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PRST

Portland State 14 at Oregon 62

ORE
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:16 · Ben Niesner punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PrtSt 37 , Travis Dye returns for 11 yds to the PrtSt 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Pregame prior+11.6Home team on offense+36.8Score differential+30.3Blowout margin+18.6Garbage-time factor+9.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+15.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:37: Justin Herbert pass complete to Tabari Hines for 9 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK) — ORE win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:22: Justin Herbert pass complete to Kano Dillon for 20 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK) — ORE win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:44: Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 71 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK) — PRST win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:54: Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK) — ORE win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:27: Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 11 yds for a TD OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 8 (Zach Emerson KICK) — ORE win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4PRST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:58PRST 4th & 10 at PRST 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:33PRST 4th & 8 at PRST 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:37PRST 4th & 17 at PRST 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:21ORE 4th & 3 at PRST 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:23PRST 4th & 9 at ORE 46, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−<0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:47PRST 4th & 7 at PRST 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:55ORE 4th & 24 at ORE 32, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:03PRST 4th & 6 at PRST 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:54PRST 4th & 21 at midfield, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 16, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:02ORE 4th & 1 at PRST 10, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:16PRST 4th & 23 at PRST 12, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 9 of 9PRST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:33ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:37ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:22ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:44PRST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:54ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:27ORE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:47ORE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:24ORE Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:02PRST Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:16ORE Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:38ORE Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.7%
Jalani Eason run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+17
99.7%
Jalani Eason run for 17 yds to the PrtSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.7%
Danny Velasquez run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
99.7%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-4
99.7%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for a loss of 4 yards to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+18
99.7%
Ben Niesner punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ugochukwu Amadi at the OREGON 20 PORTLAND ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Oregn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for 12 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+25
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 25 yds to the PrtSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
99.6%
Justin Herbert run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 19Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+2
99.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
99.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+18
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 18 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Carlos Martin run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
99.6%
OREGON Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the PrtSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.6%
Danny Velasquez run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Charlie Taumoepeau run for no gain to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete PORTLAND ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Ben Niesner punt for 56 yds, downed at the Oregn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4TD
10 plays · 99 yds · 2:45100% → 100%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
99.5%
Verdell, CJ rush for no gain to the ORE1, PENALTY PSU offside defense 5 yards to the ORE6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+3
99.5%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 2
OWN 9
+9
99.5%
CJ Verdell run for 9 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+29
99.5%
CJ Verdell run for 29 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Kano Dillon for 1 yd to the Oregn 48Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
99.5%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Kano Dillon, broken up by Sam BodineSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+20
99.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Kano Dillon for 20 yds to the PrtSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+23
99.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Tabari Hines for 23 yds to the PrtSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Tabari Hines for 9 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Danny Velasquez run for no gain to the PrtSt 25Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Carlos Martin run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-8
99.5%
Jalani Eason sacked by Justin Hollins for a loss of 8 yards to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.5%
Ben Niesner punt for 38 yds, downed at the Oregn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Taj Griffin for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 4
50
+1
99.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 1 yd to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Blake Maimone punt for 47 yds, downed at the PrtSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:091% → 1%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
99.4%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+17
99.4%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 17 yds to the PrtSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.4%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Charlie TaumoepeauSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+1
99.4%
Jalani Eason run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Ben Niesner punt for 39 yds , Dillon Mitchell returns for 1 yd to the Oregn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:1099% → 100%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.4%
Tony Brooks-James run for 4 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-2
99.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 39Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+9
99.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Tony Brooks-James for 9 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.4%
Tony Brooks-James run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
99.4%
Tony Brooks-James run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+24
99.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 24 yds to the PrtSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.4%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 20Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+20
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Kano Dillon for 20 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:381% → 1%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.5%
Darian Green run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+71
99.1%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 71 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:5099% → 100%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
99.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for 14 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
99.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 31 yds to the PrtSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
99.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 13 yds to the PrtSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
99.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 11 yds to the PrtSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.2%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 1Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 20 yds · 4:311% → 0%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 27Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.5%
Jalani Eason run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.5%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 7 yds to the PrtSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.4%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+2
99.5%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 33Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+20
99.5%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 20 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.4%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-2
99.4%
Jalani Eason run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 46Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Beau KellySimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 9
OPP 46
-9
99.6%
Jalani Eason sacked by Jalen Jelks for a loss of 9 yards to the PrtSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Travis Dye for 13 yds to the PrtSt 32 for a 1ST down PORTLAND ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.6%
Justin Herbert run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 25Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+14
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Travis Dye for 4 yds to the PrtSt 21 for a 1ST down PORTLAND ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the PrtSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Tabari Hines, broken up by Anthony AdamsSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 11 yds for a TD OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 8 (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 11 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 6 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+20
99.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 20 yds to the PrtSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.9%
Taj Griffin run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Taj Griffin run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 6 yds to the PrtSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+6
99.9%
Taj Griffin run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 7 yds to the PrtSt 1Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Antwone Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Carlos Martin run for no gain to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Emmanuel Daigbe, broken up by Thomas Graham Jr.Similar
Q3 11:47
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
OREGON Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q3 11:47
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+26
99.9%
Ben Niesner punt for 31 yds, downed at the OREGON 41 PORTLAND ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-13
99.9%
Justin Herbert run for a loss of 13 yards to the Oregn 40 Justin Herbert fumbled, recovered by Oregn Tony Brooks-JamesSimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 16
OWN 40
-8
99.9%
Justin Herbert sacked by Noah Yunker for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 32Similar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 24
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Tom Snee punt for 48 yds, downed at the PrtSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Darian Green for 4 yds to the PrtSt 24Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Emmanuel DaigbeSimilar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Darian Green, broken up by Kaulana ApeluSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+9
99.9%
Ben Niesner punt for 37 yds , Dillon Mitchell returns for 9 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+49
99.9%
Travis Dye run for 49 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 4:300% → 0%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jalani Eason run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-4
99.9%
Jalani Eason sacked by Drayton Carlberg for a loss of 4 yards to the PrtSt 22Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+27
99.9%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Beau Kelly for 12 yds to the PrtSt 34 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the PrtSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.9%
Jalani Eason run for 9 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Jalani Eason run for 3 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
99.9%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 15
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Emmanuel DaigbeSimilar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 15
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Darian Green run for no gain to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 15
OPP 44
-6
100.0%
Jalani Eason sacked by Gus Cumberlander for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 21
50
0
100.0%
Ben Niesner punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.9%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 4
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the Oregn 16Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tabari Hines for no gain to the Oregn 16Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Blake Maimone punt for 50 yds, downed at the PrtSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 21TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+47
100.0%
Beau Kelly pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 47 yds to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
100.0%
Jalani Eason run for 11 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
100.0%
Carlos Martin run for 3 yds to the Oregn 5Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.9%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 4Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 4 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:46100% → 100%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 10 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 35Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Bryan Addison for 12 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+5
100.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 46Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+7
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+19
100.0%
CJ Verdell run for 19 yds to the PrtSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
100.0%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 17Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+4
100.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 4 yds Hunter Kampmoyer fumbled, forced by Deon Crayon, recovered by OregnSimilar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+3
100.0%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 10Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+4
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
100.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 3Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 1Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 20Similar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
100.0%
Darian Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-5
100.0%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 13Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 22
OWN 13
-1
100.0%
Antwone Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 12Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 23
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+11
100.0%
Ben Niesner punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PrtSt 37 , Travis Dye returns for 11 yds to the PrtSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 24TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
100.0%
CJ Verdell run for 11 yds to the PrtSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
100.0%
CJ Verdell run for 15 yds to the PrtSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
100.0%
CJ Verdell run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 2Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Antwone Williams run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Chase Morrison run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
100.0%
Antwone Williams run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:44
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 71 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)
-0.5
TD · Q2 5:54
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 9:22
Justin Herbert pass complete to Kano Dillon for 20 yds for a TD (Zach Emerson KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com