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COLO

Colorado 33 at Nebraska 28

NEB
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:05 · Kyle Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 181Home team on offense−1.8Pregame prior+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4Score differential+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:15: Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +7.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:24: Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +9.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:35: Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 57 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +15.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:24: Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 8 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +19.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:06: Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 40 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — COLO win probability +62.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7COLO made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 6:47COLO 4th & 1 at NEB 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−2.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:32COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02COLO 4th & 12 at COLO 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−1.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:59COLO 4th & 18 at COLO 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−1.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:05NEB 4th & 2 at COLO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%−1.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:31COLO 4th & 16 at COLO 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−2.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:28COLO 4th & 8 at NEB 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:03COLO 4th & 8 at NEB 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−6.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:06NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 15, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−3.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:52COLO 4th & 18 at COLO 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−5.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:28NEB 4th & 5 at COLO 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−10.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:56COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.5%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:56COLO 4th & 11 at NEB 20, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−5.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−15.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:16NEB 4th & 1 at COLO 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−9.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−8.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:05COLO 4th & 1 at NEB 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.5%−5.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:49COLO 4th & 4 at NEB 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−4.5
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−17.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:23NEB 4th & 16 at NEB 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−6.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:03NEB 4th & 9 at COLO 20, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−1.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−6.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:00COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:47COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:47NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:15NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:24NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:35NEB Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:24COLO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:06COLO Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    81.1%−1.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:4559% → 60%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.0%
Greg Bell run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+18
59.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 18 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
59.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+2
59.2%
Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
59.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 11 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
59.4%
Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+3
59.5%
Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+10
59.5%
Greg Bell run for 10 yds to the Colo 13 Greg Bell fumbled, recovered by ColoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 2:4641% → 44%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
59.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 18 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
59.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 2 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+14
58.9%
Steven Montez run for 14 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+28
58.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 28 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
58.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-5
58.3%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+17
58.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 17 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
58.3%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
58.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Offside (3 Yards) to the Neb 3Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
56.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 3 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0557% → 57%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
56.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 5 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+9
56.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the Neb 24 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by ColoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:3544% → 48%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+22
55.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Face Mask (22 yards) (22 Yards) to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
55.5%
K.D. Nixon run for 2 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
55.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Travon McMillianSimilar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+7
55.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 7 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
52.1%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5253% → 56%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
53.1%
Maurice Washington run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
52.8%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
52.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
52.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-6
52.4%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+19
51.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Mike Williams for 19 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
52.4%
Maurice Washington run for 5 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+41
56.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 41 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0646% → 46%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 3 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
54.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for no gain to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
54.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+2
54.5%
Alex Kinney punt for 54 yds , Tyjon Lindsey returns for 2 yds to the Neb 30 NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:2354% → 53%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
53.7%
Tyjon Lindsey run for 9 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+7
53.8%
Greg Bell run for 7 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
53.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 21 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
54.6%
Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
54.5%
Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-3
54.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Greg Bell for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
52.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Laviska Shenault Jr. at the Colo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4348% → 47%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
52.5%
Steven Montez run for no gain to the Colo 13Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+5
52.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 5 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 18
-7
52.5%
Steven Montez sacked by Khalil Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 11Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 12
OWN 11
0
52.8%
Davis Price punt for 41 yds, downed at the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:2653% → 62%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
53.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+7
53.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
53.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+4
54.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
54.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+19
54.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 19 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
61.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:5142% → 41%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.6%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
57.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann WinfreeSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-8
58.4%
Steven Montez sacked by Luke Gifford for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 17Similar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
59.3%
Davis Price punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyjon Lindsey at the Neb 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:3761% → 60%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
61.3%
Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 6
50
0
61.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 6
50
+10
61.0%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (10 Yards) to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
61.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 2 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+3
61.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+3
61.4%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 2
OPP 32
-1
59.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2245% → 42%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
55.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 5 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-6
53.7%
K.D. Nixon run for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-5
56.6%
Steven Montez sacked by Luke Gifford for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 16
OWN 27
-4
57.7%
Davis Price punt for 48 yds , Tyjon Lindsey returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:0159% → 71%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
58.8%
JD Spielman run for 4 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+45
59.0%
Greg Bell run for 45 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
62.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for no gain to the Colo 30Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
62.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+5
61.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
62.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kurt Rafdal for 14 yds to the Colo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
62.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Colo 3Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
71.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14FG
15 plays · 52 yds · 1:3632% → 35%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Travon McMillian for 9 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
66.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 13 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
65.7%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
69.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann WinfreeSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+14
71.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 14 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
68.0%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+16
68.3%
Steven Montez run for 16 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
66.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann WinfreeSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
66.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 2 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
68.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
65.2%
James Stefanou 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
65.4%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 3:4737% → 40%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
63.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Kyle Evans for 9 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+6
61.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 6 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
61.7%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+9
61.2%
Kyle Evans run for 9 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
60.1%
Kyle Evans run for 4 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-1
59.9%
Steven Montez sacked by Freedom Akinmoladun for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+12
60.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 12 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
58.9%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+10
58.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
58.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 2 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
59.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
61.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
60.4%
James Stefanou 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:3762% → 60%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
62.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+1
62.2%
Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-6
61.2%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 15Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 10
OWN 15
-5
60.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 15
OWN 10
+5
60.1%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Neb 15Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+3
60.1%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 47 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 3 yds to the Colo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:1041% → 36%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
59.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-4
60.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Travon McMillian for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 37Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 14
OWN 37
-4
62.9%
Steven Montez sacked by Tyrin Ferguson for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
64.3%
Davis Price punt for 37 yds , Tyjon Lindsey returns for no gain to the Neb 33 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:1063% → 81%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
62.6%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 14Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+17
62.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 17 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
63.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
65.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Mike Williams for 7 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
65.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Neb 43Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+57
81.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 57 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:4123% → 45%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
77.3%
Steven Montez sacked by Khalil Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
78.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+20
78.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 20 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
76.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 2 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+19
75.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 19 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
76.4%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
76.7%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-6
77.8%
COLORADO Penalty, Delay of Game (-6 Yards) to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+37
79.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 37 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
74.6%
Kyle Evans run for no gain to the Neb 11Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
74.6%
Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
55.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 8 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21MISSED FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 1:5662% → 64%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
62.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
61.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 14 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
64.5%
Maurice Washington run for 10 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
65.9%
Tyjon Lindsey run for no gain to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+25
64.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 25 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
68.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
68.2%
Maurice Washington run for 5 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
66.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q4 14:28
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
64.1%
Barret Pickering 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22MISSED FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 4:1640% → 41%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
60.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 6 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-5
58.0%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+10
60.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 10 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
58.2%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
57.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+6
59.2%
Steven Montez run for 6 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+2
59.3%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 2 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
55.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 11 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
55.3%
Travon McMillian run for 10 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
53.3%
Travon McMillian run for 12 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
52.7%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
53.5%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
55.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Kabion EntoSimilar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
59.3%
James Stefanou 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:3062% → 65%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
62.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
62.6%
Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+20
61.6%
Greg Bell run for 20 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
67.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 9
50
-3
67.9%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 47 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by NebSimilar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+11
63.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 11 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-1
64.8%
Greg Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5946% → 44%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
53.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 3
50
+2
51.5%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
53.7%
Kyle Evans run for no gain to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-2
56.3%
Kyle Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
50
+22
68.5%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Nate Landman return for 22 yds to the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4749% → 43%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
51.0%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+3
50.2%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
52.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
57.1%
James Stefanou 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 2:0464% → 64%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
63.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+5
65.9%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
66.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
68.2%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
69.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+3
68.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+1
67.3%
Andrew Bunch run for 1 yd to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 16
OWN 42
0
65.6%
Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 16
OWN 42
+7
63.7%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 7 yds to the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 1:0938% → 95%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
62.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 15 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
61.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 4 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
58.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+17
61.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 17 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
57.0%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-9
58.7%
Steven Montez sacked by Alec Cromer for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 19
50
-5
65.6%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 45Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 24
OWN 45
+15
67.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
5.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 40 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 29Uncategorized
13 plays · 44 yds · 0:5117% → 11%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
16.5%
Andrew Bunch pass complete to Mike Williams for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
50
0
18.8%
Andrew Bunch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
50
+4
18.0%
Andrew Bunch pass complete to Jack Stoll for 4 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+25
16.0%
Andrew Bunch pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 25 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
24.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 26Similar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+6
14.2%
Andrew Bunch pass complete to Greg Bell for 6 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
18.4%
Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
13.7%
Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 9
OPP 20
0
11.1%
Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:06
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 40 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-62.3
TD · Q3 1:24
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 8 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)
-19.3
TD · Q3 5:35
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 57 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK)
+15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com