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UCLA

UCLA 21 at Oklahoma 49

OU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:25 · Austin Seibert punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 180Pregame prior+2.0Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+28.7Garbage-time factor+14.4Blowout margin+12.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:59: Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +0.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:17: Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 58 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:55: Kyler Murray run for 10 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:34: Marcelias Sutton run for 11 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +3.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:19: Kyler Murray pass complete to A.D. Miller for 10 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:32UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19OU 4th & 15 at UCLA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:17UCLA 4th & 16 at UCLA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:40UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:52UCLA 4th & 13 at OU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:26OU 4th & 2 at OU 16, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:11UCLA 4th & 20 at UCLA 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:13OU 4th & 1 at UCLA 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:11OU 4th & 12 at OU 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:01UCLA 4th & 4 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:05UCLA 4th & 11 at UCLA 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:56UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:56UCLA 4th & 13 at OU 38, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:44UCLA 4th & 6 at OU 9, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:25OU 4th & 8 at OU 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:59UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:20OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:17OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:55OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:34OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:19OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:27OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:11UCLA Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:40OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:44UCLA Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:243% → 3%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Dymond Lee for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 2:1397% → 97%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
97.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Creed Humphrey) to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 15
OWN 40
0
97.0%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+10
97.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 5
50
+8
96.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 8 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
96.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 15
OPP 47
0
96.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+5
96.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 5 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
96.7%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Myles TeaseSimilar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 10
OPP 42
-5
96.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
96.6%
Austin Seibert punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:143% → 4%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-6
96.6%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+65
96.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 65 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
96.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the Okla 12Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+3
96.3%
Kazmeir Allen run for 3 yds to the Okla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
96.2%
Kazmeir Allen run for 6 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:1796% → 96%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
96.0%
Kyler Murray run for 7 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
95.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
96.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:484% → 4%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Tre Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-6
95.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Kenneth Murray for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+5
95.6%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 16
OWN 19
-3
95.6%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 50 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:4896% → 96%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
95.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+15
95.4%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Nate Meadors) to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.5%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-4
95.3%
Rodney Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+58
95.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 58 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:304% → 4%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 10 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.6%
Kazmeir Allen run for no gain to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
95.6%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
95.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
95.6%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 48 yds, downed at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 1:3996% → 97%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
95.6%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+45
95.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 45 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
95.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+15
95.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 15 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.7%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Rodney AndersonSimilar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
95.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 10 yds to the UCLA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.5%
Kyler Murray run for 10 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:534% → 4%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.2%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
96.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Dymond Lee for 12 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
96.0%
Christian Pabico run for 5 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+9
96.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
50
+3
95.9%
Kazmeir Allen run for 3 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+12
95.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Dymond Lee for 12 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
95.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+4
95.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-5
95.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Curtis Bolton for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
96.0%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 30 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1996% → 96%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
96.0%
Kyler Murray run for 8 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 2
OWN 16
0
96.0%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Okla 16Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
95.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
95.7%
Austin Seibert punt for 41 yds, downed at the UCLA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 3:044% → 4%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
95.7%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
95.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 3
50
+5
95.5%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
95.3%
Christian Pabico run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+3
95.6%
Kazmeir Allen run for 3 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-10
95.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Curtis Bolton and Mark Jackson Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 20
OWN 45
0
95.7%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:5196% → 95%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
95.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 13 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
95.5%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
95.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 7 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
95.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 8 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+6
95.6%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
95.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 10 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
95.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dru Samia) to the UCLA 42Similar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+6
95.6%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+11
95.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 11 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
95.6%
Kyler Murray run for 2 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 1
OPP 23
-2
95.4%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:375% → 5%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
95.4%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3395% → 95%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
95.4%
Kyler Murray run for 5 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Darnay Holmes) to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
95.6%
Kyler Murray run for 9 yds to the OKLAHOMA 46 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Block (CeeDee Lamb) to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 11
OWN 44
0
95.6%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-1
95.5%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
95.3%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
95.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:025% → 6%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
95.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 10 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
94.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 8 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+5
94.4%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-11
94.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 21
OWN 33
+3
95.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+14
95.1%
Kazmeir Allen run for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 4
50
0
94.5%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:1595% → 99%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
95.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 10 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
95.4%
Marcelias Sutton run for 4 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+15
95.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to A.D. Miller for 15 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.7%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to A.D. MillerSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
95.6%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+25
94.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 25 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
94.9%
Kyler Murray run for 15 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
98.8%
Marcelias Sutton run for 11 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:152% → 2%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
98.0%
Kazmeir Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-15
98.1%
UCLA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Demetric Felton) to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+10
98.2%
Kazmeir Allen run for 10 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+66
98.2%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 53 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 66 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:3699% → 100%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
98.8%
Kyler Murray run for 1 yd to the UCLA 10Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to A.D. Miller for 10 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:170% → 0%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Dymond LeeSimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Christian PabicoSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Dymond LeeSimilar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Trey Sermon for 2 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (Kyler Murray) to the Okla 22Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+14
99.8%
Marcelias Sutton run for 14 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Kyler Murray pass intercepted Darnay Holmes return for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Martell Irby run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+28
99.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 28 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.8%
Martell Irby run for 1 yd to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+11
99.8%
Martell Irby run for 11 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Martell Irby run for 2 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Christian PabicoSimilar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-5
99.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Tre Norwood for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 38Similar
Q3 0:56
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Marcelias Sutton run for 5 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-1
99.9%
Marcelias Sutton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
99.8%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chigozie Nnoruka) to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+8
99.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 8 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Jaylon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Jaylon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
Kyler Murray run for 10 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 35 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Martell Irby run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+21
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 21 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+45
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 45 yds to the Okla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 2Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 11 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 3 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+15
99.9%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Elijah Gates) to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 5 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+16
99.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 16 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 1 yd to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+12
99.9%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Adarius Pickett) to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Kyler Murray run for 2 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 3:460% → 0%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.9%
Martell Irby run for 5 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Martell Irby run for 4 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Martell Irby run for 4 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Theo Howard for 8 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 5 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 13 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 8 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Christian Pabico for 22 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Martell Irby run for 4 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Martell IrbySimilar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 9 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 9 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 9 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Mykel JonesSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Austin Seibert punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27Uncategorized
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:220% → 0%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
100.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+2
100.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:34
Marcelias Sutton run for 11 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q2 14:55
Kyler Murray run for 10 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)
+1
TD · Q3 5:19
Kyler Murray pass complete to A.D. Miller for 10 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com