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UTAH

Utah 17 at Northern Illinois 6

NIU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameTD-14NIU 3.4%Marcus Childers pass intercepted for aTD Chase Hansen return for 40 yds fora TD (Matt Gay KICK)AWAY 17 - HOME 6 · Q4 2:36
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:36 · Marcus Childers pass intercepted for a TD Chase Hansen return for 40 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior−1.6Home team on offense−34.9Garbage-time factor−14.4Score differential−11.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:31: Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +10.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:52: Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 9 yds to the Utah 42 — NIU win probability +11.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. FG · Q4 4:38: Matt Gay 40 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +11.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:08: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for no gain to the Utah 15 — UTAH win probability +8.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:36: Marcus Childers pass intercepted for a TD Chase Hansen return for 40 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +14.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 13UTAH made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:51NIU 4th & 6 at UTAH 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:23UTAH 4th & 6 at NIU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:23NIU 4th & 4 at UTAH 31, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.1%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTAH 4th & 1 at NIU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    67.5%−1.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:21NIU 4th & 6 at UTAH 6, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:21UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:09NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:24UTAH 4th & 11 at NIU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:03NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:31NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:41UTAH 4th & 21 at NIU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−3.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:02NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−2.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00NIU 4th & 16 at NIU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−3.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:07UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−5.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:51NIU 4th & 7 at UTAH 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−3.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−15.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:38UTAH 4th & 6 at NIU 21, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−23.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:38NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 28, down 4
    Close callPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:51UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−4.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:30NIU 4th & 14 at NIU 47, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:30NIU 4th & 21 at UTAH 48, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 8:31UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 2:36UTAH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
17.1%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
17.1%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
17.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jake Jackson, broken up by Antonio Jones-DavisSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
17.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
17.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 5 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+10
17.7%
Marcus Jones run for 10 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
17.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 7 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
17.7%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
17.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
50
-1
17.7%
Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 49Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
17.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+5
17.7%
Marcus Childers run for 5 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 13:51
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
17.7%
Matt Ference punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:2280% → 78%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
19.7%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+9
19.5%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
19.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 4 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
19.4%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
19.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
19.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 20 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
19.2%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+9
19.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 9 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
19.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
21.6%
Matt Gay 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jack HeflinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:0022% → 25%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
22.0%
Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+16
22.4%
Tre Harbison run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
50
+4
22.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Ty Harmston for 4 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
22.8%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+6
22.6%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
22.8%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-7
22.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Marcus Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 42Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+11
22.1%
Marcus Jones run for 11 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
25.4%
Andrew Gantz 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:2375% → 74%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
25.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
24.7%
Zack Moss run for 12 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
24.3%
TJ Green run for 3 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
24.3%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
25.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 2 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-1
25.8%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
27.3%
Jordan Nettles run for 9 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+3
27.7%
Jordan Nettles run for 3 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
27.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 7 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
27.9%
Jordan Nettles run for no gain to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+3
27.6%
Jordan Nettles run for no gain to the Utah 36 Jordan Nettles fumbled, forced by Corrion Ballard, recovered by NoIll Marcus Childers for a 1ST down , return for 3 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
27.9%
Marcus Jones run for 1 yd to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+8
28.1%
Marcus Jones run for 8 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+19
27.6%
Marcus Childers run for 19 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
28.2%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
28.2%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete, broken up by Julian BlackmonSimilar
Q2 14:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
27.7%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
26.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the Utah 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NoIll Andrew GantzSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
26.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Zack MossSimilar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
26.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
26.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
27.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 33 yds, downed at the NoIll 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
32.2%
Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+11
31.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 11 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+4
32.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 4 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
33.5%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
33.7%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
32.8%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
31.5%
Matt Ference punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:1566% → 64%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
33.6%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
33.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 8 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
33.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 8 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
31.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi MarinerSimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+10
32.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
50
-5
31.3%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Simpkins,Demari for 6 yards to the NIU44 (SMALLS, Albert), PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UTAH45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 15
OWN 45
0
32.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete, broken up by Antonio Jones-DavisSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+6
33.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 6 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+25
32.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bronson Boyd for 25 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
30.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete, broken up by Lance Deveaux Jr.Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
30.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to TJ GreenSimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 10
OPP 24
-1
31.5%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 25 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+43
36.5%
Matt Gay 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:2137% → 37%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.2%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
38.7%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
38.2%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 32Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
36.7%
Matt Ference punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11END OF HALF
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:4758% → 60%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
41.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 11 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
41.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 2
OWN 37
-12
39.5%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Michael Kennedy for a loss of 12 yards to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+20
42.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 20 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
40.8%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 48 Tyler Huntley fumbled, forced by Matt Lorbeck, recovered by Utah Tyler Huntley for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Quintin Wynne) to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
40.4%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Matt Lorbeck for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
38.7%
Marcus Childers run for 15 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
40.4%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
39.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 7 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-2
40.3%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
-5
38.0%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+5
36.8%
Matt Ference punt for 41 yds , Britain Covey returns for 5 yds to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:1260% → 74%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
40.3%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+41
40.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 41 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
35.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
35.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+8
36.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Connor Haller for 8 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
35.5%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-5
35.5%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Jackson Barton) to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+7
35.9%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the NoIll 15Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+14
36.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 14 yds to the NoIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.9%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.9%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
30.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
29.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 11 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
31.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 11 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
34.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 6 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-8
34.8%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass incomplete, PENALTY NIU intentional grounding (CHILDERS, Marcu) 8 yards to the NIU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+2
30.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Leon Payne for 2 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
30.2%
Matt Ference punt for 34 yds, downed at the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
29.4%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+9
28.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 9 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
28.6%
Huntley, Tyler rush for 7 yards to the UTAH42, out-of-bounds (KELLY, Marcus), PENALTY UTAH holding (Agasiva, Jordan) 10 yards to the UTAH25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+11
29.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 11 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+20
28.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 20 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
26.6%
Huntley, Tyler rush for loss of 1 yard to the NIU45 (LEROY, Ben), PENALTY NIU face mask (SMITH, Sutton) 15 yards to the NIU29, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
25.3%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-9
25.3%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Quintin Wynne for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 14
OPP 33
-7
28.5%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 21
OPP 40
0
30.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 34 yds, downed at the NoIll 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 27%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
29.6%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jordan Nettles, broken up by Julian BlackmonSimilar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
29.5%
Jordan Nettles run for no gain to the NoIll 6Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 6
0
28.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 10
OWN 6
0
27.3%
Matt Ference punt for 34 yds , Jameson Field returns for no gain to the NoIll 36 Jameson Field fumbled, recovered by NoIll Jaden HuffSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0032% → 28%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
31.7%
Marcus Jones run for 3 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
33.4%
D.J. Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-9
30.8%
Marcus Childers sacked by Chase Hansen for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
27.9%
Matt Ference punt for 55 yds, downed at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
28.1%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 13Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+20
28.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 20 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
27.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-5
27.5%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Weston Kramer for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 15
OWN 28
0
29.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Bronson BoydSimilar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
30.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jalen Embry at the NoIll 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
32.2%
Jordan Nettles run for 11 yds to the NoIll 39 Jordan Nettles fumbled, forced by Corrion Ballard, recovered by Utah Chase HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
24.2%
Moss, Zack rush for 9 yards to the NIU30 (WILLIAMS, Mykel;FOSTER, Traysho), PENALTY UTAH holding (Agasiva, Jordan) 10 yards to the NIU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 20
OPP 49
-4
25.4%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 24
OWN 47
+3
26.4%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49 Zack Moss fumbled, forced by Jordan Cole, recovered by NoIll Jordan ColeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:0137% → 46%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
37.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 9 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+14
38.3%
Tre Harbison run for 14 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
40.4%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley, broken up by Julian BlackmonSimilar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+16
40.2%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the Utah 27 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Cody Barton) to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
40.4%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the Utah 12Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
40.4%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Utah 9Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
37.9%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
46.0%
Andrew Gantz 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:1363% → 79%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+48
36.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 48 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
30.4%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 27Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+6
31.0%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
32.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi MarinerSimilar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+40
21.3%
Matt Gay 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0029% → 26%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
29.3%
Marcus Jones run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
29.6%
Marcus Jones run for no gain to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
27.3%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
25.6%
Matt Ference punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:1783% → 83%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
16.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for no gain to the Utah 15Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-1
15.9%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 14Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+3
17.1%
Britain Covey run for 3 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
17.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Embry at the NoIll 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+40
3.4%
Marcus Childers pass intercepted for a TD Chase Hansen return for 40 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 13 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
3.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 6 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
4.0%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
3.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 5 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
4.2%
Marcus Childers sacked by Chase Hansen for a loss of 15 yards to the NoIll 36Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 25
OWN 36
0
3.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 25
OWN 36
+11
3.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Ty Harmston for 11 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 14
OWN 47
+16
3.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 16 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
4.3%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
5.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-13
4.5%
Marcus Childers sacked by John Penisini for a loss of 13 yards to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 21
OPP 48
+6
3.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Ty Harmston for 6 yds to the Utah 47 to Cole Tucker for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
3.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:36
Marcus Childers pass intercepted for a TD Chase Hansen return for 40 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)
-14
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:52
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 9 yds to the Utah 42
+11
FG · Q4 4:38
Matt Gay 40 yd FG GOOD
-11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com