth 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Alex CroyleSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.6%
James Felila run for 5 yds to the SoUth 30Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
81.6%
Chris Helbig pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
81.8%
Rashaan Miller punt for 49 yds, downed at the OrgSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:4381% → 86%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+31
81.2%
Conor Blount pass complete to Isaiah Smalls for 31 yds to the SoUth 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
81.7%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
81.7%
Conor Blount pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 11 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+34
81.7%
Artavis Pierce run for 34 yds to the SoUth 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
81.8%
Artavis Pierce run for 1 yd to the SoUth 2Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.6%
Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 6PUNT
17 plays · 39 yds · 4:4016% → 13%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.5%
James Felila run for 3 yds to the SoUth 28Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
84.4%
Chris Helbig run for 3 yds to the SoUth 31Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
84.4%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Ty Rutledge for 5 yds to the SoUth 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
84.4%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Logan Parker for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
50
+6
84.1%
Jay Green Jr. run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+1
84.0%
Jay Green Jr. run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
84.1%
Jay Green Jr. run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+4
83.5%
Jay Green Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
83.8%
Lelon Dillard run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+8
83.5%
James Felila run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
83.5%
Chris Helbig pass complete to McCoy Hill for 2 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+4
85.4%
Jay Green Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-15
85.8%
HELBIG, Chris pass complete to HILL, McCoy for 15 yards to the OSU5 (Hayes, Kaleb), PENALTY SUU pass interference (HILL, McCoy) 15 yards to the OSU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 35
+4
86.4%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Ty Rutledge for 4 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 31
-5
86.6%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OPP 36
0
86.6%
Rashaan Miller punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 2:0688% → 93%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
88.1%
Conor Blount pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 19 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
88.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
88.2%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Jermar JeffersonSimilar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+9
88.0%
Conor Blount pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 9 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
88.5%
Conor Blount pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 24 yds to the SoUth 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
88.6%
Artavis Pierce run for 10 yds to the SoUth 26 OREGON ST Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the SoUth 36Similar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
88.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the SoUth 32Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+32
92.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 32 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.6%
James Felila run for 2 yds to the SoUth 27Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
91.5%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Ty RutledgeSimilar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-3
91.6%
Chris Helbig pass complete to James Felila for a loss of 3 yards to the SoUth 24Similar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
91.7%
Rashaan Miller punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trevon Bradford at the OrgSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:1393% → 96%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
93.2%
Conor Blount pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 21 yds to the SoUth 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.3%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Jermar JeffersonSimilar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
93.2%
Conor Blount pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 6 yds to the SoUth 33Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+33
96.0%
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 33 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Chris Helbig pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.2%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, false start (Josh McMillin) to the SoUth 20Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
96.2%
Jay Green Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
96.3%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Frank Harris III for 4 yds to the SoUth 26Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
96.3%
Rashaan Miller punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11TD
1 play · 62 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
97.7%
Jermar Jefferson run for 62 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:532% → 3%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
97.9%
Jay Green Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoUth 32Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-5
97.8%
HELBIG, Chris pass complete to PARKER, Logan for 4 yards to the SUU36 (Grant, Jaydon), PENALTY SUU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the SUU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+15
97.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Logan Parker for 15 yds to the SoUth 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
97.8%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 11 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
97.8%
Jay Green Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+43
97.5%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Frank Harris III for 43 yds for a TD (Manny Berz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
98.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
97.9%
Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
98.1%
Conor Blount pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 9 yds to the SoUth 46Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-1
98.0%
B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 47Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+8
97.9%
Conor Blount run for 8 yds to the SoUth 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-9
98.1%
Conor Blount sacked by Lehi Afatasi for a loss of 9 yards to the SoUth 48Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 19
OPP 48
0
98.1%
Conor Blount pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 19
OPP 48
+12
98.1%
Conor Blount pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 12 yds to the SoUth 36Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
98.0%
Conor Blount punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoUth 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
98.7%
Chris Helbig run for 11 yds to the SoUth 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.7%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Logan ParkerSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+10
98.7%
Chris Helbig pass complete to James Felila for 10 yds to the SoUth 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
98.7%
HELBIG, Chris rush for 11 yards to the SUU39 (Tago, Matthew), PENALTY SUU holding (TUCKER, Marquez) 10 yards to the SUU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 20
OWN 18
0
98.7%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Alex CroyleSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+19
98.7%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 19 yds to the SoUth 37Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
98.5%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Alonzo DavisSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 1
OWN 37
-5
98.4%
Jay Green Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoUth 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:2299% → 99%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
98.8%
Conor Blount pass complete to Aaron Short for 11 yds to the SoUth 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.7%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Aaron Short, broken up by Taelin WebbSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
98.7%
Conor Blount run for 7 yds to the SoUth 14Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+32
98.8%
Jordan Choukair 32 yd FG GOOD SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 16FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:441% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.7%
HELBIG, Chris pass incomplete to CROYLE, Alex, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Williams, D.) 15 yards to the SUU40, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
98.6%
HELBIG, Chris rush for 12 yards to the OSU48 (Smith, Shemar), PENALTY SUU holding (TUCKER, Marquez) 10 yards to the SUU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+4
98.7%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 4 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+7
98.7%
Chris Helbig run for 7 yds to the SoUth 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+18
98.6%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Logan Parker for 18 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
98.6%
Jay Green Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+15
98.5%
HELBIG, Chris pass incomplete to DAVIS, Alonzo, PENALTY OSU personal foul (Rashed Jr., H.) 15 yards to the OSU22, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
98.4%
Chris Helbig sacked by Jonathan Willis for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+4
98.5%
Jay Green Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+4
98.6%
Jay Green Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
98.6%
Manny Berz 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:5799% → 100%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+16
99.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Aaron Short for 16 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
99.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Tino Allen for 18 yds to the SoUth 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the SoUth 29Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Tino AllenSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Jermar JeffersonSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+48
99.5%
Jordan Choukair 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:281% → 2%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.3%
James Felila run for 4 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to James FelilaSimilar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+10
99.3%
Chris Helbig run for 10 yds to the SoUth 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.3%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 7 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+27
99.2%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Ty Rutledge for 27 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
99.2%
Jay Green Jr. run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.2%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Ty Rutledge for 9 yds to the OrgSt 2Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
97.7%
Chris Helbig run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
98.6%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Jake Luton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Champ Flemings, broken up by James RandolphSimilar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
98.5%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 3:252% → 4%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Alex CroyleSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
98.1%
James Felila run for 9 yds to the SoUth 29Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
98.0%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Logan Parker for 1 yd to the SoUth 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
98.0%
Chris Helbig pass complete to McCoy Hill for 10 yds to the SoUth 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
98.0%
Ty Rutledge run for 8 yds to the SoUth 48Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
97.9%
Jay Green Jr. run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
98.0%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Alex Croyle for 13 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
96.7%
GREEN, Jay rush for 4 yards to the OSU32 (Willis, J.), PENALTY SUU holding (TUCKER, Marquez) 10 yards to the OSU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+8
96.3%
Chris Helbig run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+3
96.7%
Chris Helbig run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+8
96.6%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 8 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 1
OPP 27
-1
96.4%
James Felila run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0999% → 99%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
98.8%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
98.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Aaron ShortSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+4
98.8%
Jake Luton pass complete to Tino Allen for 4 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
98.8%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 22FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:043% → 1%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.4%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Frank Harris IIISimilar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
97.5%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Ty Rutledge for 5 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+15
97.4%
HELBIG, Chris pass incomplete to RUTLEDGE, Ty, PENALTY OSU personal foul (Williams, D.) 15 yards to the SUU49, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+31
97.3%
Chris Helbig pass complete to McCoy Hill for 31 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.9%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Landen MeasomSimilar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
97.0%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Jay Green Jr.Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-1
97.3%
Jay Green Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
98.6%
Manny Berz 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 38 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+38
99.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 38 yds to the SoUth 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the SoUth 35Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+5
99.2%
Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the SoUth 41 Jermar Jefferson fumbled, forced by AJ Stanley, recovered by SoUth Jalen Russell , return for 5 yds to the SoUth 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
98.7%
James Felila run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 1
50
+4
98.6%
James Felila run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.7%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Ty RutledgeSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.7%
James Felila run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
98.7%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Landen MeasomSimilar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
98.7%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to McCoy HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 25TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:4399% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-15
99.3%
Luton, Jake pass incomplete to Short, Aaron, PENALTY OSU personal foul (Moore, Trent) 15 yards to the OSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 25
OWN 30
+26
99.1%
Jermar Jefferson run for 26 yds to the SoUth 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the SoUth 38Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+19
99.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 19 yds to the SoUth 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the SoUth 14Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+7
99.3%
Jermar Jefferson run for 7 yds to the SoUth 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Jermar Jefferson run for 7 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 26TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:240% → 1%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Frank Harris IIISimilar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Logan Parker for 15 yds to the SoUth 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to James Felila for 2 yds to the SoUth 42Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
James Felila run for 5 yds to the SoUth 47Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Carlos Baker for 8 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to McCoy Hill for 4 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-3
99.9%
Chris Helbig sacked by Matthew Tago for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+14
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 14 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Landen Measom for 4 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+5
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Lelon Dillard for 5 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+21
99.2%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Jay Green Jr. for 21 yds for a TD SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 8 (Manny Berz PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 27END OF GAME
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.6%
B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the SoUth 49Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-2
99.6%
B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+25
99.7%
Jake Luton pass complete to Andre Bodden for 25 yds to the SoUth 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.7%
Jake Luton run for 4 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+11
99.7%
B.J. Baylor run for 11 yds to the SoUth 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.7%
Christian Wallace run for 3 yds to the SoUth 8Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:46
Jermar Jefferson run for 32 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q1 4:40
Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)
+3.8
TD · Q2 8:15
Conor Blount pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 33 yds for a TD (Jordan Choukair KICK)
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com